Guam, 2016

Drought and Astronomical Low Tide in Guam, July 1 to 31, 2016

July 1 to 31, 2016 · NWS GUM · 5 events in 5 counties and zones

Rain across the Western Pacific allowed dry conditions to improve.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GUM wrote it up.

Rain across the Western Pacific allowed dry conditions to improve.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Guam wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 5:51 AM UTC, 8 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 5:51 AM UTC, 8 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
351 PM ChST Thu Jun 30 2016

.Synopsis...
Gentle to moderate trade winds dominate the forecast area.
Increased cloudiness and weather are expected as a weak
circulation moves south of Guam by Sunday.

&&

.Discussion...
Generally fair weather for the next few days. Light winds on
Friday and Saturday will set up favorable conditions for island
thunderstorms in the afternoon especially over Guam. But the more
interesting weather maker may be a circulation moving far south of
Guam on Sunday. Although it will remain south of the Marianas, a
surface trough extending from this will increase convection and
along with an upper level trough may spawn isolated thunderstorms.

&&

.Marine...
Ritidian, Ipan and Tanapag buoy data show combined seas of
around 4 feet. Expect a slight increase at the end of the week.

&&

.Eastern Micronesia...
Visible satellite shows fair weather across much of Micronesia from
Chuuk to Majuro. Showers and thunderstorms are seen south and east
of Majuro and north of Pohnpei. Weak circulations are seen west of
Chuuk and northwest of Pohnpei...and a near-equatorial trough south
of Majuro.

The two areas of disturbed weather will shift west the next few days
with showery weather shifting west as well over the islands. A drier
near-term forecast will be replaced by wetter conditions over the
weekend. Models are showing more showers with the disturbance near
Majuro...bringing scattered showers to Majuro on Saturday and
Sunday...and Kosrae on Sunday and Monday. Similar weather is
possible at Pohnpei and Chuuk early next week as a weak surface
trough extends eastward along 6N to 8N. In the long-term...GFS hints
at another disturbance that could bring showery weather to the
Marshall Islands early next week.

&&

.Western Micronesia...
Reasoning for the Chuuk forecast is included under the Eastern
Micronesia section above.

Made only minor changes to Yap and Koror forecast based on latest
obs...satellite animation and model guidance. The monsoon trough is
situated just north of Koror and near Yap and extends eastward to a
weak circulation just west of Chuuk. Gentle winds the next few days
will gradually become moderate as the monsoon flow strengthens over
the region. Weather trend favors a little more moisture the next few
days at Koror...so extended the period of scattered showers to cover
the weekend. Long-term forecast hinges on the possibility of the
monsoon trough linking to a circulation east of Yap early next week.
GFS shows some slow development of this circulation as it heads over
or north of Yap Monday or Tuesday.

&&

.GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GU...None.
Marianas Waters...None.
&&

Miller/M. Aydlett

Event by event

4 drought, 1 astronomical low tide. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Belau

When
July 1, 12:00 AM GST to July 31, 11:59 PM GST
Where
Belau forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

All locations in Palau received adequate rainfall and the country was no longer in drought. Even though the Weather Service Office in Palau received only 8.28 inches of rain, more than 8 inches below average, the trend was for more rainfall. The southern island of Peleliu saw 5.90 inches of rain by mid-month which was more than average.

Drought, Micronesia

When
July 1, 12:00 AM GST to July 31, 11:59 PM GST
Where
Micronesia forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

All locations in Yap received adequate rainfall and the State was no longer in drought. Even though the Weather Service Office in Yap received 10.03 inches of rain which was still 5.01 inches below average. The atoll of Woleai experienced above 12 inches of rain|by mid-month which was more than average.

Drought, Marshall Islands

When
July 1, 12:00 AM GST to July 31, 11:59 PM GST
Where
Marshall Islands forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

While many islands and atolls of the Marshall islands are still experiencing dry conditions the trend is for more rain to fall.

By mid-month some areas were experiencing more rain than average and the country|was no longer in drought.

Astronomical Low Tide, Rota

When
July 1, 12:00 AM GST to July 31, 11:59 PM GST
Where
Rota forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

Rainfall continue to increase in the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands and the drought level fell from level 3 (extreme) to level 2 (severe). While still dry, by the end of the month Rota was no longer in drought.

Drought, Saipan

When
July 1, 12:00 AM GST to July 31, 11:59 PM GST
Where
Saipan forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

Rainfall continue to increase in the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands and the drought level fell from level 3 (extreme) to level 2 (severe). While still dry, by the end of the month Saipan was no longer in drought.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
Astronomical Low Tide
Unusually low water from tides and offshore wind that caused impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Guam in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Guam, July 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 654470, 654471, 654472, 654473, 654474.