On the afternoon of the second, numerous thunderstorms developed in eastern New Mexico. However, weak upper level atmospheric flow did not allow for much organization to these thunderstorms.
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The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
On the afternoon of the second, numerous thunderstorms developed in eastern New Mexico. However, weak upper level atmospheric flow did not allow for much organization to these thunderstorms. One storm was able to produce a severe wind gust near Denver City (Yoakum County).
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 2, 5:31 PM CST, 34 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 631 PM CDT Mon Jul 2 2018 .AVIATION... Outflows are presently dominating with somewhat gusty southeast low level flow and stable conditions; most recent thunder was skirting to the east of KCDS and weakening. To the west, earlier outflows were fueling fairly well organized thunderstorms lined south to north just west of the Texas-New Mexico state line, and these storms were edging to the east. There is a chance these storms will accelerate a bit during the early to mid evening with cool outflows forming on the west side and gravity urging an east- southeast push into the western South Plains. Latest short range solutions mostly weaken this activity before reaching either KLBB or KPVW late in the evening yet still shove an outflow boundary through both airports during the night. Of course we will be monitoring and add any thunder mention if an approach of thunder to the airports looks reasonable. RMcQueen && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 304 PM CDT Mon Jul 2 2018/ DISCUSSION... Convection is still expected to develop along a surface lee trough later this afternoon near the TX/NM line. How far eastward this activity will push is not exactly certain as upper flow is too weak to provide any directional movement. Any eastward progression will be fully reliant on outflow propagation. As of current we could see storms push to near the I27 corridor, but if the outflow outruns developing convection then storms will struggle to even make it that far. Unorganized isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible across much of the FA this afternoon and early evening due to remnant outflow boundaries from early morning convection. Storms that develop should remain mostly tame with mostly sub- severe gusts possible. Locally heavy rainfall will also be a possibility with PWATS near or over the 1.5 inch mark. A similar scenario will be possible tomorrow afternoon with storms developing along the TX/NM state line with little eastward propagation. Independence Day looks to be hot and dry as thicknesses increase with the eastern CONUS ridge building farther westward. While making daytime activities a little uncomfortable it should make for a pleasant evening. Temps will trend cooler starting with Thursday as the upper ridge settles temporarily over the Central Plains allowing surface flow to be out of the east to east-southeast. This will also keep moisture in the region allowing for isolated to scattered convection along weaknesses that may pass around the ridge. The upper ridge will push westward by the weekend settling around the 4 Corners region allowing continued south to southeasterly surface flow. Temps will continue to be around average while allowing the chance for afternoon and evening convection into Sunday. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 99/99/99
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lubbock TX 508 AM CDT Mon Jul 2 2018 TXZ021>044-022215- Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale- Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King- Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall- 508 AM CDT Mon Jul 2 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Scattered thunderstorms may affect the southwest Texas Panhandle and western South Plains late this afternoon into this evening. The strongest storms will be capable of producing locally heavy rain, wind gusts to 55 mph and small hail. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Lubbock TX 320 PM CDT MON JUL 2 2018 TXZ041-022115- Lynn TX- 320 PM CDT MON JUL 2 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN LYNN COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM CDT... At 318 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9 miles north of New Moore, or 10 miles west of Tahoka, moving north at 5 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm. Intense rain is also occurring, with rain rates over 4 inches per hour - look for minor flooding along US highway 380 west of Tahoka. Locations impacted include... areas mainly west and northwest of Tahoka. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3302 10185 3308 10203 3327 10201 3323 10178 TIME...MOT...LOC 2018Z 201DEG 4KT 3315 10197 RMCQUEEN
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 129 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:07 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Denver City measured a wind gust to 64 mph.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 760633.