Washington, 2017

Flood in Washington, February 10 to 11, 2017

February 10 to 11, 2017 · NWS PDT · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Ice jam on the north fork of the Ahtanum Creek caused flooding in central Yakima county.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PDT wrote it up.

Ice jam on the north fork of the Ahtanum Creek caused flooding in central Yakima county.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pendleton, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 10, 4:00 AM PST, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 10, 4:00 AM PST, 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated
National Weather Service Pendleton OR
400 AM PST Fri Feb 10 2017

Updated Aviation Discussion and Watches/Warnings/Advisories section

.SHORT TERM...Today through Sunday...An upper level low off the WA
coast is moving northeast and filling. Temperatures are still quite
warm, mainly upper 30s and 40s except in the Kittitas Valley where
it is in the mid 20s. This has led to rapid snow melt and a few
flooding issues. See the Hydrology section below for a discussion of
these issues. Radar continues to show showery activity in the Blue
Mountains though precipitation amounts are light. The low will come
ashore as a weak wave that will trigger a few showers this afternoon
in the mountains and central to NE OR. A few showers may linger in
the mountains Saturday. Snow levels will start around 3500-4000 feet
this morning then drop to 1000-2000 by Saturday morning.
Precipitation amounts will be light and snow will be limited to an
few inches in the mountains. Saturday an upper level ridge will
build near the coast and shift slowly east. Subsidence from the
ridge will keep the area dry with mostly clear skies Saturday night
and Sunday. Radiational cooling Saturday night will drop morning
lows to the teens and 20s. Surface inversions will strengthen due to
the ridge and patchy fog may develop in the Lower Columbia Basin
Sunday morning, especially near rivers. 76

.LONG TERM...Sunday night through Thursday...An upper level ridge
will be over the Pacific Northwest Sunday through Monday night. Thus
expect dry conditions with some patchy late night and morning fog at
the lowest elevations. Temps will generally be seasonal across the
area, though high temps should be a bit cooler than seasonal at the
lowest elevations due to the fog. This fog could be potentially
difficult to dissipate depending upon the amount of existing
residual snow cover. A weak system may try to break into the ridge
late Monday night or Tuesday. There remain difference between the
mid range models concerning this system, with the GFS currently
being the most adamant about it's occurrence. For now will opt for
the slower/drier ECMWF solution. Conditions look to become more
active Wednesday and Thursday. There continue to be differences in
the handling of the details, but overall should see some precip at
most locations. Will continue the current broad brush forecast for
Wednesday and Thursday. Snow levels should generally be higher, and
more typical for this time of year. Will have to watch for spotty
freezing rain occurrences in the Columbia Basin though, but for now
will not mention. 90

&&

.AVIATION...12z TAFS...Should see VFR conditions at all sites during
the next 24 hours. The one exception will be KDLS where some fog or
mist can be expected this morning. This site remains trapped within
what is left of the cold, moist low level air mass. Do not expect
this site to mix out until around noon. A few light showers may
drift over KDLS early in this period. With surface temps around 30
degrees, these showers will be in the form of freezing rain. Showers
will then linger over the adjacent benches mid morning through the
afternoon. All other sites have now mixed out with south to
southwest winds of 10 to 15 kts and higher gusts expected at various
times today and/or tonight. KRDM will at times see light northerly
winds this morning. These northerly winds are the result of rotor
action and some low level mechanical turbulence should be
anticipated. KPDT and KALW will see a few showers at times to the
immediate east as they develop and move north-northeast along the
front of the Blue Mountains. 90

&&

.HYDROLOGY...A flood watch for portions of northeast Oregon and
southeast Washington will continue until Friday morning as very warm
temperatures are noted over the mountains with a few showers yet to
move through. The John Day River is forecast to rise just above
flood stage this morning before it crests this afternoon. There has
been some rapid snowmelt occurring through the Grande Ronde Valley,
with some local flooding in Union and Elgin, with a Flood Advisory
through mid day Friday. Somewhat cooler air will be filtering in on
Friday to decrease snowmelt. 76

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
PDT  45  31  42  27 /  20  10  10   0
ALW  48  33  43  29 /  20  20  10   0
PSC  47  29  44  26 /  10  10  10   0
YKM  44  24  42  24 /  10  10  10   0
HRI  47  30  44  26 /  10  10  10   0
ELN  40  25  39  21 /  20  10  10   0
RDM  46  22  40  19 /  20  10  10   0
LGD  45  28  38  21 /  50  30  20   0
GCD  47  26  40  21 /  40  20  10   0
DLS  45  32  44  27 /  20  20  10   0

&&

.PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...None.

WA...None.

&&

76/90/90

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Yakima

When
February 10, 4:39 AM PST to February 11, 12:57 PM PST
Where
Yakima County, 1.09 mi NW of Tampico to 1.13 mi WSW of Tampico
Cause
Ice Jam
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
46.540, -120.888

After a brief warm up on 2/9/2017, an ice jam formed and broke loose on the North Fork of the Ahtanum Creek in central Yakima county. The ice moved downstream damaging five homes with water and structural damage. One family was displaced.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Washington in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Washington, February 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 683375.