Easterly flow was setting up across the region bringing in deep moisture to the borderland. Some low level convergence was located along the Rio Grande valley with slow moving storms producing heavy rain and flash flooding over El Paso.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Easterly flow was setting up across the region bringing in deep moisture to the borderland. Some low level convergence was located along the Rio Grande valley with slow moving storms producing heavy rain and flash flooding over El Paso.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 19, 2:48 PM MST, 24 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 348 PM MDT Wed Jul 19 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A trough of low pressure over the west Texas will move across southern New Mexico tonight, bringing scattered thunderstorms and a chance of heavy rain and flooding to areas near the International Border. On Thursday and Friday the upper high over the central Plains moves over the central Mississippi Valley and then continues east after. This will allow moist south flow to move into the area by the weekend. Thunderstorm coverage will increase over the weekend into the beginning of next week. Winds aloft will become weak, so storm movement will be slow, increasing the flood potential across the Borderland. && .DISCUSSION... Inverted trough aloft continues moving into the southeast CWA this afternoon in large scale southeast flow over the area. WV imagery showing moisture covering all west Texas zones and also southern Otero County. Scattered thunderstorms have developed across El Paso and Hudspeth Counties. Was not expecting much severe potential, but one severe storm popped up in eastern El Paso County. Still think flooding is main threat tonight with the trough. PWs over west Texas currently around 1.1 inch but TPW product shows 1.3 and 1.4 inches with the trough moving toward the area. Saving grace may be storm speeds are relatively fast (around 15-25 mph), but will still have to watch flood sensitive areas in El Paso County. Thursday and Friday...pattern begins changing as upper high that has been over the central Plains begins moving east, over the central Mississippi Valley Friday morning and then continuing east to consolidate with the Bermuda high. Flow aloft becomes southerly over the CWA with good import of moisture. GFS showing PWs of 1.3 to 1.5 inches over the weekend and into next week. Southerly flow aloft will become quite disjointed by the weekend as new upper high forms over the Great Basin. This will turn flow more north, but GFS also intimating persistent weak upper trough over the eastern CWA. Bottom line is flow will be weak and erratic leading to slow storm movement and flooding. Long range shows some drying out Wednesday and Thursday, with storms back to isolated. GFS shows another potential inverted trough moving up toward the area toward next weekend, though ECMWF shows little or no indication of that. && .AVIATION...Valid 20/00Z-21/00Z... P6SM SCT-BKN050-070 BKN-OVC150- 200 through much of the period. Scattered VRB20G35KT 1-3SM TSRA BKN020-040 west of KTCS-KELP line and isolated to the east. Storms will mainly occur before 03Z and again after 16Z, but isolated storms may continue through night. && .FIRE WEATHER... Upper ridge currently to east of area will be moving east and get broken down over the coming days. This will allow the deeper moisture currently over Arizona to move into New Mexico by the end of the week. Expect isolated to scattered storms today and tomorrow with an increase areawide by Friday and continuing into early next week. As flow aloft weakens, storms will be very slow moving with the threat for flooding on the increase. Temperatures will be near to slightly below normal. With weaker winds aloft, vent rates will be falling into the fair to good categories. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 73 89 71 92 / 40 20 20 20 Sierra Blanca 69 89 68 90 / 30 20 20 20 Las Cruces 69 89 67 91 / 50 20 20 20 Alamogordo 69 90 68 93 / 10 20 20 20 Cloudcroft 49 68 51 69 / 10 40 20 60 Truth or Consequences 69 91 68 95 / 20 20 30 20 Silver City 60 85 61 86 / 50 60 50 50 Deming 70 88 66 91 / 50 40 30 30 Lordsburg 68 88 65 90 / 50 50 40 40 West El Paso Metro 72 89 70 90 / 40 20 20 20 Dell City 70 93 69 95 / 20 20 20 20 Fort Hancock 75 90 73 92 / 30 20 20 20 Loma Linda 64 82 64 83 / 30 20 20 20 Fabens 74 89 70 91 / 40 20 20 20 Santa Teresa 72 88 68 90 / 40 20 20 20 White Sands HQ 70 87 69 92 / 20 20 20 30 Jornada Range 67 90 67 95 / 20 20 20 30 Hatch 68 89 66 93 / 40 30 20 20 Columbus 70 87 67 91 / 50 30 30 30 Orogrande 72 90 67 92 / 20 20 20 20 Mayhill 53 81 55 80 / 10 40 20 50 Mescalero 55 79 56 80 / 10 40 20 60 Timberon 54 77 54 78 / 10 30 20 50 Winston 57 83 57 85 / 20 50 40 50 Hillsboro 63 90 63 90 / 40 40 40 40 Spaceport 67 90 66 95 / 20 20 20 30 Lake Roberts 53 82 53 84 / 40 60 50 70 Hurley 61 85 60 86 / 50 50 40 40 Cliff 59 86 60 88 / 40 60 50 60 Mule Creek 60 85 60 87 / 30 60 50 60 Faywood 62 85 61 87 / 50 50 40 30 Animas 69 89 65 90 / 50 60 40 50 Hachita 67 89 64 90 / 50 50 40 40 Antelope Wells 66 84 63 86 / 50 50 40 60 Cloverdale 64 83 61 81 / 50 60 50 60 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && Hefner/Grzywacz
