Florida, 2017

Wildfire in Florida, February 15, 2017

February 15, 2017 · NWS JAX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A wildfire caused some road closures in western Flagler County.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
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  • Cold
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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.

A wildfire caused some road closures in western Flagler County.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 14, 9:41 PM EST, 2 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 9:41 PM EST, 2 hours 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
941 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2017

...Windy with Strong to Severe T'storms Possible on Wednesday...

.UPDATE...
The forecast area remains in the warm sector ahead of an approaching
cold front and sfc low. The low pressure system was located in LA
with trailing cold front southwest into the western Gulf of
Mexico. As the system translates eastward tonight...increasingly
moist southwest flow expected above the sfc with a period of low
clouds beginning later tonight and continue into early Wednesday
morning. A few showers near the outer coastal waters this evening
will continue to push eastward and out of the area...while there
is a slight chance for showers moving in late tonight over the
western zones as deep layer moisture moves into GA and the FL
panhandle. A few tweaks to the forecast tonight for the above
normal low temps which will range from mid 50s north zones to
upper 50s to lower 60s elsehwere. Have trimmed POPs a bit but
keeping a slight chance over the Suwannee Valley and portions of
SE GA after 06z tonight as some patches of rain may move out ahead
of the main prefrontal trough approaching. Any tstms are expected
to be on Wednesday as instability/forcing is too weak for the tonight
period.

For Wednesday...forecast still on track for windy conditions to
develop as ~1001 mb sfc low pressure moves through GA and SC and
trailing cold front pushes through allowing for a chance of
strong to severe storms. Localized wind damage and hail are the
primary threats with isolated brief tornadoes possible. Timing of
convective activity looks to be starting around 9 am to 11 am
over the western zones...with a broken line of showers and storms
possibly organizing around noon-1 pm from about the Brunswick GA
area to the FL big bend...then pushing through the rest of the
area through the aftn and offshore between 20z-00z. Some limiting
factors for more robust and widespread convection are rapid
drying aloft after 18z and too little directional shear above the
boundary layer.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR expected the next few hours with sct-bkn cumulus
around 5000-6000 ft near the east coast. Developing low clouds in
IFR range likely to start over the inland north/northeast FL
zones and move into GNV terminal first around midnight...though
this may be a bit too early. Low clouds may expand in coverage
and move to the rest of the terminals in the 08z-12z time frame
with some light VSBY restrictions as well...especially south of a
GNV- SGJ line. However...overall confidence in widespread low
cigs is somewhat lower than earlier today based on recent trends
of the HRRR guidance and it's possible that if and when low cigs
develop they may be relatively short-lived.

Timing of showers/tstms for Wed placed in around the 15-20z time
frame for now as a prefrontal trough or individual shower/tstms
cells move through the region. Winds will mainly be southwest at
5-8 knots tonight...with only a marginal case for LLWS around the
06z-12z time frame. Southwest winds increase to 15-20G30kt by
14-15z Wed and then shift to mainly westerly after 21z.

&&

.MARINE...Winds are presently southerly near 10 kt but are
expected to shift to the southwest overnight and increase. Just
minor tweaks to the tonight forecast but SCEC for tonight and SCA
for Wed are on track.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  57  76  40  62 /  20  80  20   0
SSI  60  75  47  62 /   0  60  30   0
JAX  60  80  46  64 /  10  60  20   0
SGJ  61  79  48  65 /  10  60  20   0
GNV  60  77  46  66 /  10  60  10   0
OCF  60  78  48  67 /   0  60  10   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Wednesday to 4 AM EST Thursday
     for Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL
     from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Fernandina Beach to St.
     Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to
     Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Wednesday to 1 AM EST Thursday
     for Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach
     FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St.
     Augustine FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from St. Augustine to
     Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM.

&&

Shashy/Peterson
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 14, 5:56 PM EST, 6 hours 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
556 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2017

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-152300-
Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to
60 NM-
Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Hamilton-Suwannee-Columbia-Baker-Inland Nassau-Inland Duval-Union-
Bradford-Clay-St. Johns-Gilchrist-Alachua-Putnam-Flagler-Marion-
Coastal Nassau-Coastal Duval-Coffee-Jeff Davis-Bacon-Appling-
Wayne-Atkinson-Ware-Pierce-Brantley-Inland Glynn-Coastal Glynn-
Echols-Clinch-Charlton-Inland Camden-Coastal Camden-
556 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2017

...Strong to Severe Storms possible Wednesday...
...Small Craft Advisory for Wednesday and Wednesday Night...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Florida,
Southeast Georgia and the Adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

Patchy fog is possible after midnight in north central and
portions of northeast Florida.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible towards sunrise over far
inland locations in southeast Georgia.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

A cold front will approach our area from the west on Wednesday. A
broken squall line containing strong to severe thunderstorms will
move across inland southeast Georgia and the western Suwannee
Valley during the morning hours, with activity progressing rapidly
east-northeastward across coastal southeast Georgia, northeast
and north central Florida during the early to mid afternoon hours.
There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorm development on
Wednesday. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat. Hail
and isolated tornadoes will also be possible within any severe
thunderstorms that develop.

Southwesterly winds will gradually strengthen tonight over the
coastal waters, with wind speeds reaching Small Craft Advisory
levels towards sunrise on Wednesday. Winds and seas will fall
below Small Craft Advisory criteria by late Wednesday night or
early Thursday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are urged to monitor the latest forecasts and should be
prepared to activate on Wednesday.

For additional information, visit the National Weather Service in
Jacksonville website on the internet at weather.gov/jax.

Nelson

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Flagler

When
February 15, 12:15 AM EST
Where
Flagler forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
29.471, -81.293 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A wildfire was up to 435 acres burned and 60% containment. It caused portions of State Road 11 to close between Haw Creek and County Road 304.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, February 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 680066.