Georgia, 2018Rip Currents in Georgia, May 13, 2018
May 13, 2018 · NWS JAX · 2 events in 1 county or zone
A man tried to save a woman and toddler from drowning offshore of Massengale Park in St. Simons Island during the evening.
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- Deaths
- 2
- Injuries
- 0
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- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A man tried to save a woman and toddler from drowning offshore of Massengale Park in St. Simons Island during the evening. The woman and child were pulled back to shore, the man never returned. The woman later died in the hospital, the child survived. A moderate risk of rip currents was in effect.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 13, 3:36 PM EST, 1 hour 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 13, 3:36 PM EST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
436 PM EDT Sun May 13 2018
...PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY...
.Near Term.../through Monday/...
A trough of low pressure will lift North into central Florida
Tonight, then into Northeast Florida Monday, as a weak low develops
over the Eastern Gulf. Deep layer moisture will advect North with
this trough, aiding in the development of convection, with this
activity increasing in coverage from South to North through the day
on Monday. Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall along with
thunderstorms will be expected Monday, especially in the afternoon
over NE FL.
Temperatures will trend below normal Tonight, then below on Monday
due to cloud and rain coverage.
.Short Term.../Monday night through Wednesday Night/...
A stacked cyclone will meander over the northeastern Gulf of
Mexico through Wednesday before moving onshore along the Florida
panhandle coast on Wednesday evening. The initial surge of deep
tropical moisture, featuring precipitable water vapor (PWAT)
values around 2 inches, will advect northward across the
Interstate 10 corridor on Monday evening and into southeast
Georgia during the overnight hours. Rain chances will decrease
overnight across most of inland north central Florida and the
Suwannee Valley as a dry slot potentially moves overhead from the
south. Categorical POPS were placed in the forecast grids across
coastal northeast Florida during the evening hours and across
coastal southeast Georgia during the overnight hours. Likely POPS
will shift north of the FL/GA border for inland locations during
the evening hours, with most of the widespread shower and embedded
thunderstorm activity exiting southeast Georgia towards the early
morning hours on Tuesday. Cloudy skies and deep south-
southeasterly flow will keep lows in the muggy upper 60s to lower
70s.
The stacked cyclone may shift slightly westward on Tuesday, which
could place a dry slot over our region during the morning hours.
This will serve to destabilize our atmosphere, with deep southerly
flow advecting higher PWAT values over our region during the
afternoon and evening hours. Likely POPS were used region-wide for
Tuesday, with some of the higher resolution models such as the 3
km NAM/WRF indicating that the Gulf coast sea breeze will be the
convective initiator, with activity moving north-northeastward
during the afternoon hours. A few strong storms would be possible
along the I-95 corridor in this scenario late in the afternoon as
convection potentially encounters the Atlantic coast sea breeze.
A few peeks of sunshine early in the day should boost highs into
the low to mid 80s before convection overspreads our area during
the afternoon hours.
Convection will likely be diurnal in nature on Tuesday and
Wednesday, with perhaps some nocturnal activity developing along
the Nature Coast and the Florida Big Bend during the predawn hours
that could advect into the western Suwannee Valley and along the
I-75 corridor in north central Florida during the early morning
hours on Wednesday and Thursday. Convection could become more sea
breeze driven by Wednesday afternoon depending on the size and
intensity of the low pressure center over the northeast Gulf,
which will likely be approaching the Florida panhandle coast by
late in the day. Highs are expected to again climb to the low to
mid 80s before convection increases along the inland moving Gulf
and Atlantic sea breezes during the afternoon hours. Categorical
POPS were placed in the forecast grids in between I-75 and U.S.
Highway 301 in northeast Florida, where the sea breezes could
collide late in the day. A few strong thunderstorms may again be
possible, with gusty winds and frequent cloud to ground lightning
strikes being the main threats. Widespread rainfall totals of 2 to
3 inches are expected over our area from later tonight through
Wednesday, with locally higher totals possible. Lows Wednesday
night will fall to the upper 60s to lower 70s.
.LONG TERM.../Thursday through Sunday/...
Ridging aloft will build over the western Atlantic in the vicinity
of Bermuda, while an upper trough persists over the central and
eastern Gulf of Mexico. This stagnant pattern will keep a deep
southerly wind regime in place that will advect waves of tropical
moisture over our region from south to north. The 12Z operational
long term guidance suggests that embedded shortwave troughs within
the deep southerly flow will periodically migrate through our
area, which will be difficult to time this far in advance as far
as determining which times will be more convectively active
throughout our area. Model blends have depicted a more diurnal
distribution of rainfall, with likely POPS each afternoon and
scattered POPS overnight to account for the possibility of some
lingering convection during the evening hours or an early start to
convection over the Florida Big Bend and Nature Coast that would
move inland towards the I-75 corridor during the early morning
hours each day. Plenty of cloud cover and at least daily diurnal
convective development will keep highs generally in the low to
mid 80s each day, with plenty of humidity resulting in lows only
falling to the upper 60s and lower 70s.
&&
.Aviation...
Rain showers, along with increasing cloud cover will move North into
the region Tonight. Restrictions will be expected in convection
Monday, mainly after this 18z TAF period, but will begin Monday
morning KGNV to KSGJ.
&&
.Marine...
High pressure will be East of the region Today, which will move
further to the East as a trough of low pressure moves North toward
the region. This trough will move North over the area Tonight
through Monday, as a low develops over the Eastern Gulf. This low
will linger over the gulf through at least mid week, producing a
prolonged period of unsettled weather this week, yielding rounds of
showers and storms.
Rip Currents: A deep fetch of east to southeast winds and lingering
groundswell warrants a moderate risk through Tuesday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 65 84 68 84 / 0 30 60 70
SSI 73 78 72 80 / 0 70 80 60
JAX 69 80 69 84 / 20 80 80 70
SGJ 71 78 70 83 / 50 100 70 70
GNV 68 80 68 85 / 40 100 60 70
OCF 69 78 68 85 / 90 100 50 70
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&
23/Nelson/Elsenheimer
Rip Current, Coastal Glynn
- When
- May 13, 5:00 PM EST
- Where
- Coastal Glynn forecast zone
- Deaths
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 31.213, -81.494 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A man died due to a rip current after trying to rescue a woman and child from the surf.
Rip Current, Coastal Glynn
- When
- May 13, 5:00 PM EST
- Where
- Coastal Glynn forecast zone
- Deaths
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 31.213, -81.494 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Broadcast media and EM reported rip currents caused a direct drowning to a 39 yr old make and caused an direct death to a 34 yr old woman that was rescued from the surf but later died at the hospital.
- Rip Current
- A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Kansas, May 13 to 15, 2018EF2 · 68 events
- Rip Current in Florida, May 13, 20181 death · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Hail in Texas, May 13, 2018$200,000 · 2 in hail · 11 events
- Tornado in Pennsylvania, May 13, 2018$50,000 · EF1 · 1 event
- Damaging Winds in Pennsylvania, May 13, 2018$31,000 · 70 kt wind · 11 events
- Damaging Winds in Pennsylvania, May 13, 20181 injured · $17,000 · 56 kt wind · 8 events
- Tornado in Pennsylvania, May 13, 2018EF1 · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Kansas, May 13, 20183.5 in hail · 21 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, May 13, 20182.75 in hail · 18 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Iowa, May 13 to 14, 20181.75 in hail · 13 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Ohio, May 13, 2018$3,000 · 0.88 in hail · 6 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Illinois, May 13, 2018$10,000 · 1.25 in hail · 5 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 754420, 754422.