Wildfire in Florida, March 23 to 31, 2018

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
334 PM EDT Fri Mar 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A large area of high pressure will continue to dominate the
weather across South Florida bringing dry conditions to the region
tonight and into the weekend. Low temperatures tonight will not
be as cool as the last couple of nights as they will drop into the
upper 40s across the northwestern interior to the lower 60s
across the east coast areas. The winds will begin to shift to a
more east southeasterly direction Saturday which will allow for
warmer temperatures during the afternoon. High temperatures on
Saturday will range from the upper 70s across the east coast metro
areas to the lower 80s across the interior. High pressure will
remain in place on Sunday as well keeping the dry conditions in
place.

This area of high pressure will then begin to dissipate early next
week as an area of low pressure moves into the Atlantic waters off
the coast of the Carolinas. This will allow for a back door cold
front to move through the region on Monday night into early
Tuesday morning. This will also increase the amount of low level
moisture in the area which will allow for a slight chance of
showers during this time. After the cold front moves through,
another area of high pressure will build into South Florida
bringing a return of dry conditions to the region. High
temperatures will warm up into the low 80s across the east coast
metro areas to the upper 80s across the interior as the middle of
the week approaches.

&&

.MARINE...
North to northeast winds of 10 to 15 knots will continue across
the Atlantic and Gulf waters tonight with wave heights ranging
from 3 to 5 feet across the Atlantic waters and 1 to 3 feet across
the Gulf waters. Conditions will improve over the local waters for
the weekend as high pressure continues to build into the region.
Winds will begin to shift more towards the east southeast as the
weekend progresses. Winds will increase across the waters early
next week which may lead to deteriorating boating conditions
across the Atlantic waters.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
The dry weather will continue through tonight, however, it will
slowly moderate during the weekend as the winds begin to shift to
a more east to southeasterly direction. On Saturday, minimum
relative humidity values will drop into the mid to upper 30s
across the western interior areas. Minimum relative humidity
values will drop into the 40s across the rest of the area. The 20
foot winds will remain below 15 mph through the weekend, therefore
no headlines for fire weather are expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach  58  76  62  81 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  60  76  65  81 /   0   0   0   0
Miami            60  78  65  81 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           55  79  62  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...55/CWC
MARINE...55/CWC
FIRE WEATHER...55/CWC

Hazardous Weather Outlook for South Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
342 AM EDT Fri Mar 23 2018

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
231945-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach-Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-
Inland Broward-Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade-
Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-
Dade-Far South Miami-Dade-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
342 AM EDT Fri Mar 23 2018

...Enhanced Fire Weather Conditions Across South Florida Today...
...Chilly Temperatures To Start Across South Florida This Morning...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Temperatures: Low temperatures this morning will fall into the low
40s across Glades and Hendry Counties, mid to upper 40s elsewhere
across the interior and Gulf regions, and in the low 50s across the
east coast metro areas. The coldest temperatures can be expected just
before sunrise this morning. Temperatures may drop into the upper 40s
to around 50 across interior South Florida again overnight.

Fire Weather: There will be enhanced fire weather conditions this
afternoon across most of South Florida due to low relative humidity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Enhanced fire weather conditions are expected to continue across the
western interior through the weekend due to low relative humidity.
However, wind critical thresholds are not expected to be met.

An increasing risk of rip currents is expected along the east coast
beaches of South Florida through the upcoming weekend into early next
week.

Strong east-northeast wind surge may lead to deteriorating boating
conditions early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.