Scattered afternoon thunderstorms developed in an environment of high instability favorable for microbursts.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.
Scattered afternoon thunderstorms developed in an environment of high instability favorable for microbursts.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 1, 11:33 AM CST, 2 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 133 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2016 .AVIATION [Through 18Z Tuesday]... Widespread showers and thunderstorms will continue through the afternoon near or at all terminals...with at least IFR visibility reductions likely at ABY from now through 19Z as thunderstorms move over that location. Brief MVFR/IFR visibility reductions are also possible at DHN, VLD, and ABY through the afternoon in any showers/storms that develop. Expect showers and storms to dissipate this evening, with VFR conditions likely prevailing through Tuesday morning. With the heavy rainfall, some patchy fog cannot be ruled out early tomorrow morning across our area, but not yet confident enough to include fog in TAFs at this time. && .PREV DISCUSSION [955 AM EDT]... .NEAR TERM [Through Today]... Only significant change to today's forecast was to adjust PoPs upward across portions of the FL Panhandle and adjacent Gulf zones this morning into the early afternoon. A plume of moisture over this region with PWAT values above 2.2" (according to the latest mesoanalysis at 13Z) is leading to showers and thunderstorms along a line from Lake Seminole southwestward through Panama City and into the Gulf, and this will stay relatively stationary throughout the late morning. Still expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to spread to the remainder of our inland locations this afternoon, with highs generally in the low-mid 90s inland and upper 80s along the coast. .SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Wednesday]... A northern stream shortwave will amplify as it moves east through the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic through the period. While deep- layer synoptic forcing from this system will remain well north of the Tri-State region, the associated surface low will likely combine with some lee cyclogenesis resulting in a trough axis extending southwest into the local area on Tuesday. The weak low/trough will be pushed further southwest on Wednesday as high pressure builds down the Eastern Seaboard. In addition to the forcing provided by the trough, the local seabreeze is expected to be rather active in the wet south/southwesterly flow regime. With PWATS running on the high end of the normal envelope, expect PoPs to be above average, in the 50-60% range area-wide both Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs will likely peak in the low 90s for locations getting rain early each day, and the mid 90s elsewhere. Isolated to scattered severe storms will be a possibility, with damaging winds being the prevailing threat. .LONG TERM [Wednesday Night Through Monday]... Weak deep-layer forcing will continue through the extended range forecast, with convection driven by the local seabreeze and a weakening surface trough/front. With PWATs forecast to continue to be somewhat elevated, expect near to slightly above average storm coverage each afternoon. Highs will peak in the lower to middle 90s each day. .MARINE... Relatively light winds and low seas will prevail for the next several days. The exception will be brief enhancements (below cautionary levels) in winds and chop near the coast each afternoon. .FIRE WEATHER... No concerns. .HYDROLOGY... No widespread flooding is anticipated. As usual for this time of year, isolated areas of minor flooding cannot be ruled out due to slow moving thunderstorms producing heavy rain. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 76 94 76 94 75 / 10 50 20 60 40 Panama City 80 88 80 89 78 / 20 40 20 50 40 Dothan 74 92 74 93 74 / 20 50 30 50 30 Albany 74 94 74 95 74 / 30 50 30 50 40 Valdosta 74 94 74 94 74 / 30 50 40 60 40 Cross City 75 95 75 94 74 / 20 40 20 40 40 Apalachicola 78 90 78 91 78 / 20 40 20 40 30 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && NEAR TERM...Lahr SHORT TERM...Harrigan LONG TERM...Harrigan AVIATION...Lahr MARINE...Harrigan FIRE WEATHER...Barry HYDROLOGY...Lahr
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
929 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016
FLZ011-011515-
JACKSON FL-
929 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JACKSON COUNTY UNTIL 1015 AM
CDT...
AT 929 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MARIANNA...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARIANNA...MALONE...COTTONDALE...GREENWOOD...CAMPBELLTON...BASCOM...
CYPRESS...HORNSVILLE...SIMSVILLE...SINK CREEK...ALLIANCE...
KYNESVILLE...JACOBS...MARIANNA MUNICIPAL A/P...TWO EGG...
COTTONDALE AIRPORT...UNION CITY...BLUE SPRING...
LOVEDALE AND ELLAVILLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8500 3097 8500 3097 8499 3095 8498
3061 8505 3061 8535 3097 8543
TIME...MOT...LOC 1429Z 188DEG 11KT 3074 8524
ADLSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1256 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2016 GAZ121-123-125-142-144-011745- BAKER GA-CLAY GA-CALHOUN GA-EARLY GA-DOUGHERTY GA- 1256 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN DOUGHERTY...NORTHEASTERN EARLY...CALHOUN...NORTHWESTERN BAKER AND SOUTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTIES UNTIL 145 PM EDT... AT 1254 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER ARLINGTON...OR 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MORGAN... MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MORGAN...EDISON...ARLINGTON...LEARY...WALKER...DOUGLASVILLE... BLUFFTON...PATMOS...CORDRAYS MILL...ROWENA...PARKSVILLE...TURMAN... MILFORD...COMMISSARY HILL...DUCKER...HOLT...BERMUDA...IVEYS MILL... ELMODEL WMA AND DICKEY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. && LAT...LON 3134 8429 3135 8486 3157 8487 3161 8431 TIME...MOT...LOC 1654Z 264DEG 6KT 3146 8469 ADL
The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 24 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:35 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The local electric company reported a tree down across a rural road in western Holmes county.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, August 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 640993.