Wisconsin, 2018

Tornado and Flash Flooding in Wisconsin, August 20 to 31, 2018

August 20 to 31, 2018 · NWS MKX · 12 events in 5 counties and zones

An organized and slow moving low pressure area within a very moist airmass resulted in 9 to 15 inches of rain and historic flash flooding from the west side of Madison to Mazomanie, and south to Belleville. State of Emergencies were declared with hundreds of homes flooded and hundreds of citizens evacuated or stranded in the flood waters.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
2
Property damage
$37 million
Crop damage
$7,000
Events
12

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MKX wrote it up.

An organized and slow moving low pressure area within a very moist airmass resulted in 9 to 15 inches of rain and historic flash flooding from the west side of Madison to Mazomanie, and south to Belleville. State of Emergencies were declared with hundreds of homes flooded and hundreds of citizens evacuated or stranded in the flood waters. The flash flooding of streets and creeks on the west side of Madison resulted in the drowning death of one man. The already high levels of the Yahara Chain of Lakes reached record levels for the end of August into early September. This resulted in sustained flooding in sections of the isthmus in Madison and lakeshore areas of Lake Monona and Lake Waubesa. In addition to the historic flash flooding, one EF0 tornado occurred in Delavan in Walworth Co. A couple firefighters were indirectly struck by lightning and suffered minor injuries in Cross Plains. Lightning also was the cause of a house fire near Cross Plains.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 20, 1:40 PM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 20, 1:40 PM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
240 PM CDT Mon Aug 20 2018

.SHORT TERM...

Tonight And Tuesday...Forecast Confidence Is Medium To High.

First band of moderate to heavy rainfall is most associated with
moisture transport and 850-700 mb frontogenesis. The band will
slow down as it approaches central WI, and probably weaken but
new development will occur this evening as the occluded low tracks
across ne IL and far srn Lake MI. The strongest frontogenesis
will set up across srn WI, with rounds of showers and tstorms.

This area will then pivot to a ne-sw orientation and may linger
over ern WI for Tue AM. Thus the Flash Flood Watch will remain in
effect until 14z for east central and southeast WI, but will end
the watch at 09z for south central WI. 1-3 inches is forecast but
locally higher. Continued rain chances into Tuesday afternoon, as
a shortwave trough approaches within nwly flow aloft.

Tuesday Night Through Thursday Night...Forecast Confidence Is
High.

Models take main 500 mb shortwave trough southeast of the area by
later Tuesday night. Thus, kept small PoPs for showers in the
evening in eastern parts of the area. Drier air then moves into
the area later Tuesday night into Wednesday. 500 mb flow remains
northwesterly on Wednesday, before a modest ridge slides east into
the region Wednesday night and Thursday. High pressure passing by
to the southwest of the area during this period will bring quiet
weather to the area. Pleasant temperatures and dewpoints are
expected Wednesday into Thursday.

.LONG TERM...

Friday Through Monday...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

Models are showing a fairly potent 500 mb shortwave trough sliding
east across the region late Friday into Saturday morning. Focused
warm air and moisture advection occurs over the area Friday into
Saturday morning. More humid conditions move in by Saturday as
well. There is elevated CAPE developing across the area during
this period. Thus, continued decent PoPs for showers and storms
for this period.

Models are a little more in disagreement with features for
Saturday night into Monday. One thing that looks more likely is
steady warm air advection, which should bring very warm and humid
conditions into the area. Certainly a possible heat impact to
watch for in later forecasts.

&&

.AVIATION(21Z TAF UPDATES)...

Periods of moderate to heavy rain will occur from middle to late
afternoon into tonight. A high cloud base will lower to MVFR and
IFR with the moderate to heavy rainfall. The Cigs may lower below
600 feet late tnt over far srn WI. Vsbys will be restricted at
times especially within heavy rainfall. The Cigs will then
gradually rise to 3.0-3.5 kft for Tue afternoon but with chances
of showers continuing.

&&

.MARINE...

The Small Craft Advisory remains in effect into Tuesday evening
due to breezy ely winds backing to nly winds with resultant high
waves.

&&

.BEACHES...

Extended the Beach Hazard Statement into Tuesday evening given
the high swim risk due to continued high waves and breezy ely
winds backing to nly winds. Dangerous rip currents, longshore
currents, and structural currents are expected.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Beach Hazards Statement through Tuesday evening for WIZ052-060-
     066-071-072.

     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for WIZ056-057-062-063-
     067>069.

     Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for WIZ051-052-058>060-
     064>066.

LM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM CDT Tuesday for LMZ643>646.

&&

Tonight/Tuesday and Aviation/Marine/Beaches...Gehring
Tuesday Night through Monday...Wood
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 20, 1:08 PM CST, 3 hours 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
208 PM CDT Mon Aug 20 2018

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-211915-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
208 PM CDT Mon Aug 20 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Heavy rainfall and thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon
and tonight. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect from 5 PM this
afternoon through late tonight for most of south central
Wisconsin, and through middle morning Tuesday for most of
southeast Wisconsin. The Flash Flood Watch includes the Madison
and Milwaukee metro areas.

