Drought in Oklahoma, November 1 to 30, 2016

Name: Drought in Oklahoma, November 1 to 30, 2016
Start: 2016-11-01T00:00
End: 2016-11-30T23:59
Location: Oklahoma

November 1 to 30, 2016 · NWS OUN · 8 events in 8 counties and zones

With a lack of any significant rainfall, severe drought conditions continued over south central Oklahoma through the month of November. Atoka county and southeast Coal county intensified to extreme drought.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 8 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 8

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OUN wrote it up.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 11:20 PM CST, 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 11:20 PM CST, 40 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1220 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
The November 1, 2016 06 UTC TAF discussion follows...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected to continue at most terminals through
the TAF period. One possible exception will be across southern
Oklahoma/western north Texas, where some low clouds with MVFR to
IFR ceilings may develop after 11Z. Overall confidence is low;
however, included TEMPOs at KSPS and KLAW where confidence is the
highest. KOKC might be on the northern periphery, so opted not to
include in at this terminal due to lower confidence.

Otherwise, a wind shift will veer/weaken the winds across
northwest Oklahoma prior to 12Z. Elsewhere, gusty southerly winds
will continue. Low-level wind shear is possible, especially
across north central Oklahoma where winds at 1500 ft will be
around 50 knots through 12Z.

Mahale

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 938 PM CDT Mon Oct 31 2016/

UPDATE...
Adjusted winds and temps for the overnight period.

DISCUSSION...
Increased wind speeds overnight with continued gradient and strong
level jet. With the increased wind...bumped temperatures up a few
locations across northern and western Oklahoma.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 641 PM CDT Mon Oct 31 2016/

DISCUSSION...
The November 1, 2016 00 UTC TAF discussion follows...

AVIATION...
Expect VFR conditions to continue at most terminals through the
TAF period. The possible exception will be across southern
Oklahoma/western north Texas, where some low clouds may develop by
sunrise tomorrow morning. The greatest confidence for MVFR to IFR
flight conditions is at KSPS, where a TEMPO group was added.
KOKC/KOUN/KLAW are expected to be on the periphery of any low
clouds; therefore, opted not to mention lower ceilings at these
terminals due to lower confidence.

A wind shift will veer the wind direction/decrease the wind speed
across northwest Oklahoma tomorrow morning. Otherwise, expect
gusty southerly winds to continue at most terminals.

Mahale

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 312 PM CDT Mon Oct 31 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Breezy south winds will persist this evening and into tomorrow.
Mid-atmospheric heights decrease a little over the Plains tomorrow
and we should bring the temperatures down a touch compared to
today. A weak disturbance developing over Texas will move
northeast toward northeast Texas/southeast Oklahoma tomorrow
night. Although it is not out of the question to see some
precipitation in the southeast with this tomorrow night, it
appears more likely that any precipitation will develop to the
east after it passes by our forecast area.

Higher precipitation chances are expected mid-week with a series
of shortwaves moving over the area in the southwest flow ahead of
the developing cut-off low over Arizona. However, ridging develops
over the Plains late in the week after a longwave trough moves
from the Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies into the Great
Lakes region. There remain some differences in what will happen
with the Arizona low late in the forecast period, so am not too
confident in any particular model solution at this point. But
there will be some precipitation chances this weekend and early
next week as this system moves into the plain.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  63  81  64  79 /   0   0   0  20
Hobart OK         62  82  62  81 /   0   0   0  20
Wichita Falls TX  62  84  65  82 /   0   0   0  20
Gage OK           59  85  60  78 /   0   0  10  20
Ponca City OK     64  84  67  80 /   0   0  10  20
Durant OK         63  81  67  80 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

11/10/10

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 31, 7:28 PM CST, 4 hours 32 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
828 PM CDT MON OCT 31 2016

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-011015-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
828 PM CDT MON OCT 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...AND AGAIN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS APPEAR POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT PASSES OVER
THE REGION.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

8 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Atoka

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where: Atoka forecast zone
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 34.374, -96.038 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Bryan

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where: Bryan forecast zone
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 33.962, -96.260 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Coal

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where: Coal forecast zone
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 34.588, -96.298 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Hughes

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where: Hughes forecast zone
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 35.048, -96.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Johnston

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where: Johnston forecast zone
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 34.317, -96.661 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Murray

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where: Murray forecast zone
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 34.482, -97.068 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Pontotoc

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where: Pontotoc forecast zone
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 34.728, -96.684 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Seminole

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where: Seminole forecast zone
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 35.168, -96.615 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought: A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Oklahoma in 2016 Every state in 2016 This day in weather history Warnings in Oklahoma, November 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 661880, 661881, 661882, 661883, 661884, 661886, 661887, 661888.