The southern end of a bowing line of severe thunderstorms clipped parts of southeast Missouri as it moved into southern Illinois. The line of storms produced isolated tree damage north of Perryville.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
The southern end of a bowing line of severe thunderstorms clipped parts of southeast Missouri as it moved into southern Illinois. The line of storms produced isolated tree damage north of Perryville. The line of storms occurred in a hot and humid air mass to the south of a cold front over the Upper Mississippi Valley. Winds through the lower levels of the atmosphere were westerly at 30 to 40 knots, which was sufficient for isolated wind damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 13, 2:25 PM CST, 45 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 325 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016 .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday night) Issued at 237 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016 Immediate concern lies with the severe weather potential this afternoon into the evening. Extreme instability has developed over much of southern IL this afternoon with sfc temps in the lower 90s and dew point temps running up in the mid 70s. Not much in the way of 0-6km bulk shear over our area with most locations running below 30kts. However, given the instability/downcapes involved ahead of the ongoing complex of storms, would not be surprised to see at least isolated severe wind gusts in portions of srn IL as we head into the late afternoon/early evening hours. SFC front to be making its way slowly south into the region Thu/Fri time frame as ripples of mid lvl energy try to move southeast from the Plains. Timing and location of the waves is difficult at best, but would not be surprised to see some risk of at least isolated severe activity. repeat on today, especially especially as we get into the heat of the afternoon (esp Thursday) and instability builds along/ahead of the and fronts or outflows. Greatest bulk shear values will probably be over se MO/sw IL. .LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 325 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016 This extended package combines the previous forecast with regionally blended forecast guidance. At this time only have moderate confidence on the finer details with respect to thunderstorm coverage from Sunday through Tuesday, as the influence of the main middle and upper level ridge dominates the WFO PAH forecast area. The mean southern limit of the faster zonal flow is in place over the weekend, while broad southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico continues as well. The middle and upper level ridge boldly builds into the area Sunday afternoon into Monday morning, serving to limit convection across the area as a subsidence inversion builds in aloft. The ECMWF depicts some westward shift of the ridge by late Monday into Tuesday, allowing for a sharper northwest flow to impact the northeast half of the WFO PAH forecast area. At this time, there will be some uncertainty as to how much retrograding of the ridge will be going on at this time. Will need to monitor. With the ridge building in the from the west early next week, heat index values may approach advisory criteria Monday through Wednesday, mainly for all of the WFO PAH forecast area, except for the Pennyrile region of West Kentucky and part of Southwest Indiana. && .AVIATION... Issued at 255 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016 VFR conditions expected at all sites through the period. VCTS possible at KEVV/KOWB but chances too small to mention at this time. Southerly winds AOB 10 knots early will gust up to 18-20 knots after 16Z, then drop back to less than 10 knots after 00Z. && .PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && SHORT TERM...GM LONG TERM...Smith
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 341 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-142045- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 341 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT...MAINLY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LOOK TO BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT AGAIN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTH INTO THE REGION. DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. IN ADDITION...HEAT INDICES WILL TOP OUT NEAR 100 IN MANY LOCATIONS THURSDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST MAINLY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT WILL SHIFT EAST AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST NEXT WEEK. AT THIS TIME...THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS QUITE LOW. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH 100 IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI ON SUNDAY. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL LIKELY REACH NEAR 105 AND ABOVE MONDAY AND TUESDAY OVER MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA, EXCEPT THE PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY. A HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE WARRANTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION HAS BEEN REQUESTED OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON....GENERALLY NORTH OF A MARBLE HILL MISSOURI TO HARRISBURG ILLINOIS LINE.
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 122 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:08 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A couple of trees were down in northern Perry County. One tree was over the road on County Road 832, and another tree was down on County Road 210.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 641948.