An area of thunderstorms developed and moved slowly south, producing rainfall amounts of nearly four inches. This caused standing water across numerous roads, particularly southeast of Faubush.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
An area of thunderstorms developed and moved slowly south, producing rainfall amounts of nearly four inches. This caused standing water across numerous roads, particularly southeast of Faubush.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 22, 8:46 PM EST, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson KY 946 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016 .UPDATE... Issued at 946 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016 WSR-88D radar indicated much of the storm activity has progressed generally along and south of the Hal Rogers Parkway this late evening hour. Much of this likely still going because of the higher PWAT values and SW propagating outflow boundary. Overall this activity will continue to trend down and we should see improving conditions. Even so those under one of the stronger storms you will still see locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning. Given a good portion of the CWA has seen rain did opt to add patchy fog in valleys starting now. Model wise the CAMS still struggling, with HRRR only model remotely handling current trends. This is likely due to the hourly initialization and it really didn't have the idea till 22Z run. Overall biggest change was updating pops to reflect current trends. UPDATE Issued at 615 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016 WSR-88D radar indicating isolated to scattered showers and storms are tracking slowly south and east across eastern KY. The best coverage has resided across the north and east portions of the CWA. The CAMS have struggled given the more mesoscale driven nature of the storms. Also not handling the outflow boundary which is emanating southwest from the storms. While this outflow may kick off a few more storms as it moves SW, the loss of daytime heating will lead to a down tick overall in any storms ongoing or that develop. Those that do see storms will see heavy rain, gusty winds, and frequent lightning. More minor updates to mainly pop to better handle ongoing convection. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 314 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016 Two issues to address in the short term part of the forecast. First is the chance for thunderstorms for the remainder of today and then on Saturday. A weak mid level short wave is passing across the area this afternoon. Convection that has been developing in the northern part of our area has been short lived with an apparent mid level cap in place which is hinted at by some of the model data. As this cap continues to weaken should see isolated to scattered storms mainly in the north and west for the latter part of the afternoon. With outflow from any convection late today possibly triggering additional convection, the threat for a few showers and thunderstorms will linger into the overnight. With the passage of the short wave tonight it appears that the better chance for thunderstorms on Saturday will be over the southern part of the area. However chance will remain low, about 30 percent chance in the south and 20 percent chance in the north on Saturday. The second issue to address is the heat for Saturday. Current temperature forecast for Saturday is for maximums in the lower 90s, and this will combine with humidity to once again push heat indices to around 100. With heat advisory criteria of 105 degrees will still not need to issue a heat advisory for our area. .LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday) Issued at 314 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016 Models continue to show good agreement and continuity with mid and upper level features through the period. Broad, flattened mid and upper level ridge across the southern CONUS buckles in response to multiple short wave troughs tracking across the northern tier. The main center of the high retrogrades to the west coast just as the all too familiar Bermuda High reforms off the southeastern United States. In between a mean trough develops over the Upper Mid-West and Great Lake Region by the end of the forecast window. With our area lying on the southern periphery of an active northern stream, sensible weather will manage some isolated to at times scattered convection at just about any time through the period. There will be a greater chance of rainfall early next week as a cold frontal boundary drops southward to the Ohio River by late Monday, or possibly Tuesday. This boundary stalls out and will tend to keep any convection focused across the region through mid week. What's left of the boundary lifts northward Thursday, just as another trough begins to drop into the region from the northwest by late Thursday or Friday. The loss of mid and upper level ridging combined with daily convection will help keep our high temperatures close to normal for this time of the year, or possibly slightly cooler. But overall our weather will remain quite muggy. Overnight lows will be warm, running a little above normals. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening) ISSUED AT 723 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016 Most sites are beginning the TAF period VFR with exception of some sites seeing vis restrictions. This mainly due to rain and storms moving across those sites. That said the WSR-88D radar continues to show rain and storms across portion of eastern KY this hour. Many of these storms have been sparked by a outflow boundary that continues to progress southwest. This activity will die off as sunsets and we loose daytime heating. Then the question is fog overnight, right now the guidance wants to hit this hard. Leaned toward southern sites of LOZ/SME and also SYM given more rain. All and all think most of this will be confined to the typical river valley locales. Winds will remain light, but sites that see a stronger storm could see 15 to 20 knot gust. Did go VCTS for the southern sites given overall higher pop, but will likely have to look at this closer in next TAF issuance area wide. && .JKL Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && UPDATE...DJ SHORT TERM...SBH LONG TERM...RAY AVIATION...DJ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 357 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-231100- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO... JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD... IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BROADHEAD... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON... MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG... BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN... SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE... PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN... PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN... JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY... PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON 357 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 95 AND 100 DEGREES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY FROM SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG ON MONDAY. HEAT INDICES WILL APPROACH OR EXCEED 100 DEGREES EACH AFTERNOON FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. GEOGERIAN/SBH/RAY
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
601 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016
KYZ108-109-112-222230-
WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-BREATHITT-
601 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016
...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WOLFE...MAGOFFIN...
AND BREATHITT COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM EDT...
AT 600 PM EDT...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS OVER EUGENE...OR
8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SALYERSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
TORRENTIAL RAIN RATES. PEA SIZE HAIL AND WINDS GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SIMPSON...FRITZ...CORNELIA...SEWELL...DAISYDELL...PUNCHEON...HAGER...
ROUSSEAU...SEILTZ...FORAKER...VANCLEVE...CUTUNO...GUAGE...STELLA...
