Winter Weather in Georgia, January 20, 2016

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
647 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE CAROLINAS
TODAY.  ANOTHER LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TO OUR WEST ON THURSDAY
AND SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THE SYSTEM WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST OVER THE WEEKEND WITH DRIER HIGH PRESSURE
SPREADING BACK OVER THE REGION IN ITS WAKE ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 630 AM EST...HAD A FEW REPORTS OF SOME LIGHT SNOW AT HIGH
ELEVATIONS OF THE NC MTNS...SO THE LIGHT RETURNS SEEN ON THE KMRX
RADAR ARE PROBABLY REACHING THE MTNS ON THE TN BORDER. HAVE REVERTED
BACK TO CHANCE OF SNOW BEGINNING OVER THE SMOKIES NOW AND THEN
PRECIP CHANCES GRADUALLY RAMP UP THRU THE CHANCE RANGE TO LIKELY BY
MIDDAY.

THE MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM FOR THE NEAR TERM CONCERNS THE PASSAGE OF
A FAIRLY VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME
INITIAL MID/UPPER FORCING AND MOISTURE WILL BRING THICKENING CLOUD
COVER EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. EXPECT MOST PLACES E OF
THE MTNS WILL SEE SOME PRECIP ALOFT THAT WILL NOT MAKE IT TO THE
GROUND THIS MORNING BECAUSE OF THE VERY DRY AIR...ESPECIALLY EAST OF
THE MTNS. THE BLANKET OF CLOUDS SHOULD KEEP TEMPS FROM CLIMBING MUCH
ABOVE THE MID 30S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. THE PRIMARY SHORT WAVE
SHOULD CROSS THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST FROM LATE MORNING TO LATE
AFTERNOON WITH A WIDE BAND OF DEEPER MOISTURE. MODEL PROFILES AND
PARTIAL THICKNESS OVERWHELMINGLY FAVOR SNOW ACROSS THE NC PORTION OF
THE FCST AREA... THE MTNS OF NE GEORGIA AND SC...AND MUCH OF THE NRN
UPSTATE...THRU MOST OF THE EVENT. WARMER AIR WILL ATTEMPT TO MOVE UP
FROM THE SOUTH AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE...WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE FOR A P-
TYPE TRANSITION ZONE OVER THE NE GEORGIA PIEDMONT AND THE
LAKELANDS... FIRST TO SLEET AND THEN TO LIGHT RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THE PRECIP SHOULD END AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT
RAIN...PERHAPS LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OVER THE NC FOOTHILLS IF IT HOLDS
ON LONG ENOUGH FOR TEMPS TO COOL BACK BELOW FREEZING. FORTUNATELY...
OUTSIDE THE MTNS THE LIQUID PRECIP EQUIVALENT WILL BE ON THE ORDER
OF HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH AND TEMPS WILL MAKE IT INTO THE MID/UPPER
30S. AS A RESULT... NO SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUM IS EXPECTED IN THE I-
85 CORRIDOR AND SOUTH...INCLUDING MOST OF THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA.
HOWEVER...WE COULD SEE UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW MAINLY ON GRASSY AND
ELEVATED SURFACES OVER THE NW PIEDMONT AND NC FOOTHILLS IF THE 06Z
NAM IS CORRECT WITH ITS SLIGHTLY HIGHER QPF. AN ADVISORY WILL NOT BE
ISSUED OUTSIDE THE MTNS...YET. OVER THE MTNS...A DIFFERENT STORY.
HIGHER PRECIP AMTS IN THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A BETTER CHANCE
OF GETTING A 2-3 INCH ACCUM THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE TN BORDER...AND A 1-2 INCH ACCUM IN
THE FR. BROAD VALLEY. THINK IT PRUDENT TO EXPAND THE ADVISORY FOR
THE REST OF THE NC MOUNTAINS THRU TONIGHT. WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
MAIN SHORT WAVE...WE SHOULD QUICKLY DRY OUT AT MID LEVELS...WHICH
SHOULD RESULT IN A QUICK TRANSITION TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN/DRIZZLE
OVER THE MTNS IN THE EARLY EVENING AS WE LOSE ACTIVE ICE NUCLEI.
THUS...EXPECT A LIGHT GLAZE ACROSS PARTS OF THE MTNS TONIGHT THAT
WILL GRADUALLY TAPER BACK TO THE NW FLOW UPSLOPE AREAS AND THEN END
BEFORE SUNRISE THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...CANNOT RULE OUT SOME LIGHT
PRECIP CONTINUING OVERNIGHT IN THE SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY WHERE THE
MOISTURE BAND STALLS. THIS SHOULD MAINLY BE RAIN...BUT COULD CAUSE A
CONTINUATION OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IN THE MTNS OF NORTHEAST GA AND
THE LITTLE TN RIVER BASIN IN NC.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 340 AM WEDNESDAY...LATEST IR SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATED THAT
THE SYSTEM THAT WILL IMPACT THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK WAS OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE FORECAST WILL BE AIDED BY GENERALLY GOOD SHORT
RANGE MODEL AGREEMENT...AND DETAILED TEMPERATURE FIELDS FROM THE
NAM12. I WILL USE A BLEND OF THE SYNOPTIC FEATURES OF THE GFS AND
ECMWF FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HOWEVER...ON FRIDAY...I WILL
BLEND IN LLVL THERMAL DETAILS FROM THE NAM12...BANKING ON THE BETTER
HANDLING OF COLD AIR DAMMING.

