North of the confluence with the Ohio River, the Mississippi River fell below flood stage at Cape Girardeau early in the month. The flooding was minor.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
North of the confluence with the Ohio River, the Mississippi River fell below flood stage at Cape Girardeau early in the month. The flooding was minor.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 28, 11:48 PM CST, 12 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 1148 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018 .UPDATE... Issued at 1148 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018 Updated aviation discussion for 06Z TAFs. && .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday) Issued at 210 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018 Models show a warm front just south the PAH forecast area lifting north into the region tonight as the associated surface low, currently over the eastern Kansas, moves slowly east-northeast. Showers, currently over southeast Missouri and far west Kentucky and southward, will continue to develop and spread north into this evening. The bulk of the shower activity will remain focused in our southern counties this evening, then across most of our counties late tonight as the low moves just north of our region. A few thunderstorms are possible across mainly the western half of the region tonight as the associated cold front moves into the area. Both ECMWF and GFS show some low CAPE values in these areas, especially between 06z and 12z. Showers will end from west to east through the day Thursday as the cold front moves east of the region. Winds will become quite gusty behind the front Thursday, and we should see some gusts reach 25 kts to possibly 30 kts by midday into the afternoon hours, tapering off after sunset. .LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday) Issued at 210 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018 High pressure will build into the central U.S. Thursday into Thursday night. Dry weather will return to our region late Thursday and continue through the weekend. We will see cooler, near seasonal temperatures for Friday, with a gradual warming trend through Sunday. Models are in decent agreement showing a cold front approaching our region Sunday night, moving across the PAH forecast area Monday into Monday night. Timing does differ a little between models, but the general precipitation timing is pretty good, showing showers making it into our western half of counties late Sunday night, spreading across the area on Monday. Models really do not indicate an thunder potential at this point. Showers should end from west to east late Monday into Monday night as the front pushes on through the area. Temperatures will cool down a few degrees behind the front, but temperatures will still be near seasonal. && .AVIATION... Issued at 1148 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018 Low pressure will push just north of the immediate region overnight. As a result, ceilings will range from high end IFR to low end MVFR through Thursday morning. Visibilities will occasionally be reduced to MVFR with showers and fog. Southerly winds tonight will shift to the northwest and become gusty on Thursday as a cold front passes through. The front will bring an end to the shower activity, but MVFR ceilings will linger into the afternoon and perhaps even the evening across eastern portions of the area (KEVV and KOWB). && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && SHORT TERM...RST LONG TERM...RST AVIATION...RJP
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 437 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-012100- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 437 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Rainfall amounts overnight near the Tennessee border with west Kentucky should be one half to one inch. This may result in isolated standing water issues in a few locations. An isolated thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out overnight across the four state region. Numerous river flood warnings remain in effect. Refer to the warning products and their follow up statements for details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Northwesterly winds behind a cold front Thursday afternoon are expected to gust 25 to 35 mph, and possibly as high as 40 mph. River flood warnings will remain in effect through much of the week. Refer to the flood warnings and follow up statements for details. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding continued on the Mississippi River from late February. The river backed up into several creeks and a diversion channel. Low-lying cropland was flooded, but it was mostly dormant. The river fell below flood stage very early in the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, March 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 741619.