Arizona, 2018

Flash Flooding and Heavy Rain in Arizona, August 25, 2018

August 25, 2018 · NWS FGZ · 9 events in 3 counties and zones

Deep monsoon moisture brought another round of thunderstorms across northern Arizona.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
9

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

Deep monsoon moisture brought another round of thunderstorms across northern Arizona.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 25, 10:41 AM MST, 1 hour 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 25, 10:41 AM MST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1041 AM MST Sat Aug 25 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Deep monsoon moisture will bring another round of
numerous showers and thunderstorms today, with scattered storms
continuing Sunday. Drier air moving into the region will lead to
a significant downturn in shower and thunderstorm activity through
much of next week with most areas remaining dry.

&&

.UPDATE...A mesoscale circulation centered east of Payson this
morning is bringing an area of rain and thunderstorms to northern
Gila, SE Coconino and southern Navajo counties this morning.
Copious moisture is leading to some localized pockets of heavy
rainfall, with a spotter report of 1.00" of rain in 15 minutes at
Forest Lakes. The circulation is moving slowly toward the
northwest. Elsewhere, instability is increasing with daytime
heating. Storms are already developing near the San Francisco
Peaks, just east of Prescott, and over the northeast AZ mountains.
This morning's sounding at Bellemont showed little change in the
air mass over the area, with perhaps a bit more instability due to
cooler mid levels - in other words, look for another active day of
storms. Main threat will be locally heavy rainfall and flash
flooding, though gusty wind and hail are also likely with the
stronger storms. Forecasts updated to increase storm chances
today. Also raised Sunday afternoon's rain chances after getting a
look at new model runs this morning. Updates sent.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /452 AM MST/...A meso-scale circulation over east
central Arizona is triggering showers and thunderstorms over
southern Apache, southern Navajo, and northern Gila Counties this
morning. Meso scale model shows this area of storms continuing
and expanding northwestward through the day. Expect an active day
across much of northern Arizona today.

A trough of low pressure moving into the Pacific Northwest has
gradually pushed monsoon moisture over the southern Great Basin
eastward over the last two days. The boundary of 0.5 inch PW air
has now moved into far southeastern Nevada this morning. This
drier air will continue to push southeastward over the next
several days and will result in a significant downturn in shower
and thunderstorm activity Sunday through much of next week. Some
isolated storms are possible in the White Mountains with dry
conditions expected elsewhere through at least Thursday.

A cut off low may form off the southern coast of California while
a high center develops over the Southeastern States late next
week. this would bring a return of deep moisture over Arizona.
However, confidence is low that this pattern would develop.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 18Z package...An area of steady shra/+shra
and embedded tsra from KPAN-KSOW will persist through 18Z-19Z and
will then slowly dissipate. Localized MVFR conditions exist in this
region. Otherwise, expect sct-nmrs shra/tsra and isold +tsra to
develop aft 18Z-19Z in other areas, but especially along and SW of a
line from KFLG-KINW-KRQE. Brief MVFR/IFR in the heavier showers,
Winds generally light. Conditions becmg VFR aft 01Z-02Z. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Monsoon moisture will remain in place today, with
scattered to numerous thunderstorms developing. Greatest coverage is
expected along over Yavapai county, northern Gila county, southern
Coconino county and southern Navajo and Apache counties. Drier air
moving into the region will slowly reduce thunderstorm chances on
Sunday.

Monday through Wednesday...A drier airmass will bring mostly sunny
skies to the district, with afternoon fair weather cumulus, mainly
over higher terrain. Temperatures will be near normal for late
August.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...JJ/MAS
AVIATION...Peterson
FIRE WEATHER...Peterson

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 97 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:00 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

8 flash flood, 1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Yavapai

When
August 25, 12:00 PM MST to 6:00 PM MST
Where
Yavapai County, Mayer to 2.2 mi ENE of Cordes
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
34.400, -112.230

Big Bug Creek rose 2.1 feet in 70 minutes due to heavy rainfall near and over the Goodwin Fire scar upstream from the town of Mayer. Big Bug Creek flowing through Cordes Lakes rose by 3 feet in 45 minutes (415 PM).

Flash Flood, Yavapai

When
August 25, 12:30 PM MST to 1:00 PM MST
Where
Yavapai County, 0.57 mi W of Whipple to 1.76 mi ENE of Prescott
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
34.550, -112.460

Heavy rainfall caused Granite Creek in Prescott to rise 2.65 feet in 30 minutes.

Flash Flood, Yavapai

When
August 25, 1:20 PM MST to 3:30 PM MST
Where
Yavapai County, 9.21 mi WSW of Childs to 9.35 mi ENE of Cordes
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
34.279, -111.837

Sycamore Creek near Dugas rose 2.71 feet in 70 minutes starting at 120 PM MST.

Heavy Rain, Apache

When
August 25, 2:15 PM MST to 3:15 PM MST
Where
Apache County, 0.89 mi NE of Steamboat Canyon to 5.23 mi ENE of Steamboat Canyon
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
35.760, -109.860

Pictures on social media showed 6 to 8 inches of water running over urban roadways and other land surrounding structures near Steamboat and State Route 264.

Flash Flood, Apache

When
August 25, 2:50 PM MST to 3:50 PM MST
Where
Apache County, 6.97 mi NW of Ganado to 5.61 mi WNW of Ganado
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
35.780, -109.650

The Arizona Department of Transportation reported that State Route 264 was impassible in both directions at milepost 439 due to flash flooding caused by heavy rain.

Flash Flood, Navajo

When
August 25, 3:30 PM MST to 4:30 PM MST
Where
Navajo County, 3.5 mi N of Greasewood to 7.32 mi E of Indian Wells
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.570, -109.880

Ten inches of water and debris were flowing across a roadway north of the town of Grease wood.

Flash Flood, Apache

When
August 25, 3:50 PM MST to 6:50 PM MST
Where
Apache County, 1.28 mi ESE of Houck to 9.82 mi WSW of Houck
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
35.270, -109.201

Swift water rescue was conducted around 350 PM to rescue a driver in 2.5 to 3 feet of water on Interstate 40 due to flooding of Black Creek near Houck. The I-40 frontage road (dirt) on the north side was impassible due to flooding through at least 630 PM.

Flash Flood, Yavapai

When
August 25, 4:30 PM MST to 6:40 PM MST
Where
Yavapai County, 6.73 mi E of Cordes to 6.32 mi NE of Cordes
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
34.295, -112.052

The Agua Fria gauge (up stream from Big Bug Creek/Goodwin Fire scar) rose 3.6 feet in 70 minutes.

Flash Flood, Yavapai

When
August 25, 6:30 PM MST to 7:30 PM MST
Where
Yavapai County, 12.33 mi WSW of Congress to 16.59 mi WSW of Congress
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
34.107, -113.039

Arizona State Route 71 southbound was closed at milepost 95 west of US 93 due to a wash flowing over the roadway.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 786355, 786354, 786398, 786357, 786358, 786359, 786399, 786407, 786400.