Scattered thunderstorms developed across Middle Tennessee during the afternoon and evening hours on August 14. One report of wind damage was received.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OHX wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed across Middle Tennessee during the afternoon and evening hours on August 14. One report of wind damage was received.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 14, 1:11 PM CST, 4 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 211 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016 .DISCUSSION... At mid afternoon, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms were detected over Middle Tn and surrounding areas. Otherwise, skies were partly sunny, with temperatures mostly in the upper 80s. Temps should peak in the low 90s for most places this afternoon and rain coverage will be in the 10-30 percent range. Most of the showers or storms will end this evening, but isolated activity cannot be ruled out overnight. Lows tonight will be in the lower 70s. Wx maps showed a strong Bermuda high pressure extending into Mid Tn from the east, while stacked low pressure continued to produce copious rainfall over the lower Ms Valley. An axis of deep moisture extended from the low pressure, up into the Mid Ms Valley and Oh Valley along a stalled front. This pattern will remain in place for the next couple of days, dumping the heaviest rainfall to our west and northwest. Mid Tn will remain under moist, southerly flow, but the influence of the Bermuda high will result in just isolated to scattered showers or thunderstorms. Pops will be around 30 percent for most areas. Our far northwest areas, including Waverly and Dover, will be closer to the axis of deep moisture and the low pressure system, resulting in greater coverage at times. Persistence will work for temperature forecasts, with lows mostly in the lower 70s and highs from the mid 80s to lower 90s. Looking at Tuesday night through the rest of the week, a system crossing the northern states will pick up much of the low pressure energy from the Ms Valley. The lingering axis of deep moisture will pivot and sink southeastward, bringing greater coverage of showers and thunderstorms into Mid Tn. Pops from mid to late week will be generally in the 40-60 percent range. Rainfall through the period looks like 1-2 inches with locally greater amounts. High temps will be held back mid to late week, mostly in the mid 80s. Rain coverage will peak next weekend as a front approaches from the northwest. Extended models show a real frontal passage for next Sunday, followed by a shot of dry and cooler air arriving by Monday the 22nd. && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF DISCUSSION. Am going to be conservative here with the TAF forecast with the continued expected persistence of the surface/aloft bermuda high pressure pattern influences across the majority of the mid state region. Believe that only potential for convention development widespread enough to mention in TAF will be at CKV. But will it impact site/or just be around VCNTY? Am leaning toward VCNTY at this time per latest short range model solutions. With little movement of sfc front positioned west of mid state along with ring of moisture around periphery of Bermuda high pressure influences mentioned above expected, TAFs will be limited to two lines only at this point. Diminishing SW to W wind speeds and cloud coverage after 15/02Z BNA and CSV/keeping VCSH with bkn stratus CKV, thru 15/18Z, is also expected. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 74 91 73 89 73 / 20 30 20 40 50 Clarksville 72 88 71 85 72 / 50 50 40 50 60 Crossville 70 86 69 85 70 / 20 30 20 30 40 Columbia 72 90 71 88 72 / 20 30 20 30 40 Lawrenceburg 72 90 71 89 72 / 20 30 20 30 40 Waverly 73 88 71 85 72 / 50 50 40 50 60 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && DISCUSSION......13 AVIATION........31
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 549 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016 TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-151100- STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON- HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH- JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON- MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD- COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES- 549 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
536 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016
TNZ093-142315-
WAYNE TN-
536 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTY UNTIL 615 PM
CDT...
AT 536 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
COLLINWOOD...OR NEAR WAYNESBORO...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WAYNESBORO AND COLLINWOOD.
LAT...LON 3547 8771 3545 8764 3544 8764 3543 8761
3542 8761 3541 8760 3541 8758 3539 8757
3513 8761 3515 8789 3546 8791
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 181DEG 29KT 3523 8778
21The Nashville radar (KOHX), 121 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:14 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A tree was blown down on Highway 48 South and another tree was blown down on Rockhouse Road near Hohenwald.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, August 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 656905.