Hail in Michigan, March 1, 2017

Name: Hail in Michigan, March 1, 2017
Start: 2017-03-01T00:45
End: 2017-03-01T00:51
Location: Michigan

March 1, 2017 · NWS IWX · 2 events in 1 county or zone

A warm front remained in place across southern Lower Michigan during the early morning hours of March 1st, allowing for elevated storms to produce isolated large hail in Berrien County.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS IWX wrote it up.

A warm front remained in place across southern Lower Michigan during the early morning hours of March 1st, allowing for elevated storms to produce isolated large hail in Berrien County.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 28, 6:10 PM EST, 6 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 28, 6:10 PM EST, 6 hours 35 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
610 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 602 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

Showers and thunderstorms will develop late this afternoon and
become more numerous tonight. Strong to severe thunderstorms are
likely tonight as a strong cold front approaches. Temperatures
will warm into the lower to middle 60s this evening and then turn
colder Wednesday behind the front with chances for snow showers
lingering into Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight and Wednesday)
Issued at 252 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

Double barrel sfc cyclone through the plains will consolidate invof
of primary sfc reflection deepening currently across central IA.
Strong sw trough in the process of ejecting out of AZ attm with
upper jet streak kicking out into the TX panhandle with standing mtn
wave clouds noted in se AZ. Downstream warm sector deepening rapidly
and no doubt aided by thinning high clouds/strong low level warm
advection back west across MO/wrn IL/se IA. Given upticking theta-e
reservoir here and escalating mass flux on nose of LLJ through I-80
in central IL...expect convection will initiate here twd 21Z and
rapidly track ne...expand east along warm advection wing through
wrn/nrn zones with a risk of large hail.

Primary potential severe event expected to unfold overnight as
potent cyclone shifts ne into wrn lower MI by midnight. Expect
multiple storm clusters will develop within moisture rich and
unstable theta-e ridge across the area. Breath of background
synoptic based flow certainly warrants higher bound severe probs esp
with swd extent with wind damage the greatest threat. However QLCS
tornado processes bear watching particularly south of the US24
corridor either side of midnight as 0-1KM shear goes off chart.
Composite outflow should push much if not all precip out of the area
by daybreak although concede a small risk of shra still possible Wed
am with actual fropa.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 252 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

Attention this period begins with secondary clipper digging through
the srn lakes late Thu. Fairly pronounced low level warm advection
wing ahead of this system suggests sct shsn by aftn through evening
and some minimal snow accums far nw Thu evening.

Otherwise flow aloft flattens quickly through the weekend as temps
snap back to above normal as strong warm advection overspreads the
area beginning Sat. Will keep with prior warmer hedged temps Sat-Mon
as yet another vigorous cyclone develops west through the nrn plains
with rain chcs increasing along swd trailing cold front Mon-Mon
night.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 602 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

Several mid and upper level speed maxima continue to eject along
the base of the trof and along the cold front over il/ia/wi.
Convection will persist in the warm sector ahead of the front
extending from cemtral il into SW Lower MI through 04Z.

Focus then turns to the cold front as the mid level and upper
level trof begin to phase with a well organized squall line to
affect much of the forecast area through 07/09Z. Expect that there
will be LLWS as the front sweeps through.

Widespread IFR and LIFR conditions to prevail through the period.

(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1229 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

Gulf moisture surging nne into the Midwest this aftn was resulting
in lowering ceilings and vsbys in stratus/-dz/-ra/br. IFR
conditions should persist into early this eve before nrn IN gets
more firmly entrenched in the warm sector later this eve when
conditions should improve to vfr. However, a couple rounds of
TSRA also expected this eve and overnight with hail and strong
gusty winds. Ceilings should lower behind the front Wed,
especially at SBN as winds veer to nwly.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EST Wednesday for LMZ043-046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Lewis
SHORT TERM...T
LONG TERM...T
AVIATION...Lewis

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Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 28, 3:44 PM EST, 9 hours 1 minute before

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
344 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

INZ004>009-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-011000-
St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Berrien-Cass MI-
St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-
Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
344 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Michigan...northern Indiana and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Late this afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms will develop late this afternoon and become more
numerous tonight. Some storms may be severe with a threat for large
hail early this evening and damaging winds overnight. Locally heavy
rainfall may lead to minor flooding as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed tonight.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