THURSDAY...0Z RUN OF THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE TRENDED SLOWER WITH THE
ONSET OF WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED PRECIP. THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL
FEATURE SLOWER INCREASE OF POPS FRONT SW TO NE...DECREASING QPF. BY
LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...I WILL FORECAST LIKELY POPS ACROSS THE
UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY TO THE EXTREME WESTERN NC MTNS...SCHC
OVER THE NC PIEDMONT AND FOOTHILLS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY
RANGE IN THE MID 40S.

BY 12Z FRIDAY...THE CENTER OF A WELL ORGANIZED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IS FORECAST OVER NRN MS/AL...WITH GFS FASTER NEAR THE TN/AL/GA STATE
INTERSECTION. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT THE SFC HIGH WILL LIKELY
START TO RIDGE SW ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND ALONG THE EAST
FACING SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. THE PATTERN SUPPORTS
DEEP ISENTROPIC LIFT ALONG WITH IDEAL UPSLOPE FLOW. THE COMBINATION
OF DEEP MOISTURE AND DEEP LLVL LIFT WILL SUPPORT NEAR 100 PERCENT BY
THE PRE DAWN HOURS FRIDAY. COLD AIR DAMMING WILL SURGE ACROSS THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...SUPPORTED BY GUSTY NE WINDS. FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD SW ACROSS THE EAST FACING
SLOPES...UPPER FRENCH BROAD VALLEY...AND EAST ACROSS THE I-40
CORRIDOR. GENERALLY...H85 WAA WILL SUPPORT RAINFALL THURSDAY
EVENING. HOWEVER...THE HEART OF THE CAD WILL ERODE THE WARM NOSE AND
SHOULD YIELD AN IMPRESSIVE ROUND OF SLEET ACROSS THE NC FOOTHILLS
DURING THE LATE NIGHT HOURS THURSDAY NIGHT. SURGING COLD AIR SHOULD
PROVIDE COLD THERMAL PROFILES...SUPPORTING A PERIOD OF FOOTHILL SNOW
DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS FRI.

AFTER SUNRISE FRIDAY...THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO LIFT NE ACROSS
NRN GA...PROVIDING A DEEPER WARM NOSE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
AND NE GA. HOWEVER...THE BL ACROSS THE NC ZONES WILL MAINTAIN
REINFORCING CAA. A CLASSIC FREEZING RAIN PROFILE DEVELOPS NORTH THE
NC/SC LINE DURING THE EARLY DAYLIGHT HOURS. THE FREEZING RAIN LINE
WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE NRN FOOTHILLS AND NRN NC MTNS BY MID DAY.
THE PEAK H5 Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE WILL CROSS OVER THE FORECAST AREA
ON FRI...PEAKING AROUND 18Z. THE ADDED FORCING SHOULD RESULT IN A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FZRA ACROSS THE I-40 CORRIDOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
BY 0Z SAT...DAMAGING FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE UNIFOUR
EAST ACROSS THE UPPER I-77 CORRIDOR...NORTH OF LAKE NORMAN.

