High winds from a thunderstorm caused minor damage near Destin.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MOB wrote it up.
High winds from a thunderstorm caused minor damage near Destin.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 4, 6:19 AM CST, 11 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
619 AM CST Sun Feb 4 2018
.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.
&&
.AVIATION...
12Z issuance...MVFR to IFR cigs and visibilities through about
04.16z followed by mostly VFR conditions through 05.12z. Lower
cigs and visibilities mostly in light to moderate rain, light fog
and low stratus through mid morning today. Winds will be southeast
to south at 10 to 20 mph early today, shifting southwest then
northwest at 8 to 12 knots later this morning and this afternoon
then north this evening through 05.12z. 32/ee
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 503 AM CST Sun Feb 4 2018/
NEAR TERM /Now Through Sunday night/...Latest radar loops
continue to show widespread moderate to heavy showers over much of
the forecast area early this morning with maybe an isolated
thunderstorm mostly near the coast and offshore due to the lack of
instability near the surface further inland. Later this morning
better instability develops near the surface leading to better
coverage of thunderstorms though remaining mostly scattered in
coverage through mid to late morning. Most of the guidance and
real time data continues to show good vertical shear across the
north central gulf states this morning as a developing low near
the surface over lower parts of LA and MS tracks east combined
with a 50 to 60 knot H8 jet traversing eastward over central parts
of MS and AL also this morning, exiting quickly to the east of
the forecast area by mid to late morning. This pattern suggests
the better shear and increasing surface based instability will be
somewhat in phase generally over eastern and coastal sections of
the forecast area early today eroding quickly by late morning and
early afternoon. As a result we will have to monitor closely for a
few strong thunderstorms near the Al and NWFL coast and inland
areas generally along and east of the I-65 corridor through mid to
late morning. Gusty winds, heavy rain with some small hail and
isolated tornadoes will be possible with a few isolated
thunderstorms through mid to late morning. Some minor flooding
mainly in areas of poor drainage will also be possible through
this morning.
Highs today will be 5 to 10 degrees above seasonal norms ranging
from the mid 60s well inland and the upper 60s to lower 70s further
south to the immediate coast. Lows tonight will be near seasonal
norms ranging from the upper 30s to lower 40s for most inland areas
and the middle 40s closer to the coast. 32/ee
SHORT TERM /Monday Through Tuesday night/...A deep layer dry
airmass will continue to spread across our forecast area Monday
underneath mean zonal mid level flow, while surface high pressure
continues to move eastward toward the eastern states. We expect
mostly clear skies into Monday afternoon with high temperatures
averaging pretty close to seasonal normals. Surface flow will
gradually become southeasterly to southerly Monday night into
Tuesday as the surface ridge axis moves east and the next trough
of low pressure deepens over the Plains states. Mid level flow
also begins to turn southwesterly Monday night into Tuesday
morning in advance of the next shortwave trough that will be
approaching the Mississippi Valley region from the Plains states.
Deep layer moisture and lift gradually spreads across our area
Tuesday into Tuesday night, and expect increasing coverage of rain
showers over the area during this time frame. A few thunderstorms
will also be possible by Tuesday night, as MLCAPE values increase
to 250-500 J/KG along with 30-40 knots of low level flow. The best
chance of rain will be favored across our western and northwestern
zones Tuesday and Tuesday night, where we will have POPs
increasing to 60-80%, with chances generally in the 30-50% range
farther south and east.
Temperature-wise, overnight lows remain rather cool Monday night
as we still remain somewhat underneath the influence of the
eastward moving ridge axis, but warmer temperatures are expected
Tuesday and Tuesday night with increasing low level moisture and
southerly flow. /21
LONG TERM /Wednesday Through Saturday/...A cold front is expected
to push across our area Wednesday afternoon and evening as the
shortwave trough ejects across the Tennessee Valley region.
Showers and a few thunderstorms will spread southeastward across
our forecast area along and ahead of the front during the day
Wednesday, and will have categorical POPs across most of the
forecast area. It still appears there could be at least a few
strong to perhaps marginally severe storms during the day
Wednesday if sufficient instability becomes coincident with ample
deep layer shear ahead of the approaching front. Heavy rainfall
will likely be more of concern as precipitable water values
increase to around 1.5-1.6 inches along the frontal boundary.
Rain should end from northwest to southeast Wednesday evening,
with drier air moving in for Thursday. The break from rain look
short-lived as southwest flow increases again late Friday into
Saturday ahead of the next trough. The chance for showers and
potentially a few thunderstorms increases again Friday night and
especially Saturday. /21
MARINE...A moderate to strong southerly wind flow early today
will shift northwest and diminish later today in the wake of a cold
front that moves across the north central gulf later this morning.
Widespread showers with a few embedded thunderstorms ahead and along
the front will move across the marine area this morning, shifting
east of the region by late morning and early afternoon. Gusty winds
with periods of heavy rain and fog will accompany the heavier
showers and thunderstorms this morning. A few isolated waterspouts
will also be possible mainly through mid to late morning. Seas will
range from 5 to 7 feet early today, subsiding to 4 to 6 feet later
today through Mon morning, then 2 to 4 feet by Mon afternoon. A
moderate northeast flow early Mon will shift east then southeast
late Mon through Tue ahead of another cold front that is expected to
move across region by late Wed night into early Thu. 32/ee
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CST this evening for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CST this evening for FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for GMZ631-632-
650-655-670-675.
&&
This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mobHazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 521 AM CST Sun Feb 4 2018 ALZ051>060-261>264-FLZ201-203-205-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-051130- Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Escambia Inland-Santa Rosa Inland-Okaloosa Inland- Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- 521 AM CST Sun Feb 4 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama, southwest Alabama, northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. A few isolated strong thunderstorms will be possible over eastern and coastal sections of the forecast area this morning. Gusty winds, heavy rain with some small hail, and brief or short lived tornadoes will be possible with some of the stronger thunderstorms through mid to late morning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-051130- Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Coastal- 521 AM CST Sun Feb 4 2018 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. A few isolated strong thunderstorms will be possible over eastern and coastal sections of the forecast area this morning. Gusty winds, heavy rain with some small hail, and brief or short lived tornadoes will be possible with some of the stronger thunderstorms through mid to late morning. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. High Rip Current Risk. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ630-633>636-051130- Northern Mobile Bay-Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System- Western Choctawhatchee Bay-Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 521 AM CST Sun Feb 4 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. A few strong thunderstorms will be possible this morning. Gusty winds, heavy rain with some small hail, and brief or short lived waterspouts will be possible with some of the stronger thunderstorms through mid to late morning. Some minor flooding will also be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675-051130- Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound- Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL out 20 NM-Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM- 521 AM CST Sun Feb 4 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. A few strong thunderstorms will be possible this morning. Gusty winds, heavy rain with some small hail, and brief or short lived waterspouts will be possible with some of the stronger thunderstorms through mid to late morning. Some minor flooding will also be possible. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Winds estimated at 60 mph downed a few trees and power lines. Also damage to a roof and fence along Stahlman Ave.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, February 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 741726.