New Jersey, 2017

Flash Flooding in New Jersey, May 5, 2017

May 5, 2017 · NWS OKX · 7 events in 3 counties and zones

5 inches, resulted in flash flooding across parts of northeast New Jersey. 01 inches) received just over 3 inches of rain during the event, with the majority of that rain falling during a three hour period.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
7

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OKX wrote it up.

A warm front approaching the area combined with a strong low level jet ushering in precipitable water values in excess of 1.5 inches, resulted in flash flooding across parts of northeast New Jersey. Newark Airport (3.05 inches) and Teterboro Airport (3.01 inches) received just over 3 inches of rain during the event, with the majority of that rain falling during a three hour period. Hourly rainfall rates of up to 1.5 inches were reported at Teterboro, with rates over one inch per hour at Newark.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 5, 10:21 AM EST, 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 5, 10:21 AM EST, 54 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1121 AM EDT Fri May 5 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front moves in today and north of the region tonight. An
associated cold front then quickly follows late tonight into
Saturday. Weakening low pressure northwest of the region this
weekend moves gradually further northward. An upper low will
remain over the Northeast through the middle of next week as a
series of weak disturbances rotating around it.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Light rain associated with the first upper level wave has pushed
north of the area this morning. Most of the area is now mainly under
a dry slot through late this morning until the steadier rain
over the mid Atlantic begins to move across the area later this
morning into this afternoon. Temperatures and dewpoints and
winds were slightly adjusted to better match observed trends.

The upper level trough approaching with PVA and at the surface,
increasing easterly flow ahead of the warm front approaching from
the south. Boundary layer becomes moist with an overall moist
atmospheric column. Rain continues through the day and will be
heavy at times. Any instability is elevated and is conveyed by
models to develop this afternoon, so have isolated thunderstorms
in the forecast as well. This will probably be seen as embedded
thunderstorms within the rain. Cooler temperature guidance from
the NAM12 for temperatures was used.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
The upper level trough continues to approach. The warm front at the
surface will be moving north of the region tonight. The front will
be part of a parent low that will be slightly deepening as it moves
northward from Western PA to Western NY state. Temperatures are
forecast to actually rise slightly this evening before remaining
nearly constant overnight. Rain continues mostly on the East End
of Long Island. Otherwise, other areas will get periodic light
rain or maybe even drizzle at times. Patchy fog develops early on
and further increases as areas at night in response to wet
grounds and onshore flow.

The remaining weakening low Saturday will be northwest of the
region. With cold pool aloft, this will keep showers in the forecast
from time to time. Some surface instability could develop for
western portions of the region Saturday where temperatures will warm
up more relatively so therefore there is a slight chance of a
thunderstorm for those locations. Temperatures are forecast to be
a few degrees warmer Saturday compared to Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Long term forecast models remain in good agreement as an upper
trough remains over the region through much of the period. An upper
low moves into the northeast and remains nearly stationary across
the Northeast through the middle of next week.

The weekend and first half of next week looks to remain unsettled as
an upper level low moves over the Northeast and remain nearly
stationary. A series of weak shortwaves will rotate around the low,
providing the threat of showers as each ones moves across the area.
Despite the threat of rain each day, it should be more dry than wet
through this period, Especially as we get into Sunday and Monday.

A break in the precipitation is expected Monday night into Tuesday
however, another chance of rain will come on Wednesday into
Thursday.

Temperatures should average at or slightly below average for the
long term with an overall cloudy period.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Low pressure approaches today, sending a warm front towards the
region.

Gusty E winds continue through the day, gusting 20-30 kt,
strongest along the coast. Gusts may weaken a bit late this
afternoon as winds veer to the SE. Low level wind shear
expected most terminals into the afternoon.

Conditions continue lowering to IFR as rain overspreads the
terminals. Pockets of +RA along with only isolated thunder are
possible with heavier showers. Any thunder coverage is forecast
to be quite low so it is not mentioned in TAFS at this time.

IFR continues through the afternoon. Ceilings lower to LIFR late
in the day and should continue into the night. Some uncertainty
in visibilities this evening/overnight, but LIFR in FG is
possible.

     NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support...

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: Timing of flight category changes could be
off by a few hours. Pockets of +RA and iso thunder possible late
morning into the afternoon. Peak gusts around 30 kt.

KLGA TAF Comments: Timing of flight category changes could be
off by a few hours. Pockets of +RA and iso thunder possible late
morning into the afternoon.

KEWR TAF Comments: Timing of flight category changes could be
off by a few hours. Pockets of +RA and iso thunder possible late
morning into the afternoon.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is YELLOW...which
implies slant range visibility 4-6SM outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: Timing of flight category changes could be
off by a few hours. Pockets of +RA and iso thunder possible late
morning into the afternoon.