1 to 3 inches of rain is forecast, with local 4 inch totals
possible. The potential exists for the heavy rain axis to be
across eastern Wisconsin, and could also affect the same areas
that received heavy rains at the end of last week.

There is a high swim risk for dangerous currents on the beaches
of Lake Michigan. A Beach Hazards Statement is in effect.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The high swim risk and Beach Hazards Statement will continue into
Tuesday evening.

There is a small chance of thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon. There
are chances of thunderstorms Friday into Saturday morning, and
again on Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed, but rainfall and flooding
reports are appreciated.

LMZ643>646-211915-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
208 PM CDT Mon Aug 20 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon and tonight.

A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for gusty winds and building
waves.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The Small Craft Advisory will continue through Tuesday evening,
for gusty winds and high waves.

There is a small chance of thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon. There
are chances of thunderstorms Friday into Saturday morning.

Wood
www.weather.gov/mkx

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 87 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:12 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

7 flood, 2 flash flood, 2 lightning, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Dane

When
August 20, 4:15 PM CST to 10:56 PM CST
Where
Dane County, 1.61 mi N of Springfield Corners to 2.17 mi ENE of Waunakee
Cause
Heavy Rain
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
43.203, -89.570

The widespread flash flooding of creeks and streets in Middleton, Verona, and the west side of Madison resulted in dozens of flooded or stranded vehicles, over 50 water rescues, and hundreds of citizens stranded in place. One drowning death occurred when a man attempted to escape the flood waters by exiting his vehicle. Many city streets were closed including major thoroughfares. 70 residences in the village of Shorewood Hills suffered water damage with 15 families displaced from their homes. Basement flooding was common in Madison and suburbs to the west and south. Water rescues were also executed just west of Verona on County Highway PD due to flash flooding of the Sugar River. Some rural roads south of Madison and Verona were closed due to flooding from the Sugar River or other creeks, including portions of highway 69. Flood waters at Morey Airport in Middleton tipped over a 500 gallon tank of gasoline and a 1,000 gallon tank of jet fuel. The gas tank leaked and was contained by a containment berm.

Lightning, Dane

When
August 20, 6:00 PM CST to 8:00 PM CST
Where
Dane County, 1.21 mi WSW of Cross Plains
Injuries
2 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
43.114, -89.652

Two firefighters responding to a structure fire were indirectly struck by lightning near Cross Plains. Minor injuries occurred.

Lightning, Dane

When
August 20, 6:45 PM CST to 8:00 PM CST
Where
Dane County, 2.02 mi NNE of Cross Plains
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
43.147, -89.615

A home was a complete loss due to a fire from a lightning strike.

Tornado, Walworth

When
August 20, 7:01 PM CST to 7:05 PM CST
Where
Walworth County, 0.19 mi SSE of Delavan to 0.59 mi W of Delavan
Rating
EF0
Path length
0.7 mi
Path width
150 yd
Property damage
$15,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
42.627, -88.628

Damage was noted to flags, a large tree limb and metal casing from a US Bank |sign. A small dumpster was also tipped behind the bank. The tornado then tracked to the west northwest through the Wileman Elementary School grounds where numerous large tree limbs were downed. Rubber roofing material on a portion of the school building was lifted and set back in place. The tornado then tracked through residences to the west northwest downing numerous limbs and a rotted/damaged tree. Gutter and roofing damage was noted on one home.

Flash Flood, Dane

When
August 20, 8:00 PM CST to 10:56 PM CST
Where
Dane County, 1.6 mi N of Springfield Corners to 2.17 mi NW of Mazomanie
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
43.203, -89.570

Historic flash flooding of Black Earth Creek and various creeks and low lying areas of western Dane County caused significant flooding impacts. This included hundreds of citizens rescued, evacuated, or stranded, especially along the highway 14 corridor which parallels Black Earth Creek. Homes and businesses in Cross Plains, Black Earth, and Mazomanie were most impacted. Approximately one half the village of Mazomanie was flooded by Black Earth Creek. 160 homes in Mazomanie were affected while 100 of them experienced water on the 1st floor of the home. 6-12 homes will likely need to be demolished. A bridge was partially washed out on highway 14 near Black Earth, with highway 14 being closed from Middleton to the Iowa County line due to many washouts and high water. Many other roads in western Dane County were closed due to washouts and high water, including southbound 151 near Mount Horeb and large portions of highway 78. The Black Earth Creek reached record levels of 9.73 feet and 16.6 feet at Black Earth and Mazomanie respectively.

