Texas, 2016

Heat in Texas, July 24, 2016

July 24, 2016 · NWS FWD · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A two-year old boy died after being left in a hot car on Sunday afternoon July 24 in East Dallas.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.

A two-year old boy died after being left in a hot car on Sunday afternoon July 24 in East Dallas.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 24, 11:55 AM CST, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 24, 11:55 AM CST, 2 hours 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1255 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are anticipated through the TAF period, but the
potential for thunderstorms impacting all sites will increase on
Monday afternoon. In addition, surface winds are expected to back
to an easterly or east-southeasterly direction tomorrow afternoon
but--outside of thunderstorms--should remain under 10 kts.

For the remainder of today, it appears as if subsidence on the
fringes of the upper-high should keep convection just to the east
of the TAF sites this afternoon and evening. That said, we will
need to monitor for any westward-surging outflow, which could
impact the Metroplex sites later this evening (after about 03Z)
with brief gusty east winds for an hour or two. This potential is
too low to include in the 18Z TAFs, however.

An upper-level disturbance will track into the region on Monday,
and bring an increasing threat for showers and thunderstorms to
the area. For this TAF issuance, opted to insert VCTS after 17Z
at all airports as this appears to be around the time convective
inhibition will erode. Any thunderstorms in this increasingly
moist environment will be capable of producing brief heavy
rainfall and erratic downburst winds.

Carlaw

&&

.UPDATE...
Showers and storms are still expected to pop up over eastern
zones this afternoon as the easterly wave over Louisiana
approaches. The main adjustments to this update will be to add
POPs in the northeast for the overnight hours based on multiple
hi-res solutions picking up on nocturnal redevelopment in this
region in the vicinity of the approaching disturbance. Otherwise,
another day of triple digit high temperatures in many locations is
expected today, before a slight cool-down and better rain chances
arrive tomorrow.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 420 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016/
As is often the case in the summer, weak, subtle forcing
mechanisms are going to play a significant role in generating
clouds and precipitation - and modulating temperatures - over
North Central Texas during the next several days. Exactly WHICH features
trigger thunderstorms WHERE and WHEN remains problematic, and as
a result confidence in the overall precipitation forecast is NOT
great at the present time.

Our long-lived upper level ridge - stretching from OK to Southern
CA - will provide one more day of hot temperatures across North
and Central Texas. Starting Monday and continuing on through most
of next week, our region will be influenced by multiple weak
shortwaves, and by a persistent weakness in the mid-level flow
pattern. The net result will be cooler daytime highs and a chance
of rain over much of the area. Unfortunately, while we could see
some isolated higher amounts Monday, I'd caution everybody not to
get too giddy over the prospect of a widespread heavy rain event
this week.

For today, as mentioned, subsidence associated with the lingering
upper ridge will once again facilitate afternoon temperatures
between 98 and 102 degrees. Coupled with dewpoints in the upper
60s and lower 70s, areas from Sherman, Dallas and Corsicana
eastward will see heat indices climb into the 105-108 range.
Seriously considered issuing a Heat Advisory for this afternoon.
However, given the fact this is the last day we'll see indices
this high for a while, coupled with the brief period above
criteria, decided to forego an issuance. We still need to stress
the importance of heat illness prevention across all of North
Central Texas, however. Otherwise, have continued with a small PoP
this afternoon in our eastern counties, where another round of
spotty showers and thunderstorms may occur after 4 pm today.

More substantial changes occur on Monday, as the weak upper level
vorticity center currently south of Memphis slides westward to
near Tyler. Moisture levels really increase from west to east
Monday afternoon, with PW values exceeding 2 inches east of I-35.
The combination of subtle yet effective lift provided by the
shortwave, coupled with copious moisture and instability should
yield at least scattered showers and thunderstorms by late Monday
afternoon - particularly east of Interstate 35. Was tempted to go
significantly higher than MOS guidance on PoPs Monday, given the
degree of moisture and instability, but the lack of any organized
surface forcing may preclude the more widespread activity being
implied by the GFS and ECMWF. As noted in previous discussions,
the high PWs and weak steering winds may lead to some localized
flash flooding with any strong cells that do form Monday.

The models clearly peg Monday as the relatively "big" day for
precipitation chances, due to the arrival of the first shortwave
from the east. However, both the ECMWF and GFS advertise a second
wave moving into Texas from the Lower Mississippi Valley Tuesday
and/or Wednesday. At the very least, our region will remain under
the influence of an inverted trough during the mid week, and this
would bode well for continued scattered thunderstorm chances,
particularly across our Central Texas counties. Held onto small
PoPs from I-20 northward both days, but areas from Lampasas to
Palestine will enjoy the best shot at rainfall Tuesday/Wednesday.

The picture really starts to get fuzzy from Thursday into the
weekend. While some weakness persists across North Central Texas
through Friday, the upper ridge to our west will begin to rebuild
eastward, while a pronounced shortwave drops through the Central
Plains. By comparison with earlier in the week, our overall rain
chances will diminish from Thursday onward through Sunday.
However, with our Red River counties remaining on the southern
fringe of a northwesterly flow regime over the Central U.S., we'll
need to hang onto small PoPs in these areas into the weekend.

Clouds and scattered thunderstorms will temper our daytime highs
through Wednesday. However, as our PoPs fade and subsidence re-
asserts itself over the area, afternoon readings will climb back
to season norms by next Friday-Saturday.

Bradshaw

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth   101  81  96  79  95 /  10  10  50  20  30
Waco               101  78  96  76  93 /  10  10  50  30  40
Paris               99  76  93  75  94 /  20  30  50  20  20
Denton             100  78  95  75  94 /  10  10  40  20  30
McKinney            99  78  94  76  93 /  10  20  50  20  20
Dallas             101  80  95  79  94 /  10  10  50  20  30
Terrell             98  77  93  76  93 /  20  20  50  20  30
Corsicana           98  78  94  76  93 /  20  20  60  20  30
Temple             100  77  96  75  93 /  10  10  40  30  50
Mineral Wells      101  75  96  74  93 /   5   5  30  20  30

&&

.FWD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

90/30
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 24, 9:46 AM CST, 4 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1046 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-251215-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
1046 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A
BONHAM TO TERRELL TO HEARNE LINE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY REDEVELOP OVERNIGHT NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM
BONHAM TO ATHENS. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE GUSTY
DOWNBURST WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND
MOISTURE SPREADS INTO NORTH TEXAS. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD
PRODUCE GUSTY DOWNBURST WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

LOW RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OR PARTS OF
NORTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS
WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY MID TO LATE WEEK STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 heat. Local standard time, as filed.

Heat, Dallas

When
July 24, 2:00 PM CST to 3:00 PM CST
Where
Dallas forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
32.767, -96.778 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A two year old boy died after being left inside a hot car outside a church in East Dallas on the afternoon of Sunday, July 24.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Heat, Dallas2016-07-242MaleVehicle/Towed TrailerDirect

What these are

Heat
Heat below excessive heat criteria that still caused deaths, injuries or significant impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 651264.