Oregon, 2017

Flood in Oregon, March 15 to 20, 2017

March 15 to 20, 2017 · NWS PDT · 1 event in 1 county or zone

An extended period of snow melt, combined with a period of heavy rain, caused an extended period of flooding along portions of the Grande Ronde River.

Where it happened

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  • Heat and drought
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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PDT wrote it up.

An extended period of snow melt, combined with a period of heavy rain, caused an extended period of flooding along portions of the Grande Ronde River.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pendleton, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 15, 12:43 PM PST, 8 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 15, 12:43 PM PST, 8 hours 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pendleton OR
143 PM PDT Wed Mar 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Saturday...The moist southwest flow
will give way to a westerly flow overnight as a result of a cold
frontal passage. The front will bring precipitation to the forecast
area as it transitions the area overnight with drying and cooler
conditions behind it for Thursday. Snow levels will lower overnight
but as the precipitation is decreasing so no significant
accumulations expected. However, the lowering freezing level will
help to reduce snowmelt occurring in the mountains.

The next weather system will arrive Friday afternoon and evening as
a warm front followed by another cold front late Saturday. The warm
front will mainly impact the north and northwest portion of the
forecast area with rain. However, initial snow levels will be around
2500-3000 feet late Friday along the east slopes of the Washington
Cascades so some snow accumulations will be possible before snow
levels rise. The cold front will bring a better chance of
precipitation to the entire forecast area on Saturday with snow
levels 5000-7000 feet. The cold front will also produce some windy
conditions with south winds becoming westerly in the afternoon.
.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL KEEP RAIN AND HIGHER MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS
IN THE FORECAST SATURDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF
THE CASCADES AND EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA. WESTERLY WINDS COULD BE
QUITE GUSTY FOR A TIME SATURDAY EVENING IN PARTS OF THE AREA. ON
SUNDAY THE AREA WILL BE UNDER A FAIRLY STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION
PATTERN, WITH DRY MID AND LOW LEVEL AIR IN PLACE BEHIND THE
DEPARTING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY, WITH ONLY
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF MOUNTAIN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW LEVELS DROP
TO BETWEEN 1500-3500 FEET OVER THE FORECAST AREA. EVEN WITH THE
COLDER AIR ALOFT IN PLACE, HIGH TEMEPRATURES ARE STILL EXPECTED TO
REACH THE LOWER TO MID 50S IN THE VALLEYS/BASINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON,
WHICH IS ONLY A FEW DEGREES SHY OF THE SEASONAL AVERAGE. ON MONDAY
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO DEEPEN OFF THE WEST COAST.
THIS TURNS THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW MORE SOUTHERLY OVER THE CWA.
THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW END CHANCE OF RAIN AND
MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA,
MAINLY LATER IN THE DAY. FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT THAT THE OFFSHORE
TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH THE INLAND PACIFIC NW. THEREFORE THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST NOW HAS CHANCE POPS FOR LOWER ELEVATION RAIN, AND
HIGH CHANCE TO LOW END LIKELY POPS FOR RAIN AND HIGH MOUNTAIN SNOW.
SNOW LEVELS WILL BE MAINLY BETWEEN 4000 TO 6000 FEET, EXCEPT PERHAPS
SLIGHTLY LOWER(2000-3000 FEET)TUESDAY MORNING ESPECIALLY IN
WASHINGTON. TEMPERATURES WILL HOLD NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE
FOR MOST OF THE AREA FOR EARLY AND MID-WEEK. 77

&&

.AVIATION...00Z TAFS...VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FOR MOST TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY.

THE NEXT WAVE OF MOISTURE IS MOVING INTO THE AREA NOW. THIS WILL
BRING A PERIOD OF STEADY LIGHT, TO PERHAPS OCCASIONALLY MODERATE
RAIN TO MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. EXPECT LOWER END
VFR OR TEMPO MVFR CONDITIONS DURING THIS TIME (15/22Z - 16/03Z).
CIGS MOSTLY BETWEEN 3K TO 6K FT AGL. KYKM WILL LIKELY ONLY SEE VERY
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OR VCSH DURING THIS TIME DUE TO SHADOWING. ANY
RAIN SHOWERS SHOULD EXIT THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER 16/06-09Z.
EXPECT ONLY A FEW TO SCT MID-LEVEL CLOUDS BY THURSDAY MORNING OVER
THE AREA. HOWEVER, SOME BKN LOWER LEVEL CLOUDS COULD REMAIN TRAPPED
IN THE EASTERN COLUMBIA GORGE THROUGH DAYBREAK.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE BREEZY AND SOMEWHAT GUSTY TODAY, AND COULD
LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE WINDS
BETWEEN 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KTS AT TIMES. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO DIMINISH ON THURSDAY, MAINLY AOB 15 KTS. 77

&&

.HYDROLOGY...MILD TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CAUSE RAPID SNOWMELT
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION AND WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TONIGHT, THE
CURRENT FLOODING IN YAKIMA AND KITTITAS COUNTIES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.  A FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR THE EAST
SLOPES OF THE WASHINGTON CASCADES AND FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT
FOR THE PORTIONS OF THE KLICKITAT, GRANDE RONDE AND UMATILLA RIVERS
AS THE RUNOFF MAKES IT'S WAY INTO THE LARGER RIVERS. 93

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
PDT  41  53  34  57 /  80  10   0  20
ALW  44  55  38  59 /  80  10   0  20
PSC  42  58  35  55 /  60  10   0  20
YKM  36  58  31  54 /  40  10   0  30
HRI  41  56  33  54 /  70  10   0  20
ELN  32  51  30  48 /  40  10   0  30
RDM  36  55  29  61 /  60  10   0  20
LGD  40  56  33  61 /  90  20   0  10
GCD  41  57  33  63 /  80  10   0  10
DLS  41  57  35  52 /  50  10   0  40

&&

.PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...None.
WA...Flood Watch through late tonight for WAZ520.

&&

91/77/77/93

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Wallowa

When
March 15, 8:45 PM PST to March 20, 2:00 PM PST
Where
Wallowa County, 0.06 mi WSW of Troy to 4.3 mi S of Troy
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
45.950, -117.451

The Grande Ronde river at Troy (flood stage 10.0 feet) crested at 11.5 feet at 1000 on March 16, fell below flood stage and then rose again to 11.7 feet at 0100 on March 19th. River went below flood stage around 1400 on March 20th.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Oregon in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, March 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 683634.