FRIDAY NIGHT...THE LOW CENTER WILL REACH THE OUTER BANKS OF NC AS
THE CENTER OF A CLOSED H5 LOW TRACKS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
GRADUALLY...H85 WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NW...RESULTING IN CAA
ACROSS THE REGION. A WINTRY MIX AND RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW
FROM WEST TO EAST FRIDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL SHOULD INCREASE
FRIDAY EVENING...THEN REMAINING STEADY OVER THE TN BORDER COUNTIES
THROUGH SAT. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM NEARLY A
FOOT OVER THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF AVERY COUNTY...TO 5 TO 8 INCHES
ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE...WITH SEVERAL INCHES ACROSS THE I-40
CORRIDOR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 410 AM WEDNESDAY...SUNDAY AND MONDAY...N-S SFC HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE REGION UNDER THE AXIS OF A PASSING H5 L/W
RIDGE. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH TEMPS RETURNING TO SEASONABLE
VALUES. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PASS OVER THE MTNS MON
NIGHT...PASSING SLOWLY EAST ON TUESDAY. THERMAL PROFILES WILL RESULT
IN LIGHT RAIN TO SWITCH TO SNOW ACROSS THE MTNS AND NC FOOTHILLS
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY...PRECIP WILL
FALL AS RAIN ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURE ON TUESDAY IS
FORECAST TO RANGE IN THE 40S ACROSS THE MTNS TO LOW TO MID 50S EAST.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...VFR FOR THE INITIAL PART OF OPERATIONS THIS
MORNING...WITH CLOUDS THICKENING FROM MID-LEVELS DOWN TO THE LOWER
PART OF VFR. PRECIP APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK WITH SOME LIGHT PRECIP ON
THE NC/TN BORDER AT DAYBREAK. STILL EXPECT PRECIP TO BRIEFLY HANG UP
ACROSS THE NC MTNS WHILE THE MAIN SHORT WAVE APPROACHES...THEN
SPREAD OUT E OF THE MTNS FROM MIDDAY THRU AFTERNOON. PREDOMINANT P-
TYPE STILL LOOKS LIKE LIGHT SNOW FOR THE BETTER PART OF THE
EVENT...PERHAPS ENDING EARLY THIS EVENING AS A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN
E OF THE BLUE RIDGE...OR FREEZING DRIZZLE IN THE EARLY EVENING
ACROSS THE MTNS. KAVL HAS THE BEST CHANCE OF HAVING THE LONGEST
PERIOD OF POSSIBLE MVFR RESTRICTIONS FROM LATE MORNING THRU
SUNSET...THEN KHKY/KCLT HAVE THE NEXT BEST CHANCE OF A PERIOD OF
LIGHT SNOW IN THE MID/LATE AFTERNOON. ALL THAT WILL BE HANDLED WITH
TEMPO GROUPS. THE WESTERLY FLOW ABOVE THE SFC IS NOT AS FAVORABLE
FOR PRECIP ACROSS UPSTATE SC...SO A VCSH WILL BE MORE APPROPRIATE
FOR KGSP/KGMU/KAND. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER 23Z. WIND SHOULD
COME AROUND TO S FOR THE DAYTIME...THEN SW THIS EVENING...AND
EVENTUALLY NW OR N AND LIGHT OVERNIGHT.

OUTLOOK...THURSDAY MIGHT BE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE ACTION. A STRONGER
STORM SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE FROM THE WEST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...
WITH WIDESPREAD RESTRICTIONS AND WINTRY PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY FROM KAVL TO KHKY. THE SYSTEM COULD LINGER INTO
SATURDAY...WITH WINTRY PTYPES POSSIBLY PERSISTING AS WELL.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            11-17Z        17-23Z        23-05Z        05-06Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  95%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     MED   75%     LOW   38%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH  94%     HIGH  90%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  90%     HIGH  83%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULE TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY.  COMPLET HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR GAZ010-017.
NC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ033-
     048>053-058-059-062>065.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...NED
LONG TERM...NED
AVIATION...PM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
555 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016