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1205 PM MDT Wed Jul 19 2017 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-201815- Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel- Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin- Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes- Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley- Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa- Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin- Southern Hudspeth Highlands- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County- 1205 PM MDT Wed Jul 19 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Scattered thunderstorms this afternoon and into much of the night. A few of these storms could produce heavy rain and local flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms through Friday, then becoming scattered to numerous over the weekend into the beginning of next week. Heavy rain and flash flooding will be the main threat in this period. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. Hefner
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service El Paso TX 120 PM MDT WED JUL 19 2017 TXZ421-192000- Salt Basin TX- 120 PM MDT WED JUL 19 2017 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... At 119 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9 miles east of Salt Flat, or 11 miles southwest of Pine Springs, moving northwest at 10 mph. Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Salt Flat and Guadalupe Mountains National Park. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && LAT...LON 3172 10520 3196 10505 3188 10492 3164 10491 TIME...MOT...LOC 1919Z 117DEG 9KT 3175 10491 CRESPO
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service El Paso TX 132 PM MDT WED JUL 19 2017 TXZ420>422-192015- Southern Hudspeth Highlands TX-Salt Basin TX- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains TX- 132 PM MDT WED JUL 19 2017 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL HUDSPETH COUNTY UNTIL 215 PM MDT... At 131 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 20 miles north of Sierra Blanca, moving west at 20 mph. Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Hudspeth County and FM 1111. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && LAT...LON 3154 10514 3138 10523 3140 10562 3173 10547 TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 111DEG 16KT 3147 10530 CRESPO
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service El Paso TX 356 PM MDT WED JUL 19 2017 NMZ412-414-415-192245- Central Tularosa Basin NM- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet NM- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet NM- 356 PM MDT WED JUL 19 2017 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN OTERO COUNTY UNTIL 445 PM MDT... At 356 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over La Luz, or 4 miles north of Alamogordo, moving northwest at 15 mph. Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Alamogordo, Tularosa, La Luz, Mountain Park, High Rolls and Burro Flats. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3296 10581 3279 10594 3300 10620 3319 10593 TIME...MOT...LOC 2156Z 147DEG 12KT 3298 10596 CRESPO
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service El Paso TX 408 PM MDT WED JUL 19 2017 NMZ414>417-192300- Otero Mesa NM-West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet NM- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet NM- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet NM- 408 PM MDT WED JUL 19 2017 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL OTERO COUNTY UNTIL 500 PM MDT... At 408 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6 miles southwest of Sacramento, or 7 miles northeast of Timberon, moving west at 10 mph. Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Timberon, Sacramento and Bluff Springs. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && LAT...LON 3277 10548 3260 10555 3264 10585 3291 10573 TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 108DEG 11KT 3271 10561 CRESPO
The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 56 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:14 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Widespread street flooding over parts of east El Paso and Montana Vista. Water was entering the home on Linda Rene St. in Montana Vista area.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2017
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 715635.