California, 2017

Flash Flood and Flooding in California, August 31, 2017

August 31, 2017 · NWS SGX · 7 events in 2 counties and zones

A large upper level ridge of warm air over the Great Basin brought persistent east to southeast flow over the region in late August. Strong flow and limited instability largely kept the convection below severe levels.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$110,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
7

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SGX wrote it up.

A large upper level ridge of warm air over the Great Basin brought persistent east to southeast flow over the region in late August. Strong flow and limited instability largely kept the convection below severe levels. However, weakening of the ridge on the 31st increased instability. This helped severe convection develop over the Inland Empire. Downburst wind intensity was aided by dry air in the low levels and record high temperatures.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Diego, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 12:49 PM PST, 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 12:49 PM PST, 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Diego CA
149 PM PDT Thu Aug 31 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Hot weather will continue through the weekend and into next week
with nearly stationary high pressure over the Western states.
Monsoon moisture will bring chances of thunderstorms each day,
mainly over the mountains. Tropical Storm Lidia, currently just
South of the Baja California Peninsula, is forecast to move
northward, but eventually dissipate as it begins to turn to the
west near Central Baja. Some moisture from this system may move
into Southern California early next week, potentially increasing
the risk of showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

The disturbance that produced isolated showers/tstms this morning
has moved to the northeast, but new showers/tstms are developing
over the mtns and along low-level convergence zones west of the
mtns this afternoon. These convective cells are expected to
continue until this evening. Temperatures are mostly a few degrees
higher than this time yesterday west of the mtns...except for
portions of the Inland Empire where temps are a few degrees lower
than this time yesterday. The shallow marine layer could once
again bring low clouds and patchy dense fog to the immediate coast
of San Diego County, but the offshore flow reduces the chances of
significant coverage.

The high pressure ridge will continue to bring hot conditions
through the forecast period. High temperatures today and tomorrow
will increase by a few degrees over yesterday west of the
mountains as offshore flow develops. Numerical models disagree on
high temperatures for Fri and Sat, but temps are still expected to
be 10 deg F above normal in many areas. Therefore, the Heat
Advisories and Excessive Heat Warnings continue in effect through
10 pm Saturday. Record highs will likely be broken at a few sites
each day through Saturday. High pressure will rebuild aloft over
the Great Basin next week, keeping high temperatures above
seasonal normals through the forecast period.

Monsoon moisture lingering over the region will continue the
chance for showers and thunderstorms over portions of the
mountains and deserts each afternoon through early next week. Some
drying will occur Friday and Saturday, limiting the potential for
afternoon convection in some areas.

Tropical Storm Lidia, currently located about 50 mi south of
Cabo San Lucas, is forecast to track NNW up through central Baja
California then turn more westerly as it encounters the ridge to
the north. Lidia is forecast to degenerate into a post-tropical
depression by Sunday morning while turning westward. However,
associated moisture could move into Southern California. GFS is
more aggressive with a tropical moisture surge Sun-Mon while the
ECM keeps the bulk of the moisture south of the border as it
depicts a stronger ridge holding over the SW United States. Both
models indicate an influx of moisture from the remnants of Lidia,
however the ECM has later timing and significantly smaller
amounts.

&&

.AVIATION...
312025Z...Coast...Through 01/0600, P6SM vis and SCT-FEW clouds AOA
9000 ft msl, except for a chance that BKN-SCT cigs around 300-500 ft
msl and vis 1-4 sm linger near portions of the coast. 01/0600-1500
UTC, patchy low stratus/dense fog may re-develop once again within 5
sm of the coast, with bases around 200-500 ft msl, tops around 600-
800 ft msl, and vis 1/4-5 sm. Confidence in dense fog occurrence and
timing is low for KCRQ, KSAN and very low for KSNA. Forecast marine
layer inversion strength of 11 deg C at 01/1200 UTC. Elsewhere, P6SM
vis and SCT-FEW clouds AOA 9000 ft msl.

