Dry conditions that plagued Northeast Kenedy County during December, when less than half an inch of rain fell, continued into January, resulting in drought conditions intensifying and Severe (D2) drought conditions returning to NE Kenedy County.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BRO wrote it up.
Dry conditions that plagued Northeast Kenedy County during December, when less than half an inch of rain fell, continued into January, resulting in drought conditions intensifying and Severe (D2) drought conditions returning to NE Kenedy County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 16, 11:33 PM CST, 27 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service BROWNSVILLE TX 1133 PM CST Mon Jan 16 2017 .DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION...Clouds are expected to increase and lower as moisture increases east and across a stationary front extending from KBKS to west of KMFE. Patchy MVFR has been observed prior to 06Z and this trend of lowering clouds should continue overnight. MVFR cigs to become more widespread with possible IFR cigs and MVFR vsby conditions developing around sunrise Tuesday. Daytime heating and an moderate increase in southeast winds Tuesday afternoon should be sufficient to mix out the stratus with VFr conditions returning. A few gulf showers are possible in the KBRO area around sunrise with isolated showers developing throughout the region later Tuesday with best chances for the terminals to be impacting by any convection will be Tuesday night into Wednesday. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 900 PM CST Mon Jan 16 2017/ DISCUSSION...A few minor changes to the overnight forecast that mainly impact the coastal waters. Also, adjusted some pops and weather for Tuesday. Added a few showers over the coastal waters with a moist southeast flow deepening the moisture overnight. Showers were observed last night and with a stationary front located over the Western CWA do not see any reason for another round of isolated activity offshore with maybe a few reaching Port Isabel, SPI and possibly Brownsville. For Tuesday kept some low pops in during the day and delayed the onset of any thunder until the afternoon once some daytime heating gets going. Better chances for rain looks on track for Tuesday night into Wednesday as the next upper trough and its associated front push into the region. Cut back on pops just a bit but kept best chance north and west closer to the front and upper jet dynamics. PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 557 PM CST Mon Jan 16 2017/ DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below. AVIATION...Low level moisture increases tonight with a stalled front along a KHBV to Rio Grande City line. VFR conditions are expected this evening with MVFR cigs developing around midnight and continuing through much of Tuesday morning. Light southeast winds could become light enough to allow for some patchy MVFR vsby and possibly cigs approaching IFR around sunrise Tuesday. As the front dissipates or retreats northwest late Tuesday morning southeast winds increase and lower clouds break with VFR conditions resuming Tuesday afternoon. PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 341 PM CST Mon Jan 16 2017/ SHORT TERM (Tonight through Tuesday Night): Latest surface analysis indicates a weak cold front draped across the central portions of the forecast area. Gusty southerly winds prevail near the coast with light west to northwest winds across the western portions of Deep South Texas this afternoon. The frontal boundary will continue to linger across the area this afternoon before drifting back to the west later tonight. Isolated to scattered showers are forecast for all of Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley Tuesday and Tuesday night as another weak cold front approaches the area. Temperatures will remain above normal through the entire short term forecast period. Patchy fog will also be possible later tonight and late Tuesday night. LONG TERM (Wednesday through Monday): A 500 mb closed low/trough axis will move across northern Mexico and the south central Plains states on Wed and Thurs. Pretty good deeper layer moisture and instability appears to pool ahead of this trough and associated cold front. So will maintain the threat of conv for both days as both the GFS and ECMWF keep the best conv pops in place during this period. As the trough axis lifts out to the east and northeast late Thurs and Fri much drier and more stable air will move into the region decreasing the pops pretty quickly. The drier and more zonal 500 mb flow in addition to the increasing daytime heating will allow the temps to warm steadily for Fri and Sat with nil pops prevailing. However another fast moving 500 mb trough will move out of the Desert Southwest this weekend. This will allow another stronger but drier cold front to move through the RGV late Sat/early Sunday. The more Pacific airmass moving in behind this weekend front will cool down the temps closer to climo for late January on Sun and Mon. The GFS and ECMWF 500 mb fields are in good agreement in the handling of the synoptic features through Day 7. Run to run GFS MEX MOS temps and pops are pretty stable over the last several days runs. However...fairly significant differences persist between these two longer range models for the run to run temps/pops with the ECMWF maintaining warmer and slightly wetter solutions for the longer range versus the GFS. Considering the persistent warm temps that the RGV has witnessed throughout this winter...will lean a little more in favor of the ECMWF solution. SPC maintains a marginal risk for svr conv mainly near the Coastal Bend area for early Wed as the 500 mb trough axis moves closer to the region interacting with decent instability values. Despite the strength of the 500 mb trough axis moving through the area...the threat for svr wx will likely be limited due to the marginal instability. For now will not mention any severe weather in the current forecast wording. Overall forecast confidence in the longer range wording is above average today. MARINE: (Now through Tuesday Night): Buoy 42020 reported south southeast winds around 12 knots gusting to around 14 knots with seas of 6.6 feet with a period of 8 seconds at 14 CST/20 UTC. Moderate winds and seas are expected to continue through the rest of the forecast period due to persistent swells and frontal boundary across portions of Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley. Small Craft Exercise Caution likely for portions of Lower Texas Gulf waters through Tuesday night. Wednesday through Saturday Night...A pretty weak PGF will prevail over the lower TX coastline through the latter half of this week which will keep fairly low winds and seas in place. Northwest winds moving in behind a weekend cold front moving through the region will allow the winds and seas to build back up near SCA levels starting late Saturday. && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && This product is also available on the web at: HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 457 PM CST MON JAN 16 2017 TXZ248>257-172300- ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY- INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON- 457 PM CST MON JAN 16 2017 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND AT BOCA CHICA BEACH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS POSSIBLE AT THE LOCAL BEACHES TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY. THERE IS CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WITH ONE OR TWO OF THESE STORMS BECOMING STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE. THE NORTHERN RANCHLANDS AND PORTIONS OF KENEDY COUNTY LOOK TO HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING THE STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH THESE POTENTIAL STORMS. SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH TUESDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS LATER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-172300- LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO- LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TX- LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 457 PM CST MON JAN 16 2017 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS COULD MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS NORTH OF THE PORT MANSFIELD CUT. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY APPROACH STRONG LEVELS GUSTY WINDS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY FOR ALL COASTAL WATERS AND A GALE WARNING IS POSSIBLE FOR STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A PACIFIC COLD FRONT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. GB
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
A general lack of rainfall allowed for drought conditions to intensify across northeastern Kenedy County by mid January, with Severe (D2) drought conditions returning to the region.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, January 2017
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 677382.