LAMBRIC...SHOCKEY...HAGINSVILLE...BURKHART...EPSON AND MOCT.
THIS INCLUDES BERT T. COMBS MOUNTAIN PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 64
AND 67.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSISTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3778 8323 3767 8304 3747 8316 3763 8343
3774 8329 3772 8328 3771 8326 3774 8324
3776 8326
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 035DEG 6KT 3767 8319
JPSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
642 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016
KYZ079-083-084-222315-
WAYNE-MCCREARY-PULASKI-
642 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WAYNE...MCCREARY...AND
PULASKI COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT...
AT 641 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER BURNSIDE...OR NEAR
SOMERSET...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
TORRENTIAL RAIN RATES. WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOMERSET...BURNSIDE...TATEVILLE...SLOANS VALLEY...
SOMERSET PULASKI AIRPORT...ALPINE...KIDDER...GENERAL BURNSIDE S.P....
BRONSTON...QUINTON...PARKERS LAKE...ELIHU...GREENWOOD...RUTH...
WIBORG AND FERGUSON.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3704 8474 3711 8455 3697 8435 3695 8437
3694 8436 3694 8432 3693 8431 3692 8431
3676 8457
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 322DEG 12KT 3701 8459
JPSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
654 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016
KYZ079-083-222330-
WAYNE-PULASKI-
654 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WAYNE...PULASKI...
AT 653 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER NAOMI...OR 9 MILES
WEST OF SOMERSET...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
TORRENTIAL RAIN RATES. WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH AND PEA SIZE
HAIL ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOMERSET...BURNSIDE...PULASKI COUNTY PARK...TATEVILLE...NAOMI...
FRAZER...MILL SPRINGS...FAUBUSH...GENERAL BURNSIDE S.P....BRONSTON...
NANCY...QUINTON...SLOANS VALLEY AND TRIMBLE.
THIS INCLUDES LOUIS B. NUNN PARKWAY
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
IF YOU ARE ON OR NEAR LAKE CUMBERLAND...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND
MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE
OUT TO 15 MILES FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO
SAFE SHELTER NOW. DO NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.
&&
LAT...LON 3699 8485 3700 8484 3701 8486 3705 8491
3711 8490 3712 8469 3694 8452 3690 8490
3695 8491
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 329DEG 8KT 3703 8477
JPSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
701 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016
KYZ058-068-069-111-222330-
JACKSON-ROCKCASTLE-LEE-ESTILL-
701 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016
...A AN OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT JACKSON...ROCKCASTLE...
LEE...AND ESTILL COUNTIES 730 PM EDT...
AT 659 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER BLANTON FLATS...OR 8
MILES NORTH OF MCKEE...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
TORRENTIAL RAIN RATES. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
IRVINE...MCKEE...BOONE...RAVENNA...WANETA...ARVEL...KERBY KNOB...
JOHNETTA...LOAM...SOUTH IRVINE...COLLINGSWORTH...WAGERSVILLE...
DRIP ROCK...LAKES...MACEDONIA...STATION CAMP...TYNER...EGLON...
MORRILL AND LEIGHTON.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 68 AND 72.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3748 8437 3752 8436 3754 8432 3751 8426
3752 8420 3756 8416 3756 8409 3764 8413
3767 8409 3768 8410 3769 8385 3749 8384
3752 8388 3748 8389 3743 8384 3732 8383
3731 8386 3747 8439
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 350DEG 10KT 3756 8401
JPSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
742 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016
KYZ068-079-230015-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-
742 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ROCKCASTLE...AND PULASKI
COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM EDT...
AT 741 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER GUM SULPHUR...OR 7
MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNT VERNON...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
TORRENTIAL RAIN RATES. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOUNT VERNON...MARETBURG...OTTOWA...WABP...HIATT...BURR...
RENFRO VALLEY...SINKS...WELLHOPE...ORLANDO...QUAIL...HANSFORD...
LAKE LINVILLE...MUELLERSVILLE...LEVEL GREEN...ROUNDSTONE...BANDY...
DUDLEY STATION...WILDIE AND WOODSTOCK.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 55 AND 69.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3736 8455 3733 8451 3748 8445 3748 8443
3747 8438 3750 8435 3730 8419 3722 8456
3734 8457
TIME...MOT...LOC 2341Z 344DEG 10KT 3743 8447
JPSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
746 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016
KYZ068-069-080-230015-
JACKSON-ROCKCASTLE-LAUREL-
746 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT JACKSON...ROCKCASTLE...AND
LAUREL COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM EDT...
AT 745 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER SHOP BRANCH...OR NEAR
MCKEE...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
TORRENTIAL RAIN RATES. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MCKEE...WANETA...PARROT...JEP HILL...WELCHBURG...JOHNETTA...LOAM...
COLLINGSWORTH...ROYRADER...MACEDONIA...COOKSBURG...TYNER...EGLON...
MERSHONS...DABOLT...DATHA...BRADSHAW...PRIVETT...
ROBINET AND GREEN HILL.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3721 8417 3747 8421 3749 8388 3748 8389
3747 8388 3731 8386 3730 8388 3729 8388
3726 8390 3726 8394 3725 8394
TIME...MOT...LOC 2345Z 344DEG 9KT 3739 8407
JPThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Dispatch relayed reports of standing water on numerous roads, including Highways 80, 1664, and Faubush Road. Water was reported to be up to the hoods of a few trucks. Radar estimated rainfall amounts of up to four inches were observed southeast of Faubush.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 638375.