A stalled frontal boundary combined with rich Gulf moisture and daytime heating to produce showers and storms, some of which resulted in flash flooding.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
A stalled frontal boundary combined with rich Gulf moisture and daytime heating to produce showers and storms, some of which resulted in flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 16, 2:47 PM CST, 53 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 347 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016 .DISCUSSION... We remain locked into a persistent pattern of humid conditions with daily rounds of mainly diurnal tropical showers. A weak surface front remains stalled from east Texas through the Mid South into the Ohio Valley. To the southeast of this front across the Deep South, above normal deep layer moisture persists. Showers anchored along the front itself have been ongoing throughout the entire day, while activity farther south and east developed during the afternoon. Owing to modest 1 km shear, some of these lines of showers and storms have been producing gusty winds over central and south MS. Some of these are also rather efficient rain producers, and there has been at least one report of localized flooding in Hattiesburg this afternoon. This convection should begin to die down shortly after sunset with the loss of daytime instability. Additional low stratus and/or patchy fog development is possible late tonight into early Wednesday given the considerable lingering low level moisture. Heading through the middle of the week, the shortwave upper trough to the north will weaken and pull northeast, leaving the front stalled to our north. Persistent southerly low level flow around the western periphery of a surface ridge over the western Atlantic will keep a very moist airmass over our region. As a result, the forecast for the next few days will be status quo, with scattered to numerous mainly afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms. Friday through next Tuesday...By the end of the work week, upper flow will be more zonal over the area, with the remnants of the persistent surface front lingering across AR/North MS. With surface ridging largely suppressed to the south and east of the region, this will maintain above normal rain chances into the extended portion of the forecast, particularly during the afternoon and evening periods. An upper trough will prograde across the Rockies toward the Great Lakes this weekend into early next week, pushing a new front across the Plains and into the Lower MS Valley. The greatest upper forcing with this system will remain north of our area, but guidance indicates there will be enough of a nudge to get the surface front southward partially through the area late Monday/Tuesday, where it will begin to lose steam as jet level flow becomes more parallel to the front. This may be enough to get some 60s dewpoints into the northern half of the area by Tuesday. However at least through early next week, significant relief from the summer muggies appears unlikely particularly for the southern half of the area. /DL/ && .AVIATION...Scattered to numerous shra/tsra activity was occuring over the west and cntrl portions of the area this aftn. A brief lowering of cigs and vsbys along with gusty winds can be expected with any tsra. This convective activity will diminish this evening but isold shra may continue in vcty of GLH through tonight. Areawide development of MVFR/IFR conditions is expected by 09Z Wed with LIFR conditions psbl again at HBG. Conditions wl slowly improve after 15z. Scattered to numerous tsra activity is expected again Wed aftn. /22/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 74 90 74 90 / 34 45 24 48 Meridian 74 92 74 92 / 24 37 31 49 Vicksburg 73 90 74 90 / 43 48 27 46 Hattiesburg 75 91 74 91 / 22 40 19 41 Natchez 74 89 73 90 / 35 47 23 43 Greenville 74 86 74 88 / 43 57 24 53 Greenwood 74 89 73 89 / 39 49 22 53 && .JAN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && DL/22
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 200 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 171900- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER- WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH- SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 200 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. 21 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... NO SHORT TERM HAZARDS EXPECTED. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN HOME PAGE... WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE NWS JAN TROPICAL PAGE... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=TROPICAL NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HOME PAGE... WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK... WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER... @NWSJACKSONMS PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
213 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016
MSZ054-161945-
COPIAH MS-
213 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN COPIAH COUNTY UNTIL 245
PM CDT...
AT 213 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR ROCKPORT...OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HAZLEHURST...MOVING NORTH AT
20 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
HOPEWELL AROUND 240 PM CDT.
CRYSTAL SPRINGS AROUND 245 PM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE GEORGETOWN.
LAT...LON 3173 9037 3204 9044 3204 9023 3202 9024
3185 9015 3185 9014 3183 9016 3183 9013
3182 9016 3180 9017 3179 9011 3179 9017
3178 9017 3178 9011 3177 9011 3177 9017
3176 9012 3174 9017
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 184DEG 19KT 3180 9026
DBSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 308 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016 MSZ051-162045- NEWTON MS- 308 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN NEWTON COUNTY UNTIL 345 PM CDT... AT 308 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ROSE HILL...OR 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEWTON...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... DUFFEE AND LITTLE ROCK AROUND 345 PM CDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE CHUNKY AND HICKORY. LAT...LON 3222 8911 3257 8911 3255 8892 3222 8892 TIME...MOT...LOC 2008Z 187DEG 23KT 3223 8900 NF
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
347 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016
MSZ046-052-162115-
LAUDERDALE MS-KEMPER MS-
347 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT LAUDERDALE AND SOUTHERN KEMPER
COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...
AT 346 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR DUFFEE TO NEAR INCREASE. MOVEMENT
WAS NORTH AT 25 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAUDERDALE...MERIDIAN...MERIDIAN STATION...MARION...DE KALB...
LIBERTY...BLACKWATER...DAMASCUS...TAMOLA...ALAMUCHA...ZERO...
PORTERVILLE...KEWANEE...NELLIEBURG...PRISMATIC...MARTIN...TOOMSUBA...
BLUFF SPRINGS...DALEVILLE AND SUQUALENA.
LAT...LON 3233 8842 3224 8848 3238 8892 3285 8891
3269 8837
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 197DEG 21KT 3247 8899 3231 8856
NFThe Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 151 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:39 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Water had come through the front door of a business in Eudora.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, August 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 648630.