NCZ033-049-050-211100-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
555 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...WINTRY MIX LIKELY. A LARGE AND STRONG LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW...SLEET...AND
FREEZING RAIN TO THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY.
PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO PURE SNOW DURING THE EVENING
HOURS.
..SATURDAY...HEAVY SNOW LIKELY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN
THE WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE SATURDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. IN ADDITION...COLD
TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN SLICK DRIVING CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED
ROADS AND BRIDGES.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

GAZ010-017-NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-211100-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
555 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE. A LARGE AND STRONG LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND
FREEZING RAIN TO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS
AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA ON FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST
TO TRANSITION TO PRIMARILY FREEZING RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON.
..SATURDAY...SNOW POSSIBLE. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE
WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE SATURDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. IN ADDITION...COLD
TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN SLICK DRIVING CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED
ROADS AND BRIDGES.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ501-503-505-211100-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
555 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS OF NORTH
CAROLINA THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...MAINLY AS LIGHT SNOW. THE
SNOW MAY TRANSITION BRIEFLY TO A PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
LATE IN THE DAY OR THIS EVENING BEFORE ENDING BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
AN ACCUMULATION OF UP TO ONE INCH IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SNOW
TAPERS OFF. PATCHES OF BLACK ICE SHOULD BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...WINTRY MIX LIKELY. A LARGE AND STRONG LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW...SLEET...AND
FREEZING RAIN TO THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS ON FRIDAY.
THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL AS SNOW AND
SLEET ALONG THE EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS.
..SATURDAY...HEAVY SNOW LIKELY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN
THE WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE SATURDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. IN ADDITION...COLD
TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN SLICK DRIVING CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED
ROADS AND BRIDGES.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-502-504-506-211100-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-
555 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND
NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON...MAINLY AS LIGHT SNOW. THE SNOW MAY TRANSITION BRIEFLY
TO A PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LATE IN THE DAY OR THIS EVENING
BEFORE ENDING BEFORE MIDNIGHT. LESS THAN ONE INCH ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF. PATCHES OF BLACK ICE SHOULD
BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...WINTRY MIX LIKELY. A LARGE AND STRONG LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW...SLEET...AND
FREEZING RAIN TO NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS ON FRIDAY.
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
MOST LIKELY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
..SATURDAY...SNOW POSSIBLE. A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL TRACK
ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. IN ADDITION...COLD TEMPERATURES WILL
RESULT IN SLICK DRIVING CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND BRIDGES.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ068-069-507>510-SCZ001>003-211100-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
555 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS OF
NORTH CAROLINA AND THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON...MAINLY AS LIGHT SNOW. THE SNOW MAY TRANSITION
BRIEFLY TO A PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LATE IN THE DAY OR THIS
EVENING BEFORE ENDING BEFORE MIDNIGHT. AN ACCUMULATION OF UP TO
ONE INCH IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF. PATCHES OF BLACK
ICE SHOULD BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE. A LARGE AND STRONG LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND
FREEZING RAIN TO THE SOUTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN PIEDMONT ON FRIDAY.
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
..SATURDAY...SNOW POSSIBLE. A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL TRACK
ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. IN ADDITION...COLD TEMPERATURES WILL
RESULT IN SLICK DRIVING CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND BRIDGES.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ070>072-082-SCZ009-211100-
GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-
555 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF THE
CAROLINAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. NO SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE. A LARGE AND STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING FREEZING RAIN TO THE
CHARLOTTE METRO AREA ON FRIDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE FORECAST TO
BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON.
..SATURDAY...SNOW POSSIBLE. A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL TRACK
ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE MORNING HOURS. IN
ADDITION...COLD TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN SLICK DRIVING
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND BRIDGES.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-SCZ004>008-010>014-019-211100-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-
UNION-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
555 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF UPSTATE SOUTH
CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 85...THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. NO
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. A LARGE AND STRONG LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE
UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA.
..SATURDAY...BLACK ICE POSSIBLE. MORNING FREEZING TEMPERATURES
WILL RESULT IN SLICK DRIVING CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND
BRIDGES...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 85.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
652 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 AM     SNOW             2 NW WAYNESVILLE        35.50N  83.02W
01/20/2016  E0.2 INCH        HAYWOOD            NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ELEVATION 3400 FEET.

&&

NED