Florida, 2017Wildfire in Florida, February 15, 2017
February 15, 2017 · NWS JAX · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A wildfire caused some road closures in western Flagler County.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A wildfire caused some road closures in western Flagler County.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 14, 9:41 PM EST, 2 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 9:41 PM EST, 2 hours 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
941 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2017
...Windy with Strong to Severe T'storms Possible on Wednesday...
.UPDATE...
The forecast area remains in the warm sector ahead of an approaching
cold front and sfc low. The low pressure system was located in LA
with trailing cold front southwest into the western Gulf of
Mexico. As the system translates eastward tonight...increasingly
moist southwest flow expected above the sfc with a period of low
clouds beginning later tonight and continue into early Wednesday
morning. A few showers near the outer coastal waters this evening
will continue to push eastward and out of the area...while there
is a slight chance for showers moving in late tonight over the
western zones as deep layer moisture moves into GA and the FL
panhandle. A few tweaks to the forecast tonight for the above
normal low temps which will range from mid 50s north zones to
upper 50s to lower 60s elsehwere. Have trimmed POPs a bit but
keeping a slight chance over the Suwannee Valley and portions of
SE GA after 06z tonight as some patches of rain may move out ahead
of the main prefrontal trough approaching. Any tstms are expected
to be on Wednesday as instability/forcing is too weak for the tonight
period.
For Wednesday...forecast still on track for windy conditions to
develop as ~1001 mb sfc low pressure moves through GA and SC and
trailing cold front pushes through allowing for a chance of
strong to severe storms. Localized wind damage and hail are the
primary threats with isolated brief tornadoes possible. Timing of
convective activity looks to be starting around 9 am to 11 am
over the western zones...with a broken line of showers and storms
possibly organizing around noon-1 pm from about the Brunswick GA
area to the FL big bend...then pushing through the rest of the
area through the aftn and offshore between 20z-00z. Some limiting
factors for more robust and widespread convection are rapid
drying aloft after 18z and too little directional shear above the
boundary layer.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR expected the next few hours with sct-bkn cumulus
around 5000-6000 ft near the east coast. Developing low clouds in
IFR range likely to start over the inland north/northeast FL
zones and move into GNV terminal first around midnight...though
this may be a bit too early. Low clouds may expand in coverage
and move to the rest of the terminals in the 08z-12z time frame
with some light VSBY restrictions as well...especially south of a
GNV- SGJ line. However...overall confidence in widespread low
cigs is somewhat lower than earlier today based on recent trends
of the HRRR guidance and it's possible that if and when low cigs
develop they may be relatively short-lived.
Timing of showers/tstms for Wed placed in around the 15-20z time
frame for now as a prefrontal trough or individual shower/tstms
cells move through the region. Winds will mainly be southwest at
5-8 knots tonight...with only a marginal case for LLWS around the
06z-12z time frame. Southwest winds increase to 15-20G30kt by
14-15z Wed and then shift to mainly westerly after 21z.
&&
.MARINE...Winds are presently southerly near 10 kt but are
expected to shift to the southwest overnight and increase. Just
minor tweaks to the tonight forecast but SCEC for tonight and SCA
for Wed are on track.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 57 76 40 62 / 20 80 20 0
SSI 60 75 47 62 / 0 60 30 0
JAX 60 80 46 64 / 10 60 20 0
SGJ 61 79 48 65 / 10 60 20 0
GNV 60 77 46 66 / 10 60 10 0
OCF 60 78 48 67 / 0 60 10 0
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Wednesday to 4 AM EST Thursday
for Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL
from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Fernandina Beach to St.
Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to
Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.
Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Wednesday to 1 AM EST Thursday
for Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach
FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St.
Augustine FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from St. Augustine to
Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM.
&&
Shashy/PetersonHazardous weather outlook, Feb 14, 5:56 PM EST, 6 hours 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
556 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2017
AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-152300-
Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to
60 NM-
Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Hamilton-Suwannee-Columbia-Baker-Inland Nassau-Inland Duval-Union-
Bradford-Clay-St. Johns-Gilchrist-Alachua-Putnam-Flagler-Marion-
Coastal Nassau-Coastal Duval-Coffee-Jeff Davis-Bacon-Appling-
Wayne-Atkinson-Ware-Pierce-Brantley-Inland Glynn-Coastal Glynn-
Echols-Clinch-Charlton-Inland Camden-Coastal Camden-
556 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2017
...Strong to Severe Storms possible Wednesday...
...Small Craft Advisory for Wednesday and Wednesday Night...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Florida,
Southeast Georgia and the Adjacent Coastal Waters.
.DAY ONE...Tonight...
Patchy fog is possible after midnight in north central and
portions of northeast Florida.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible towards sunrise over far
inland locations in southeast Georgia.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...
A cold front will approach our area from the west on Wednesday. A
broken squall line containing strong to severe thunderstorms will
move across inland southeast Georgia and the western Suwannee
Valley during the morning hours, with activity progressing rapidly
east-northeastward across coastal southeast Georgia, northeast
and north central Florida during the early to mid afternoon hours.
There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorm development on
Wednesday. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat. Hail
and isolated tornadoes will also be possible within any severe
thunderstorms that develop.
Southwesterly winds will gradually strengthen tonight over the
coastal waters, with wind speeds reaching Small Craft Advisory
levels towards sunrise on Wednesday. Winds and seas will fall
below Small Craft Advisory criteria by late Wednesday night or
early Thursday morning.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are urged to monitor the latest forecasts and should be
prepared to activate on Wednesday.
For additional information, visit the National Weather Service in
Jacksonville website on the internet at weather.gov/jax.
Nelson
Wildfire, Flagler
- When
- February 15, 12:15 AM EST
- Where
- Flagler forecast zone
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 29.471, -81.293 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A wildfire was up to 435 acres burned and 60% containment. It caused portions of State Road 11 to close between Haw Creek and County Road 304.
- Wildfire
- A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Heavy Rain in California, February 15 to 16, 2017$15 million · 5 events
- Tornado in South Carolina, February 15, 2017$997,000 · EF1 · 1 event
- Wildfire in Florida, February 15 to 18, 2017$1.1 million · 1 event
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in North Carolina, February 15, 2017$109,000 · EF1 · 5 events
- Winter Storm in Vermont, February 15 to 16, 2017$125,000 · 7 events
- Lake-Effect Snow in New York, February 15 to 16, 2017$75,000 · 4 events
- Heavy Snow in New Hampshire, February 15 to 16, 20179 events
- Heavy Snow in Maine, February 15 to 16, 20179 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in South Carolina, February 15, 20171.25 in hail · 7 events
- High Wind in Oregon, February 15 to 16, 201772 kt wind · 5 events
- Dense Fog in California, February 15, 20173 events
- High Wind in Washington, February 15, 201751 kt wind · 2 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 680066.