Minnesota, 2017Tornado and Flash Flood in Minnesota, July 19 to 20, 2017
July 19 to 20, 2017 · NWS MPX · 14 events in 7 counties and zones
Several storms moved across southern Minnesota during the mid afternoon hours of Wednesday, July 19th. A few of the storms bowed out from south of Redwood Falls to Mankato, and into Owatonna and Northfield.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 14
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Several storms moved across southern Minnesota during the mid afternoon hours of Wednesday, July 19th. A few of the storms bowed out from south of Redwood Falls to Mankato, and into Owatonna and Northfield. There were numerous reports of downed trees and power lines with some corn fields flattened in southern Brown County near Comfrey.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 19, 11:54 AM CST, 1 hour 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 11:54 AM CST, 1 hour 54 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1254 PM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017
.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017
The short term concern is timing of possible severe convection and
heavy rain threat.
Surface cold front dropped south of the state into northern Iowa
last evening. Temperatures cooled nicely with light winds and clear
sky. Some fog developed in northeast cwa and will linger until
around sunrise and should burn off quickly. Focus turns to possible
development of large scale high wind severe weather event for much
of the cwa late this afternoon and through the evening.
Deterministic models have been pointing to this possibility now for
last several days and the 00z runs continue this trend. Water vapor
imagery showing rather vigorous short wave moving through eastern
Montana this morning and will be the forcing and focusing mechanism
for the MCS development over western central MN by early this
evening. SPC Day 1 outlook with its enhanced risk paints the
scenario and the HIRES ARW confirms our earlier thoughts regarding
the event. We should see development by evening to the west as the
short wave arrives and the warm front retreats to the north into
southwest MN. Capping should limit development there for a time.
Very unstable airmass in place and once development occurs, it
should become predominately upscale and become a forward propagating
MCS and ride the instability/CAPE gradient over the southern third
of the cwa this evening. General movement of the QPF bullseye/RAP
vort maxima gives a general 45 to 50kt southeast forward movement.
Still could be some spatial and temporal issues but they should
resolve themselves later this morning. Damaging winds, large hail
and an isolated tornado or two is possible. The tornado threat
should be mainly early in any discrete cell development and also
possible in the mature MCS/Bow Echo/QLCS. The severe weather threat
will likely end before 06z if models are correct due to fast forward
movement.
Heavy rain will be a threat with the storms as well, with
high PWs around 2 or 3 standard deviations above normal. We still
believe 2 to 3 inch an hour rainfall rates are likely but because of
the fast movement and antecedent soil conditions a widespread flash
flood threat is not anticipated at this time. Some HIRES models did
show some indication of continued convective development to the
northwest across southern MN after this complex moves through. This
is certainly possible and the nw-se orientation of the scattered
convection could pose some backbuilding threat later tonight. This
will have to be monitored as it could certainly increase the
potential flash flood threat.
.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017
In the longer term we'll see mainly zonal flow (albeit with a low
amplitude ridge over the center of the CONUS) evolve to cooler
northwest flow for our area by the second half of the weekend.
This pattern looks to stay in place through the first part of next
week, but indications are that ridging will build across the
center of the country again by the middle of next week. However,
there is certainly some disagreement on the guidance at that
point, so won't be going all in on any particular solution at this
point, with a consensus approach looking to be the safest bet.
A weak ridge of high pressure and drier air will work into the
area on Thursday, with dry weather expected across the area.
However, low pressure will work into the Plains by Friday, helping
to lift the baroclinic zone and better moisture back north into
our area. This will bring chances for showers and thunderstorms
into the area from southwest to northeast late Thursday night
into Friday night. The better forcing then looks to focus mainly north
of our area Saturday. Cold frontal boundary looks to drop south
through the area Saturday night and early Sunday, which won't be
the ideal time for convection, but could still see some activity
Sunday, with the best chance looking to be over the southern and
eastern portion of the area where instability looks to be best as
forcing from the upper wave and low level boundary work through
the area.
High pressure will build over the region Sunday night and Monday,
with cooler and drier weather expected. We will then need to wait
for return flow to setup again, which looks to occur later Tuesday
into Wednesday as the 500 mb ridge builds to our west and the 850
mb theta-e ridge starts to work back into the area. The GFS and
ECMWF are in reasonable agreement that we'll see some activity
develop in the return flow during that time frame, with chances
persisting into Wednesday as the warm frontal boundary sets up
shop nearby.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1254 PM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017
Showers and thunderstorms will push east across MN this afternoon
with severe storms expected to track south of the MN river, likely
south of MKT and RWF. After this round, another may develop across
central MN this evening and push southeast tonight. VFR conditions
expected outside of precipitation until late tonight when MVFR
cigs may develop.
KMSP...Should see some showers pushing in between 20-21Z and
persist for a couple hours. Embedded thunderstorms are expected.
Confidence is quite low tonight, but another round of storms may
develop mid to late evening.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
Fri...Mainly VFR. -SHRA/TSRA likely. Winds SE 5-10 kts.
Sat...Mainly VFR. Chc MVFR in -SHRA/TSRA. Winds lgt and vrbl.
Sun...VFR. Wind NW 10 kts.
&&
.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...DWE
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...BORGHOFF
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 19, 11:59 AM CST, 1 hour 49 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1259 PM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017
MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
201800-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
1259 PM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota...and west central Wisconsin.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
There is an enhanced risk of severe weather. A complex of
thunderstorms is expected to impact southern Minnesota this
afternoon, with the potential for widespread damaging wind gusts.
Another round of storms could develop this evening across central
Minnesota and track southeast into the overnight, with mainly a
large hail threat. A couple tornadoes are possible with either
round. Very heavy rainfall is also possible, which could lead to
localized flooding.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Thunderstorm chances return late Thursday night into Friday.