INZ003-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-011000-
La Porte-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-
Allen IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-
Blackford-Jay-
344 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017 /244 PM CST Tue Feb 28 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms will develop late this afternoon and become more
numerous tonight. Some storms will be severe with a threat for large
hail early this evening and damaging winds overnight, especially
along and south of Route 30. Locally heavy rainfall may lead to
minor flooding as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed tonight.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

LMZ043-046-011000-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
344 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore
Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms will develop late this afternoon and become more numerous
this evening. Some of the storms this evening may produce storm
force wind gusts and large hail.

Conditions will be hazardous to small craft tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Conditions hazardous to small craft are expected Wednesday into
Thursday.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 28, 11:30 PM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1130 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     HAIL             SHIPSHEWANA             41.68N 85.58W
02/28/2017  U1.50 INCH       LAGRANGE           IN   PUBLIC

            .

&&

NWS NORTHERN INDIANA
IRIS SYSTEM

Local storm report, Feb 28, 11:53 PM EST, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1153 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     HAIL             2 E CROOKED LAKE        41.68N 85.00W
02/28/2017  E1.25 INCH       STEUBEN            IN   PUBLIC

            .

&&

NWS NORTHERN INDIANA
IRIS SYSTEM

Special weather statement, Feb 28, 11:54 PM EST, 51 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1154 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2017

INZ027-034-OHZ016-024-025-010530-
Jay-Adams-Allen-Putnam-Van Wert-
1154 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2017

...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG
WINDS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ADAMS...EASTERN
JAY...PUTNAM...CENTRAL VAN WERT AND ALLEN COUNTIES...

At 1154 PM EST, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Berne to near Winchester to near
Connersville. Movement was northeast at 65 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Lima, Van Wert, Delphos, Portland, Ottawa, Bluffton, Spencerville,
Columbus Grove, Leipsic, Elida, Cridersville, Kalida, Geneva,
Pandora, Glandorf, Ottoville, Ohio City, Spencerville In Allen
County, Westchester and Middle Point.

This includes INTERSTATE 75 between MILE MARKERs 119 and 141.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They can relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Northern Indiana .

LAT...LON 4064 8411 4066 8422 4069 8422 4068 8446
      4073 8447 4073 8480 4031 8480 4031 8503
      4032 8503 4072 8492 4116 8388 4065 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 0454Z 245DEG 55KT 4067 8488 4025 8499 3971 8513

MARSILI

Local storm report, Mar 1, 12:04 AM EST, 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1204 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WNW PARADISE LAKE     41.90N 85.93W
02/28/2017                   CASS               MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWNED ALONG CALVIN
            CENTER RD AND BROWNSVILLE ST.

&&

NWS NORTHERN INDIANA
IRIS SYSTEM

Local storm report, Mar 1, 12:08 AM EST, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1208 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S SALAMONIA           40.35N 84.86W
02/28/2017                   JAY                IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWNED ACROSS ROADS IN
            SOUTHEAST PART OF COUNTY.

&&

NWS NORTHERN INDIANA
IRIS SYSTEM

Local storm report, Mar 1, 12:28 AM EST, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1228 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     HAIL             CAMDEN                  41.75N 84.76W
02/28/2017  E1.50 INCH       HILLSDALE          MI   PUBLIC

            .

&&

NWS NORTHERN INDIANA
IRIS SYSTEM

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 99 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 05:44 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Berrien

When: March 1, 12:45 AM EST to 12:46 AM EST
Where: Berrien County, 1.47 mi NNE of New Buffalo
Measured: 1 in hail
Reported by: Storm Chaser
Coordinates: 41.800, -86.740

Hail, Berrien

When: March 1, 12:50 AM EST to 12:51 AM EST
Where: Berrien County, 0.51 mi W of Lakeview
Measured: 1 in hail
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 41.830, -86.690

What these are

Hail: Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Michigan in 2017 Every state in 2017 This day in weather history Warnings in Michigan, March 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 687018, 687019.