A line of showers with gusty winds developed ahead of a fast moving cold front.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ILN wrote it up.
A line of showers with gusty winds developed ahead of a fast moving cold front.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 29, 12:07 AM EST, 1 hour 21 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 1207 AM EST MON FEB 29 2016 .SYNOPSIS... BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT TODAY WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL. THE LOW AND COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR MONDAY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/... PROGRESSIVE MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TO PIVOT EAST THRU THE GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT. ASSOCIATED SFC COLD FRONT EVIDENT OVER CENTRAL INDIANA TO PUSH EAST ACRS ILN/S FA OVERNIGHT. A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS IN WARM MOIST ASCENT AHEAD OF THIS FRONT HAVE DEVELOPED INTO ILN/S WESTERN COUNTIES. MEANWHILE...A NARROW RIBBON OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED INVOF THE FRONT. MARGINAL INSTBY EXISTS IN THIS THIN AXIS WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 40S/NEAR 50 HAVE POOLED. LATEST RAP SOLN HOLDS ONTO MARGINAL INSTBY AND TAKES IT MAINLY ACRS ILN/S SRN COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. HAVE BUMPED UP POPS TO LKLY AND ADDED A MENTION OF THUNDER. ILN/S VAD WIND PROFILE SHOWS 50 KTS OF WIND AT 2K FEET ABOVE GROUND. WITH THESE STRONG WINDS ALOFT...SOME WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PCPN DUE TO EVAPORATIVE COOLING. HAVE BUMPED UP WIND GUSTS AND ADDED THIS MENTION TO SPS AND HWO PRODUCTS. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SUNNY SKIES HAVE ALLOWED FOR TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 60S ACROSS THE AREA WITH DAYTON TYING THE RECORD SO FAR. WINDS HAVE ALSO BEEN GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH SEVERAL SITES RECORDING SUSTAINED WINDS ABOVE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL KEEP THE WIND ADVISORY GOING UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING. TONIGHT A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA WITH MODELS BEING IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT. THE FRONT IS FORECASTED TO BE THROUGH THE CWA BY AROUND 6 AM. HIGH RES MODELS ARE ALSO SHOWING THIS BAND OF PRECIP MOVING THROUGH THE AREA WITH THE FRONT AND ARE PRETTY CONSISTENT IN STRENGTH AND TIMING. GFS OMEGA VALUES AGAIN LIGHT ALONG THE FRONT THANKS TO STRONG PVA. PWATS ON BOTH THE GFS AND NAM ALSO RISE TO AROUND 0.80". GIVEN THE GOOD LIFT AT THE SYNOPTIC SCALE AND SURFACE ALONG WITH SATURATED FORECAST SOUNDINGS HAVE TRENDED POPS SLIGHTLY HIGHER. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... MONDAY MORNING THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE PULLING EAST WITH CLEARING SKIES FORECASTED. 850 MB TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW ZERO MONDAY MORNING BUT QUICKLY RISE BACK UP AS THE SHORTWAVE HEADS EAST. OVERALL HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 50 CAN BE EXPECTED MONDAY (UPPER 40S NORTH AND MID 50S SOUTH). MONDAY AFTERNOON ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL ROTATE SOUTH ACROSS THE CANADIAN PROVINCES STALLING A COLD FRONT JUST SOUTH OF THE MICHIGAN/ OHIO BORDER MONDAY NIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME A SHORTWAVE WILL DIVE SOUTH ACROSS THE COLORADO ROCKIES ALLOWING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO FORM OVER THE OKLAHOMA/ KANSAS BORDER. MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE TRACK OF THIS LOW. THE GENERAL IDEA IS FOR THE SHORTWAVE TO DIG SOUTH AND PUSH EAST ACROSS KENTUCKY/ TENNESSEE. THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW FOR TUESDAY IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT REGARDING TYPE OF WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA THOUGH AND UNFORTUNATELY MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THIS. THE EURO AND CANADIAN TEND TO BE IN AGREEMENT BRINGING THE SURFACE LOW OVER CENTRAL OHIO TUESDAY EVENING WHILE THE GFS BRINGS THE SURFACE LOW OVER CENTRAL INDIANA. THE LATEST 18Z MODEL RUN OF THE NAM IS FURTHER WEST AS WELL. FOR NOW HAVE TRENDED TOWARDS THE EURO/ CMC SOLUTION. IN THE WARM SECTOR TOWARDS THE EAST OF THE LOW SFC - 1 KM SRH VALUES ARE NEARING 300 M2/S2 AND SFC - 1 KM SHEAR VALUES AROUND 35 KTS. CAPE VALUES ARE ALSO APPROACHING 500 VIA THE NAM AND 300 VIA THE GFS. GIVEN THE MENTIONED ABOVE SPC DOES HAVE A MARGINAL RISK CLIPPING OUR SOUTHERN AREAS FOR DAY 3. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING THE SURFACE LOW WILL PUSH EAST OF THE AREA WITH A SURFACE COLD FRONT FORECASTED TO CLEAR THE AREA BY SUNRISE. THE ECMWF IS FASTER WITH THE FRONT WHILE THE GFS IS SLOWER. HAVE AGAIN TRENDED TOWARDS THE EURO/CMC SOLUTION. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... THE 12Z GFS IS NOW SLOWER THAN THE 12Z ECMWF AND 12Z CMC SO WILL AT LEAST LINGER A FEW SNOW SHOWERS INTO THE WEDNESDAY MORNING HOURS ACROSS THE EAST TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. OTHERWISE IN CONTINUED LOW LEVEL CAA...TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY STRUGGLE SOMEWHAT TO RISE WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW TO MID 30S IN THE NORTH TO THE UPPER 30S/NEAR 40 IN THE SOUTH. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE NEXT SHORT WAVE SYSTEM FOR THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THE 12Z ECMWF HAS TRENDED FARTHER SOUTH AND IS NOW SOMEWHAT CLOSER TO THE MORE SOUTHERN GFS. HOWEVER...THE 12Z CMC IS STILL CONSIDERABLY FARTHER NORTH...BRINGING THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW EAST RIGHT ALONG THE OHIO RIVER. