A moist and unstable airmass moving across South Florida during the early morning hours resulted in a few storms across the region.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.
A moist and unstable airmass moving across South Florida during the early morning hours resulted in a few storms across the region.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 1, 4:19 AM EST, 21 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 419 AM EST MON FEB 1 2016 .SYNOPSIS... SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK WILL BE ABOVE AVERAGE. && .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... SHOWERS ARE ALREADY SPREADING IN TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA EARLY THIS MORNING...AS A WEAK MID/UPR-LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO THE NORTH INTERACTS WITH MOISTURE PLUMING UP FROM THE SOUTH. EXPECT NUMEROUS ACTIVITY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...BEFORE ACTIVITY BEGINS TO TAPER OFF. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE REGULATED BY CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION...BUT STILL FEEL UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80F MAXIMA WILL PREVAIL. AFTER THE SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGH DEPARTS BY THIS EVENING...DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE SHORT TERM. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY FEBRUARY...WITH MOST AREAS EXCEEDING 80 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOONS. DEEP LAYER RIDGING WILL PREVAIL. A BIT STRONGER SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW MAY LEAD TO A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TUESDAY. .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... RIDGE WILL HOLD IN SOUTH FLORIDA INTO LATE THURSDAY...CONTINUING WARM...HUMID...PRECIPITATION-FREE WEATHER. A POTENT UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO LIFT FROM TEXAS INTO THE GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO SAG INTO FLORIDA. IT LOOKS AS IF SOME FRONTAL FEATURE WILL MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION BY EARLY FRIDAY...BUT THE MAGNITUDE OF COOL AIR BEHIND IS IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. GFS OVERALL HAS A MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE ZONAL PATTERN SETTING UP...WHILE ECMWF IS CALLING FOR DEEPER TROUGHS TO PASS NORTH OF THE REGION INTO THE WEEKEND. THE RESULT IS WIDELY DIFFERING TEMPERATURE FORECASTS...WITH GFS HOLDING ONTO WARM TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND...WHILE ECMWF SUGGESTING COOLER TEMPERATURES TO NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL AS EARLY AS FRIDAY. FOR NOW...HANDLING ALL THE UNCERTAINTY BY DEPICTING GRADUALLY COOLING TREND FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH LOW RAIN CHANCES THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THUNDERSTORMS ARENT OUT OF THE QUESTION DURING THIS TIME AS WELL...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO WARRANT INCLUSION IN THE GRIDS AT THIS TIME.&& .AVIATION... A SUBTLE SFC TROUGH AXIS/WARM FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS IS FORECAST TO LIFT SLOWLY NWD THRU THE TAF PERIOD AS LOW-LEVEL SE FLOW STRENGTHENS. ASCENT NEAR AND N OF THE WARM FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHRA ACROSS SRN TERMINALS BTWN 09-11Z...WITH PREVAILING SHRA ANTICIPATED FROM MID/LATE MORNING THRU LATE AFTN. INSTABILITY WILL BE MAXIMIZED DURING THIS PERIOD AND A FEW TSRA WILL BE PSBL AS WELL. ATTM...IT APPEARS THAT SLOW NWD ADVANCEMENT OF WARM FRONT DURING THE DAY WILL LIMIT THREAT FOR SHRA/TSRA AT PBI WITH MOST ACTIVITY FOCUSED AT THE MIAMI-DADE/BROWARD TERMINALS. CONDS WILL IMPROVE AT ALL AIRPORTS ARND 02/00Z. PREVAILING CIGS/VSBY WILL REMAIN VFR...ALTHOUGH BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR WILL BE PSBL IF HEAVIER PCPN DIRECTLY IMPACTS A TERMINAL. SFC WINDS WILL BE LGT/VRBL INVOF FRONT DURING THE DAY...RETURNING TO ESE AT 5-10 KTS BY EVENING. && .MARINE... A FEW THUNDERSTORM ARE POSSIBLE OVER ATLANTIC WATERS TODAY...OTHERWISE BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. SOUTHEAST WIND WILL PREVAIL INTO LATE WEEK. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... WEST PALM BEACH 80 68 82 72 / 50 10 10 10 FORT LAUDERDALE 79 69 81 73 / 60 10 0 0 MIAMI 80 70 83 71 / 70 20 0 0 NAPLES 80 66 85 68 / 40 10 0 0 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. AM...NONE. GM...NONE. && SHORT TERM...23/SK LONG TERM....23/SK AVIATION...99/DD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 827 PM EST SUN JAN 31 2016 AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676- 011200- LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY- INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE- MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 827 PM EST SUN JAN 31 2016 ...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR FISHEATING CREEK... ...ISOLATED STORMS ON MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT FLOODING: A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FISHEATING CREEK NEAR PALMDALE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPAND TO INCLUDE THE ENTIRE SOUTHEASTERN COAST AND ADJACENT WATERS ON MONDAY. GUSTY WINDS...LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ONCE AGAIN BE THE MAIN THREATS. FISHEATING CREEK NEAR PALMDALE WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WITH MARINE CONDITIONS DETERIORATING IN THE GULF WATERS BY FRIDAY MORNING... AND IN THE REMAINDER OF THE COASTAL WATERS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI. BAXTER
The Miami radar (KAMX), 49 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 09:38 UTC.
1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.
Lightning struck a tree on a residential property. A four-foot-long chunk from the tree broke a sliding glass door on the home, destroying the doorframe. Additional portions of the tree landed on a backyard concrete wall, and the canopy of the tree fell onto the roof of several homes and blocked an adjacent street.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, February 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 611449.