Flood, Dane

When
August 20, 10:56 PM CST to August 22, 5:00 AM CST
Where
Dane County, 2.21 mi NW of Waunakee to 1.21 mi NW of Mazomanie
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$33 million
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
43.205, -89.477

Black Earth Creek crested at 9.73 feet at Black Earth around 2:00 AM on 8/21/18, and at 16.6 feet at Mazomanie around 7:00 AM. The Sugar River and many other creeks and low lying areas continued to flood. The historic flooding resulted in hundreds of citizens rescued, evacuated, or stranded, especially along the highway 14 corridor which parallels Black Earth Creek and then continues into Middleton and Madison. Homes and businesses in Cross Plains, Black Earth, Mazomanie, Middleton, and the west side of Madison were most impacted. Overall, Dane County had 380 homes with affected damage, 857 homes with minor damage, 302 homes with major damage, and 5 homes destroyed. 27 businesses had minor damage and 17 suffered major damage. |A bridge was partially washed out on highway 14 near Black Earth, with highway 14 being closed from Middleton to the Iowa County line due to many washouts and high water. Many other roads in western Dane County were closed due to washouts and high water, including southbound 151 near Mount Horeb and large portions of highway 78. 5000 feet of railroad tracks on the Wisconsin & Southern Railroad were washed out between Mazomanie and Madison.

Flood, Dane

When
August 21, 12:00 PM CST to August 22, 9:00 PM CST
Where
Dane County, 0.91 mi ENE of Belleville to 1.56 mi NE of Basco
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
42.857, -89.515

The Sugar River rose rapidly in Belleville and flooded Belleville Communitiy Park and some neighborhoods. Nine families were evacuated from the east side of the town. The highway 69 bridge was closed and highway 92 was closed between River St. and County Road PB due to high water from the Sugar River.

Flood, Iowa

When
August 21, 1:00 PM CST to August 22, 1:00 PM CST
Where
Iowa County, 1.16 mi NNW of Arena to 4.31 mi NW of Arena
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$30,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
43.186, -89.928

The record flooding of Black Earth Creek caused a rail bridge to fail on Wisconsin & Southern Railroad near Blynn Road east of Arena. Sections of railroad tracks were also washed out. The flooding of Blue Mounds Creek near Arena reached Village Edge Road and Helena Road on the north side of the village. Sandbagging and pumping was employed to protect homes. Highway 14 was inundated and closed by flood waters just west of County Road K due to record flooding of Black Earth and Blue Mounds Creeks.

Flood, Green

When
August 22, 2:00 AM CST to August 23, 9:30 AM CST
Where
Green County, 0.56 mi NW of Albany to 2.85 mi NW of Albany
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Crop damage
$5,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
42.706, -89.436

The Sugar River nearly reached moderate flood stage, cresting at 12.91 feet in Albany during the early evening of August 22nd. In the Attica area, 23 cows were rescued from flooded waters due to the flooding of the Sugar River during the early morning hours. Floodwaters caused basement flooding of some homes along South Water Street and a few businesses on North Water Street in downtown Albany. Floodwaters affected the back yards of a few homes along South Mill Street. Floodwaters affected Village Park.

Flood, Green

When
August 22, 6:37 PM CST to August 26, 12:30 PM CST
Where
Green County, 3.13 mi SW of Brodhead to 2.81 mi S of Brodhead
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Crop damage
$1,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
42.584, -89.406

The Sugar River reached moderate flood stage, cresting at 9.29 feet in Brodhead during the early afternoon of August 23rd. There is widespread flooding of lowland and agricultural land in the Brodhead area. Floodwaters cover roads about 6 miles downstream into the Avon Township of Rock County. Floodwaters are over Highway T which is on the border of Green and Rock Counties.

Flood, Rock

When
August 22, 10:00 PM CST to August 26, 4:00 PM CST
Where
Rock County, 1.88 mi W of Avon to 1.84 mi SW of Newark
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Crop damage
$1,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
42.553, -89.367

The Sugar River flooded from Green County into Rock County. The Avon Bottoms State Natural Area and Sugar River Park is flooded, including County Road T, which is the border of Green and Rock County.

Flood, Dane

When
August 23, 10:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Dane County, 1.31 mi NE of Camp Randall Stadium to 1.5 mi W of Maple Bluff
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
43.081, -89.389

Sections of the isthmus in Madison, including many streets, experienced sustained flooding due to record high water levels on Lake Mendota and Lake Monona. Much of the flooding was near the Yahara River which connects Lake Mendota to Lake Monona. Additional flooding occurred in lakeshore areas of Lake Mendota, Lake Monona, and Lake Waubesa. Thousands of sandbags were deployed to prevent flood damages. Streets, bike paths, parks, boat launches and piers were closed in the isthmus and other areas in the Yahara Chain of Lakes. This overall flooding continued through the end of August and into early September.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Flash Flood, Dane2018-08-2070MaleOutside/Open AreasDirect

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Lightning
A lightning strike that killed, injured or caused damage.
Tornado
A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Wisconsin in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Wisconsin, 2018Warnings in Wisconsin, August 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 775409, 780857, 780858, 775393, 779938, 780326, 780446, 780907, 781941, 781942, 781943, 780453.