Florida, 2018

High Surf in Florida, May 19, 2018

May 19, 2018 · NWS TAE · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A 5 year old boy from Alabama died after getting caught up in rough surf at Panama City Beach during the evening of May 19th. Panama City Beach fire rescue crews and a bystander performed CPR on the boy, but he died a short time later at a hospital.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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  • Floods
  • Wind
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  • Cold
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  • Marine and coastal
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The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

A 5 year old boy from Alabama died after getting caught up in rough surf at Panama City Beach during the evening of May 19th. Panama City Beach fire rescue crews and a bystander performed CPR on the boy, but he died a short time later at a hospital. Single red flags were flying.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 19, 2:23 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 19, 2:23 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
323 PM EDT Sat May 19 2018

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Local observations show temperatures have already soared into the
upper 80s-near 90 this afternoon. This warm, unstable air over
land will allow a seabreeze to develop within the next few hours
and scattered showers and thunderstorms to pop up along/ahead of
it. The deepest moisture on tap is over the eastern FL Big Bend
and in south central GA, although there is more instability
available to the west in southeast AL. Storms will dissipate
around sunset and temperatures will gradually cool to low 70s
overnight. Patchy fog will be possible in the FL Panhandle in the
early morning hours.

.SHORT TERM [Sunday Through Monday Night]...

A plume of deep tropical moisture is expected to advect into the
area from the southeast on Sunday and Monday in association with a
weak upper level vort max. Precipitable water values are expected
to rise to near 2 inches with a high coverage of showers and a
few thunderstorms both days. Localized pockets of heavy rainfall
are expected to be the main threat given the tropical airmass.
High temperatures are expected to be a bit below average given the
cloud cover and convection, and low temperatures are expected to
be a bit above average given the tropical airmass with high
dewpoints.

.LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday]...

Deep moisture is expected to remain in place through the week.
Forcing for convection is expected to come from a mixture of the
seabreeze circulation, boundaries from convection in the Gulf
moving inland, and the potential for some sort of surface
low/trough developing and moving north through the Gulf. PoPs
are expected to mostly range from 40-60% each day, which is a bit
more typical of June than the middle of May. The airmass expected
to be in place is also more typical of June. We'll continue to
watch the models flip and flop around with the potential area of
low pressure in the Gulf late in the period.

&&

.AVIATION...

[Through 18z Sunday] Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be
possible this afternoon, with the highest chances near VLD. MVFR-
IFR cigs and vsbys will develop between 06-12Z at most of the TAF
sites. VLD and ECP may potentially lower to LIFR around sunrise.
By 15Z, all TAF sites are expected to return to VFR and scattered
afternoon showers and thunderstorms will begin to pop up.

&&

.MARINE...

Winds and seas are forecast to generally remain below 15 knots over
the next several days, although scattered showers and thunderstorms
are expected through the period with locally higher winds and seas
possible. There is some potential for an area of low pressure to
develop in the Gulf late in the week with higher winds and seas, but
that forecast is uncertain at this time.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

No fire weather concerns through the next several days. Winds will
be light and minimum relative humidity values along with rain
chances will be high.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Overall, a wet pattern is expected through next week with average 7
day rainfall amounts of 2-5" across the area. Localized higher
amounts could occur. Isolated instances of flooding in urban and
poor drainage areas could occur if locally heavier amounts fall in
a flood prone location over a short amount of time. However,
river levels remain on the low side, so river flooding is not
expected unless large scale forecast rainfall totals increase or
locally heavier totals fall over one of the smaller basins.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   71  82  70  81  70 /  20  70  60  70  40
Panama City   73  83  72  80  72 /  10  70  50  70  40
Dothan        71  86  69  80  68 /  20  60  50  70  50
Albany        71  84  69  81  69 /  20  60  60  70  50
Valdosta      69  80  70  81  69 /  20  80  60  70  40
Cross City    69  78  70  82  69 /  30  80  60  70  40
Apalachicola  72  80  72  79  73 /  10  50  60  60  40

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...Nguyen
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM...DVD
AVIATION...Nguyen
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...Barry
HYDROLOGY...DVD

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 high surf. Local standard time, as filed.

High Surf, Coastal Bay

When
May 19, 6:00 PM EST
Where
Coastal Bay forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
30.238, -85.633 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
High Surf, Coastal Bay2018-05-195MaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

High Surf
Large waves breaking on the shore that caused damage, erosion or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, May 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 751955.