Valleys/Mountains/Deserts...SCT-BKN clouds AOA 5000 ft msl and areas
of -SHRA/TSRA developing and increasing in coverage through 01/0300
UTC. Bases 8000-10000 feet msl with CB tops growing to as high as
40000 ft msl. Gusty and erratic winds possible around any
thunderstorm. Showers/thunderstorms gradually decreasing tonight
after 01/0300 UTC with P6SM vis prevailing.

&&

.MARINE...
A shallow marine layer may result in more dense fog tonight into
Friday morning.

Possible remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Lidia may result in
some showers and thunderstorms over the coastal waters on Monday.

&&

.SKYWARN...
Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are
encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Heat Advisory until 10 PM PDT Saturday for Orange County Coastal
     Areas-Riverside County Mountains-San Bernardino County
     Mountains-San Diego County Coastal Areas-San Diego County
     Mountains.

     Excessive Heat Warning until 10 PM PDT Saturday for Apple and
     Lucerne Valleys-Coachella Valley-Orange County Inland Areas-
     San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys-The Inland
     Empire-San Diego County Deserts-San Diego County Valleys-
     San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning-Santa Ana Mountains and
     Foothills.

PZ...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...PG
AVIATION/MARINE...Harrison

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 31, 8:26 AM PST, 5 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
926 AM PDT THU AUG 31 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 AM     LIGHTNING        COLTON                  34.06N 117.32W
08/31/2017                   SAN BERNARDINO     CA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            POWER OUTAGE LIKELY FROM LIGHTNING STRIKE.

&&

JJT

The radar

The Santa Ana Mts radar (KSOX), 42 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:36 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 thunderstorm wind, 2 flood, 1 flash flood, 1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Riverside

When
August 31, 1:35 PM PST to 2:00 PM PST
Where
Riverside County, 0.92 mi ENE of Wildomar to 1.49 mi E of Lakeland Vlg
Measured
65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$50,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.605, -117.265

Severe downburst winds toppled multiple large trees and downed seveal strings of power poles in Wildomar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Riverside

When
August 31, 2:20 PM PST to 2:50 PM PST
Where
Riverside County, 0.64 mi NW of Arcilla to 1.44 mi SSW of El Cerrito
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
33.786, -117.459

A downburst from a severe thunderstorm over Temescal Valley produced a 65 mph wind gust at a RAWS station.

Thunderstorm Wind, Riverside

When
August 31, 2:40 PM PST to 3:10 PM PST
Where
Riverside County, 0.67 mi ENE of Weisel to 2.26 mi NW of Porphyry
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$20,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.824, -117.459

Strong downburst winds damages roofs and a deck at a mobile home park in Home Gardens.

Flood, Riverside

When
August 31, 3:10 PM PST to 4:10 PM PST
Where
Riverside County, 1.58 mi SSW of Weisel to 2.16 mi S of El Cerrito
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.800, -117.484

Significant street flooding reported by CHP in the Temescal Valley. One vehicle stalled after trying to cross a flooded roadway.

Flash Flood, Riverside

When
August 31, 3:30 PM PST to 4:30 PM PST
Where
Riverside County, 2.45 mi N of Riverside Jct to 0.76 mi WSW of High Grove
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$20,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
34.005, -117.373

Multiple vehicle stalled on Interstate 215 and Highway 60 due to flooding of lanes.

Flood, Riverside

When
August 31, 3:30 PM PST to 4:30 PM PST
Where
Riverside County, 1.62 mi N of Bly to 0.62 mi NNE of Bly
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
34.023, -117.516

Lanes #3 and #4 of Highway 60 flooded with 1 foot of water.

Lightning, San Bernardino

When
August 31, 6:00 PM PST
Where
San Bernardino County, 1.81 mi NNE of Colton
Property damage
$15,000
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
34.073, -117.314

A lightning strike damaged a critical power transformer in Colton, cutting power to 95% of the city. An estimated 50,000 customers lost power. Area schools closed due to a lack of power that lingered into the following day.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Lightning
A lightning strike that killed, injured or caused damage.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in California, August 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 720695, 720696, 720697, 720736, 720733, 720734, 720727.