Georgia, 2016

Drought in Georgia, November 1 to 30, 2016

November 1 to 30, 2016 · NWS TAE · 7 events in 7 counties and zones

The month started with D2 drought conditions across the area. The drought intensified to D3 status on November 15th and continued into December.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
7

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

The month started with D2 drought conditions across the area. The drought intensified to D3 status on November 15th and continued into December.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 8:49 PM EST, 3 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 8:49 PM EST, 3 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
949 PM EDT Mon Oct 31 2016

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Clear skies will prevail tonight, along with light to calm winds.
This will result in an ideal radiational cooling setup across our
area, with temperatures dropping into the 50s inland and 60s near
the coast. Some patchy fog cannot be ruled out, mainly in south
central GA and parts of the FL Big Bend near sunrise.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [702 PM EDT]...

.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Wednesday]...
Only minor changes to the recent hot and dry weather are expected
through Wednesday. As an amplified ridge builds over the Deep
South on Tuesday, surface high pressure will build down the
eastern seaboard increasing northeasterly to easterly flow over
the eastern half of the forecast area. This should help to keep
temperatures 2-3 degrees cooler than today for Georgia and the
Florida Big Bend, but the remainder of the area will likely be
just as hot as today. The easterly flow will spread across the
remainder of the area by Wednesday, with high temperatures
confined to the mid 80s, versus the current upper 80s.

.LONG TERM [Wednesday Night Through Monday]...
Model guidance continues to be in good agreement about deep layer
ridging remaining in place through the Thursday timeframe. There
is also good general agreement that a shortwave trough will
approach the CWA from the west Friday morning. This will allow the
break down of the ridge and bring minor relief from the abnormally
warm temperatures in the form of a cold front.

As of now, the forecast indicates temperatures only cooling down
to around, or just above normal for this time of year (mid to
upper 70s). Lows on the other hand will slighly below normal for
this time of year (low to mid 50s). Gradual warming will follow
through Monday. It is worth mentioning that moisture associated
with the front is very limited, thus PoPs will be very limited.

.AVIATION [Through 00Z Wednesday]...

VFR conditions will generally prevail across our area under clear
skies and light winds throughout the period. The only exception
may be at VLD, where patchy fog is possible early in the morning
around sunrise. Went with prevailing MVFR visibility there from
09Z-13Z due to uncertainty regarding fog development, but brief
periods of IFR/LIFR cannot be ruled out.

.MARINE...
Winds and seas will increase slightly through mid-week as high
pressure builds north of the waters. A cold front will pass
through the waters on Friday with stronger offshore developing
in its wake.

.FIRE WEATHER...
RH values will be low this afternoon, with minimum values ranging
from 25 to 30 percent. However, no fire weather concerns are
anticipated due to very light winds and fairly low dispersion
values.

.HYDROLOGY...
No significant rainfall is expected this week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   58  86  65  84  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   64  83  67  80  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        54  87  62  84  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        55  86  61  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      54  85  62  83  60 /   0  10  10   0   0
Cross City    58  85  64  84  61 /   0   0  10   0   0
Apalachicola  64  80  67  79  66 /   0   0   0  10   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Lahr
SHORT TERM...Camp
LONG TERM...Camp
AVIATION...Lahr
MARINE...Camp
FIRE WEATHER...Fieux
HYDROLOGY...Camp

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

7 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Lee

When
November 1, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Lee forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.780, -84.141 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Worth

When
November 1, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Worth forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.552, -83.851 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Terrell

When
November 1, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Terrell forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.777, -84.437 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Randolph

When
November 1, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Randolph forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.763, -84.754 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Quitman

When
November 1, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Quitman forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.867, -85.019 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Clay

When
November 1, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Clay forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.626, -84.980 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Early

When
November 1, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Early forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.323, -84.904 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Georgia in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, November 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 662143, 662144, 662145, 662146, 662147, 662148, 662149.