KHPN TAF Comments: Timing of flight category changes could be
off by a few hours. Pockets of +RA and iso thunder possible late
morning into the afternoon.

KISP TAF Comments: Timing of flight category changes could be
off by a few hours. Pockets of +RA and iso thunder possible late
morning into the afternoon.

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
.Friday night...IFR in periods of rain with LIFR possible in Fog. SE
gusts 20-25 kt and LLWS near the coast through the evening.
.Saturday...IFR/MVFR. Showers possible. S gusts up to 25 kt.
.Saturday night...MVFR and showers possible. Winds SW 5-15 kt.
.Sunday-Monday...Mainly VFR, but MVFR in showers possible. SW gusts
up to 20 kt possible on Sunday, with winds W-NW on Monday.
.Tuesday...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA continues for all waters today with increasing easterly flow,
followed by just the ocean tonight through Saturday as winds
decrease but the swell remains to keep ocean seas elevated.

An unsettled weather pattern is expected for the weekend as a storm
system meanders over the region through the first half of next week.
Small Craft conditions can be expected through the weekend with seas
remaining 5 to 8 ft on the ocean.

Seas start to diminish late this weekend, which finally fall below 5
ft on the ocean Monday into Monday night.

Any SCA wind gusts diminish Saturday night and should remain below
SCA criteria through the rest of the long term.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Widespread 1 to 2 inches of rain expected with locally higher
amounts, especially in any thunderstorms, mainly through
afternoon/early evening. Any flooding will be mainly minor and
in poor drainage and low lying areas. There is a marginal to
slight risk for flash flooding today.

No significant precipitation is expected Saturday through the middle
of next week.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Water levels of 2 ft above normal are needed form minor coastal
flooding at the times of high tide today, and closer to 3 ft for
moderate. Storm surge and latest guidance continue to keep water
levels below minor coastal flood benchmarks. Its possible that
levels may come close in spots. At this time, no special products
are planned.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ330-
     335-338-340-345.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BC/JM
NEAR TERM...JM
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM...BC
AVIATION...JE/DS
MARINE...BC/JM
HYDROLOGY...BC/JM
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, May 5, 4:07 AM EST, 7 hours 8 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED
National Weather Service New York NY
507 AM EDT Fri May 5 2017

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-060900-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-
Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwestern Suffolk-
Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
507 AM EDT Fri May 5 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

There is potential for some minor poor drainage flooding in low
lying areas today. There is a marginal to slight risk for flash
flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-060900-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
507 AM EDT Fri May 5 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 95 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:14 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

7 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Essex

When
May 5, 11:15 AM EST to 1:15 PM EST
Where
Essex County, 0.81 mi E of Forest Hill to 0.88 mi SE of Forest Hill
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.782, -74.155

A vehicle was stuck in flood waters on Broadway in Newark with a water rescue in progress.

Flash Flood, Hudson

When
May 5, 11:15 AM EST to 1:15 PM EST
Where
Hudson County, 1.04 mi SE of Hoboken to 0.98 mi SE of Hoboken
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.721, -74.055

Vehicles were stuck in flood waters at the intersection of Montgomery Street and Center Street in Jersey City.

Flash Flood, Bergen

When
May 5, 11:35 AM EST to 1:15 PM EST
Where
Bergen County, 1.02 mi NE of Maywood to 0.57 mi NNE of Maywood
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.912, -74.038

A vehicle was stuck in flood waters on Main Street in Hackensack with a water rescue in progress.

Flash Flood, Hudson

When
May 5, 12:30 PM EST to 1:15 PM EST
Where
Hudson County, 1.21 mi ENE of Kearny to 1.22 mi N of Kearny
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.778, -74.129

Fishburne Avenue in Kearny was closed with water rescues occurring at the intersection of Route 7 and Fishburne Avenue.

Flash Flood, Hudson

When
May 5, 12:30 PM EST to 1:15 PM EST
Where
Hudson County, 2.31 mi SSW of Harrison to 2.83 mi SSW of Harrison
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.720, -74.191

Multiple cars were trapped in flood waters on Johnson Avenue in Kearny.

Flash Flood, Hudson

When
May 5, 12:30 PM EST to 1:15 PM EST
Where
Hudson County, 0.97 mi E of East Newark to 0.45 mi E of East Newark
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.750, -74.131

The fire department was responding to motorists trapped in flood waters on Harrison Avenue in Kearny.

Flash Flood, Hudson

When
May 5, 12:45 PM EST to 1:15 PM EST
Where
Hudson County, 0.32 mi ENE of Harrison to 0.35 mi E of Harrison
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.751, -74.164

Cars were trapped with rescues underway on Passaic Avenue between Central Avenue and East Newark in East Newark.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Jersey in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in New Jersey, May 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 691816, 691819, 691823, 691826, 691833, 691834, 691828.