There is a slight risk of severe weather, mainly south of I-94.
Large hail, damaging winds, and heavy rainfall appear to be the
primary threats.
Thunderstorms will be possible late Saturday and Sunday, and
again from Tuesday into Wednesday. Widespread severe weather
during those time frames is not anticipated at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon
and tonight.
Borghoff
Event by event
12 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Tornado, Brown
- When
- July 19, 1:48 PM CST to 1:55 PM CST
- Where
- Brown County, 6.89 mi SSW of Springfield to 3.03 mi NNW of Comfrey
- Rating
- EF0
- Path length
- 5.32 mi
- Path width
- 330 yd
- Reported by
- NWS Storm Survey
- Coordinates
- 44.161, -95.034
A fast moving tornado touched down near a farm, where it removed roofs off of two sheds and knocked over some trees. It then moved across a number of fields, occasionally hitting trees along the way.
Thunderstorm Wind, Brown
- When
- July 19, 1:53 PM CST
- Where
- Brown County, 0.69 mi S of Comfrey
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 44.110, -94.900
Several trees were blown down near Comfrey.
Thunderstorm Wind, Brown
- When
- July 19, 1:58 PM CST
- Where
- Brown County, 4.96 mi E of Comfrey
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- State Official
- Coordinates
- 44.120, -94.800
A semi-trailer was tipped over near County Roads 8 and 18, east of Comfrey.
Thunderstorm Wind, Watonwan
- When
- July 19, 2:05 PM CST
- Where
- Watonwan County, 0.69 mi N of St James
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 43.990, -94.630
A large tree was blown down near St. James.
Thunderstorm Wind, Brown
- When
- July 19, 2:12 PM CST
- Where
- Brown County, Searles
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 44.230, -94.430
Power lines were blown down near Searles.
Thunderstorm Wind, Blue Earth
- When
- July 19, 2:15 PM CST
- Where
- Blue Earth County, 3.98 mi SSW of Butternut
- Measured
- 54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 44.080, -94.370
Thunderstorm Wind, Blue Earth
- When
- July 19, 2:30 PM CST to 2:40 PM CST
- Where
- Blue Earth County, 2.46 mi NNE of Rapidan to 3.11 mi W of Eagle Lake
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 44.133, -94.050
Numerous trees were blown down in Mankato. There were other reports of small limbs blown down throughout northern and central portions of Blue Earth County.
Thunderstorm Wind, Blue Earth
- When
- July 19, 2:36 PM CST
- Where
- Blue Earth County, 2.94 mi SSE of Beauford
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Amateur Radio
- Coordinates
- 43.980, -93.950
Thunderstorm Wind, Waseca
- When
- July 19, 2:42 PM CST
- Where
- Waseca County, 3.45 mi S of Smiths Mill
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- State Official
- Coordinates
- 44.080, -93.770
Two trees were blown down southwest of Janesville, near the intersection of County Road 14, and 360th Avenue.
Thunderstorm Wind, Waseca
- When
- July 19, 2:45 PM CST
- Where
- Waseca County, 0.5 mi E of Janesville
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- State Official
- Coordinates
- 44.120, -93.710
A tree was blown down in Janesville.
Thunderstorm Wind, Rice
- When
- July 19, 2:55 PM CST
- Where
- Rice County, 1.38 mi S of Northfield to 1.14 mi SSE of Northfield
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 44.450, -93.170
Several trees were blown down south of Highway 19, near Northfield.
Thunderstorm Wind, Steele
- When
- July 19, 3:15 PM CST
- Where
- Steele County, 0.69 mi N of Owatonna
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 44.090, -93.220
A tree was blown down in Owatonna.
Thunderstorm Wind, Steele
- When
- July 19, 3:18 PM CST
- Where
- Steele County, 1.21 mi NE of Owatonna to 1.94 mi NE of Owatonna
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Amateur Radio
- Coordinates
- 44.090, -93.200
Several trees were blown down northeast of Owatonna.
Flash Flood, Dakota
- When
- July 19, 9:00 PM CST to July 20, 2:00 AM CST
- Where
- Dakota County, 5.1 mi NE of Miesville to 2.63 mi E of Farmington
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 44.659, -92.738
Local law enforcement officials had to close portions of Highway 316 between 200th Street and Ravenna Trail due to washed out roads and flooding.
- Tornado
- A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Damaging Winds in Iowa, July 19, 20171 death · 3 injured · $1.2 million · EF1 · 31 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Wisconsin, July 19 to 27, 2017$45 million · 34 events
- Heat in Mississippi, July 19, 20171 death · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Arizona, July 19, 2017$7.0 million · 1 in hail · 3 events
- Flood and Damaging Winds in Wisconsin, July 19, 2017$524,000 · 67 kt wind · 30 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Minnesota, July 19 to 20, 2017$226,000 · EF1 · 16 events
- Damaging Winds and High Wind in Wisconsin, July 19 to 21, 2017$771,000 · 61 kt wind · 14 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in South Carolina, July 19, 2017$400,000 · 1.25 in hail · 12 events
- Damaging Winds in Iowa, July 19, 2017$222,000 · 61 kt wind · 21 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Minnesota, July 19, 2017$55,000 · EF0 · 7 events
- Damaging Winds in New Mexico, July 19, 2017$33,000 · 61 kt wind · 5 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Arizona, July 19, 2017$28,000 · 55 kt wind · 7 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 716797, 713793, 713797, 713799, 713801, 713814, 713805, 713815, 713802, 713804, 713808, 713809, 713811, 715476.