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...WILL CONTINUE WITH CHANCE POPS FOR THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT BUT TRIM THEM BACK A BIT BASED ON THE ECMWF TREND. TEMPERATURES AND PTYPE WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF THE LOW...WITH THE MORE SOUTHERN TRACK OF THE ECMWF/GFS YIELDING ALL SNOW BUT LOWER CHANCES OF PCPN. THE MORE NORTHERN CMC WOULD SUPPORT AT LEAST A RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS THE SOUTH BUT ALSO A BETTER CHANCE OF PCPN. AT THIS POINT...WILL CONTINUE FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH HIGHS ON THURSDAY RANGING FROM THE LOW 30S NORTH TO THE LOWER 40S SOUTH. WITH THIS IN MIND...WILL ALLOW FOR SOME RAIN TO MIX IN ACROSS THE SOUTH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSITION TO MORE WESTERLY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THE BEST FORCING WITH THIS WILL REMAIN OFF TO OUR NORTH SO WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODERATE WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S ON SATURDAY...WARMING INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S BY SUNDAY. && .AVIATION /05Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TAF SITES DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AS THIS FRONT MOVES THROUGH...A PERIOD OF SHOWERS WILL OCCUR...WITH MVFR TO POSSIBLY IFR VISIBILITIES. THE FRONT WILL ALSO LEAD TO A WIND SHIFT...WITH WINDS CHANGING FROM ABOUT 220 DEGREES TO 290 DEGREES. THESE WINDS WILL REMAIN QUITE GUSTY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH GUSTS IN THE 25-35 KNOT RANGE EXPECTED. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...MVFR CEILINGS HAVE DEVELOPED. SOME CEILINGS MAY BE LOWER THAN 2000 FEET...ESPECIALLY DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE CLOUDS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD LIFT TO VFR (OR SCATTER OUT ENTIRELY) BY MID AFTERNOON AT ALL LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY...AND ESPECIALLY IN THE EVENING...AS THEY BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST. OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE WITH PRECIPITATION FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON FRIDAY. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...HAINES NEAR TERM...HAINES/AR SHORT TERM...HAINES LONG TERM...JGL AVIATION...HATZOS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 1021 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016 INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046- 051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-010330- WAYNE-FAYETTE-UNION-FRANKLIN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND- CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN- ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN- DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY- GREENE-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING- HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO- 1021 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 1005 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016 INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046- 051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-290800- WAYNE-FAYETTE-UNION-FRANKLIN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND- CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON- BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY- LOGAN-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-LICKING-PREBLE- MONTGOMERY-GREENE-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS- HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY... BROOKVILLE...BATESVILLE...MILAN...VERSAILLES...OSGOOD...BRIGHT... LAWRENCEBURG...HIDDEN VALLEY...GREENDALE...AURORA...DILLSBORO... RISING SUN...PATRIOT...CARROLLTON...VEVAY...WARSAW...FLORENCE... BURLINGTON...OAKBROOK...COVINGTON...ERLANGER...INDEPENDENCE... NEWPORT...FORT THOMAS...ALEXANDRIA...HIGHLAND HEIGHTS... BELLEVUE...OWENTON...WILLIAMSTOWN...CRITTENDEN...DRY RIDGE... FALMOUTH...BUTLER...AUGUSTA...BROOKSVILLE...MOUNT OLIVET... MAYSVILLE...VANCEBURG...KENTON...ADA...CELINA...COLDWATER... WAPAKONETA...ST. MARYS...NEW BREMEN...MINSTER...GREENVILLE... SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...TROY...PIQUA... TIPP CITY...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...JEFFERSON... PLAIN CITY...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...EATON...CAMDEN...DAYTON... KETTERING...BEAVERCREEK...FAIRBORN...XENIA...JEFFERSONVILLE... BLOOMINGBURG...CIRCLEVILLE...LANCASTER...PICKERINGTON... HAMILTON...MIDDLETOWN...FAIRFIELD...OXFORD...MASON...LEBANON... LANDEN...SPRINGBORO...FRANKLIN...WILMINGTON...BLANCHESTER... CHILLICOTHE...LOGAN...CINCINNATI...MILFORD...SUMMERSIDE... MOUNT CARMEL...MOUNT REPOSE...WITHAMSVILLE...MULBERRY... DAY HEIGHTS...GEORGETOWN...MOUNT ORAB...RIPLEY...ABERDEEN... HILLSBORO...GREENFIELD...WEST UNION...MANCHESTER...PEEBLES... SEAMAN...WINCHESTER...PIKETON...PORTSMOUTH...WHEELERSBURG 1005 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016 ...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT... SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WITH VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT...SOME WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. MOTORISTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...SHOULD BE AWARE OF SUDDEN WIND GUSTS. ALSO...MAKE SURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS ARE SECURE.
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 90 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 06:28 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
One 4.5 inch diameter tree limb was knocked down near Lucusville. In addition, some unsecured lawn items were blown around.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Ohio in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Ohio, February 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 614301.