A combination of rainfall at the end of February and the first part of March sent the Ohio and White Rivers above flood stage.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
A combination of rainfall at the end of February and the first part of March sent the Ohio and White Rivers above flood stage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 3, 6:41 AM EST, 3 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Paducah KY 541 AM CST Fri Mar 3 2017 .UPDATE... Issued at 541 AM CST Fri Mar 3 2017 Updated the AVIATION discussion for the 12Z TAF issuance. && .SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday night) Issued at 318 AM CST Fri Mar 3 2017 Above average confidence through most of the short term due to decent model agreement and lack of tangible weather. In the wake of a frontal passage Thursday evening, surface high pressure overspreading the region along with slowly rising heights aloft/weak ridging will keep the region dry through Sunday. Sunday night is where models begin to diverge a bit. By then the region will be on the back side of the high pressure with strong southerly flow in the lower levels causing an increase in low level moisture. Late Sunday night the GFS and Canadian show ripples of mid level energy in the west southwest flow aloft combining with the moisture to produce light precipitation across the area while the NAM12 still shows weak ridging and little to no precipitation. Forecast Builder seems to lean toward the wetter solutions so will run with that. Temperatures will remain within a few degrees of normal through tonight, then warm back up to well above normal from Saturday through the rest of the period. .LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 318 AM CST Fri Mar 3 2017 Confidence in the long term portion of the forecast is increasing as forecast models appear to be coming into better agreement. While much of the uncertainty revolves around timing and frontal passage on Tuesday, higher confidence exists with the overall synoptic pattern. A large scale trough should progress from the Pacific Coast on Sunday into the Great Lakes Region and Ohio Valley by mid week. Ahead of this trough, weak impulses of upper level energy are forecast to stream over top a moistening atmosphere to result in a chance for showers on Monday. Shower and thunderstorm potential will increase Monday night into Tuesday as the atmosphere destabilizes ahead of the approaching cold front. The combination of at least marginal convective available potential energy with 0-6km bulk shear of at least 50 to 60 knots leaves open the potential for organized strong to severe thunderstorms as well. But there are too many unknowns at this time to determine exactly when, where, and to what degree. While models are still about 6 hour apart, they do agree that the chance of showers and thunderstorms should come to an end as the cold front shifts east of the region Tuesday afternoon or evening. Behind the front, high pressure will bring a return to dry weather and slightly cooler temperatures Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures through the period will remain unseasonably warm. Readings are forecast to peak at least into the mid to upper 60s Monday and Tuesday before settling back by 5 to 10 degrees on Wednesday and Thursday. Lows should remain above freezing through the period, though some patchy frost cannot be ruled out Wednesday night. && .AVIATION... Issued at 541 AM CST Fri Mar 3 2017 High pressure overspreading the TAF sites will yield VFR conditions through the period. Winds will veer from the northwest around to the southeast through the period but should remain AOB 5 knots. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && SHORT TERM/AVIATION...JP LONG TERM...RJP
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 450 AM CST Fri Mar 3 2017 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-041000- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 450 AM CST Fri Mar 3 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Fire danger will be elevated this afternoon by the combination of low relative humidity and dry fuels, though at least winds should be relatively light. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday The potential for thunderstorms returns to the area Monday night and Tuesday. Strong to severe thunderstorms cannot be ruled out. The degree and type of severe weather will largely depend on timing, which remains uncertain. Large hail, damaging winds, heavy rainfall, and lightning all appear to be possible at this point. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time. JP/RJP
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding occurred along the White River. Low-lying woods and fields near the river were inundated. Lowland flooding affected nearly a dozen Pike County roads, including County Roads 750N, 600N, 1000E, 250W, 400W, 675N, and several others. Some low oil fields were flooded.
Minor flooding occurred along the White River. Low-lying woods and fields near the river were flooded. Low-lying oil fields and a few low rural roads were flooded. High water isolated Pottstown, a cluster of river cabins.
Minor flooding occurred along the Ohio River at Newburgh. Low-lying woods and fields near the river were inundated.
Minor flooding occurred along the Ohio River near Mount Vernon. Low-lying woods and fields were inundated.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, March 2017
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 684371, 684370, 684367, 684365.