Storms fired along a southeastward moving cold front on afternoon of the 2nd, spreading northeastward along the front and moving eastward across southern Oklahoma through the evening.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OUN wrote it up.
Storms fired along a southeastward moving cold front on afternoon of the 2nd, spreading northeastward along the front and moving eastward across southern Oklahoma through the evening.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 2, 2:39 PM CST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 339 PM CDT Wed Nov 2 2016 .DISCUSSION... Primary forecast concern is focused on increasing precipitation chances late this afternoon into the overnight hours. Currently, it's fairly uncomfortable for early November, 02/20z surface observations reveal dew points well into the mid to upper 60s along with temperatures in the low 80s ahead of the surface boundary that continues to slowly push eastward off the panhandles. In response, ML CAPE values across the region are near 2000 to 2500 J/Kg. Earlier, around 19z, a few radar returns cropped up in far southern Oklahoma, most likely driven by some pre-frontal isentropic ascent around 305 to 310 K. Will likely see similar isolated activity through the afternoon ahead of the front. Deep layer shear across the region is relatively weak to modest, about 20 to 25 kts, this is in part to weak 700mb flow aloft. However, HRRR soundings from KFDR and KCDS reveal MLCAPE values approaching 3000 J/Kg through 03/00z, along with steepening mid-level lapse rates of 6.5 to 7.5 C/Km. This is more than enough to result in rapid updraft growth along the frontal boundary through this evening. In response, scattered to isolated strong to severe storms are possible, capable of severe hail, up to half dollars, and 60 to 70 mph wind gusts. Of additional concern, into the evening and overnight, will be locally heavy rainfall. 02/12z sounding from KOUN came back with 1.35 inches of precipitable water this morning, which is well above the 90th percentile for climatology. Through 02/20z, a few updrafts have finally gone west of Childress just off the Llano Estacado. The last few runs of the HRRR and the NMM HiRes WRF have done fairly well with the initiation in West Texas this afternoon. Expect this activity to gradually grow upstream along the surface boundary eastward through the late afternoon to early evening hours. Into the evening, some additional isolated storms may go up along the frontal boundary late this evening and overnight as it pushes eastward, into central Oklahoma, from southwestern Oklahoma to the OKC metro and as far north as Ponca City. With respect to rainfall, the heaviest rainfall will develop across southern Oklahoma and western north Texas. Amounts will range from a half inch in south central Oklahoma to just over an inch in far western north Texas. 7 day rainfall amounts are basically zero across this area, with a few locations receiving under a trace to a 10th over that time period. Therefore, widespread flooding issues are not anticipated, but locally heavy rainfall in the right locations, could result in brief flooding of usual suspect areas. For tomorrow into the weekend, expect relatively dry conditions through Friday as brief ridging over the southern half of the plains keeps the approaching western 500mb low parked over the desert southwest. Into the weekend, rain chances return, primarily late on Saturday into Sunday, with lingering chances through Tuesday as a slow evolving 500mb trough lumbers eastward across the central U.S. Temperatures during this period will be cooler, but still a few degrees above normal for the time of year, with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s each day. Kurtz && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 59 71 51 72 / 60 10 0 0 Hobart OK 59 71 52 70 / 50 10 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 63 71 56 70 / 60 30 10 10 Gage OK 50 72 42 73 / 20 10 0 0 Ponca City OK 58 71 46 73 / 40 10 0 0 Durant OK 66 78 59 76 / 60 20 10 10 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && 25/04
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 350 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016 OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-031200- HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD- NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE- BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN- CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON- TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON- JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN- FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY- 350 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN... WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... .THUNDERSTORMS... STRONG AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AFTER 4 PM NEAR AND SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PASS OVER THE REGION. DAMAGING WIND UP TO 65 MPH...HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE WITH A FEW STORMS. VERY HEAVY RAIN AND INTENSE LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE SEEN WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOST NUMEROUS ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. .HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING... MANY OF THE STORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN THAT COULD PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. THIS COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THIS EVENING. AGAIN...THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF STORMS AND INCREASE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL BE OVER SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF NORTHERN TEXAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... .THUNDERSTORMS... THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. SEVERE STORMS ARE UNLIKELY. GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK. MBS/EM/11
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
437 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016
OKZ033-036-TXZ083-022200-
HARMON OK-JACKSON OK-HARDEMAN TX-
437 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN HARMON...SOUTHWESTERN
JACKSON AND NORTHWESTERN HARDEMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...
AT 434 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTH OF
CHILDRESS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
IF THE STORM MAINTAINS INTENSITY... HAZARDS MAY INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...
WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY. BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF A WARNING
IS ISSUED OR IF STORMS THREATEN YOU.
&&
LAT...LON 3473 10000 3480 9986 3465 9974 3442 9974
3432 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 249DEG 21KT 3449 10023
KURTZThe Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 94 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:25 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Power poles were downed on the west side of town.
Water reported over highway 81 near Haliburton field just south of Duncan.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oklahoma in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, November 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 660013, 660012, 660011.