The West Central Texas drought continues to expand especially across areas along and north of Interstate 20 and the Northwest Hill Country because of the lack of heavier rain. Lake levels remain low in these areas.
Every event with a place to put it; 13 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
The West Central Texas drought continues to expand especially across areas along and north of Interstate 20 and the Northwest Hill Country because of the lack of heavier rain. Lake levels remain low in these areas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 2, 11:40 PM CST, 20 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 1140 PM CST Mon Mar 2 2015 .AVIATION... /06Z TAFS/ LIFR ceilings had returned to nearly all TAF sites at 5Z. KABI was an outlier with MVFR ceilings, but expect it also to fall below 500 AGL through 9Z. Visibilities should begin improving after daybreak as southerly winds increase, however, do not expect most sites to rise to MVFR and until early afternoon. KSJT and KSOA will likely rise to MVFR first as drier southwesterly winds move in. CIGS should rise to VFR for all sites mid afternoon, with MVFR stratus returning this evening to the I-10 corridor terminals and KBBD Brady this evening. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 557 PM CST Mon Mar 2 2015/ AVIATION... /00Z TAFS/ LIFR/IFR CIGS will continue tonight into late Tuesday morning, There should be a gradual improvement in visibilities tonight however as light easterly upslope winds become south to southeast and increase to 5 to 15 mph. IFR CIGS otherwise should rise to MVFR noon Tuesday or a couple hours after. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM CST Mon Mar 2 2015/ SHORT TERM... (Tonight and Tomorrow) A big temperature swing remains likely for the next 24 hours. Models continue to rebound 850 mb temperatures during the next 24 hours. However, return low-level flow developing tonight does not look as promising as we were thinking. Thus, surface dewpoints will likely not rebound as quickly during the next 12 hours, as we were previously thinking. So, the low for tonight may occur just after midnight. Also, persistent fog will continue tonight, as will the potential for light showers across mainly of central and eastern counties. For tomorrow, we do expect clouds to thin and 850 mb temperatures to warm. Thus, afternoon highs above seasonal normals, mainly around 70, look reasonable. Nevertheless, we did lower highs for tomorrow a few degrees, as compared to previous forecasts. This cold air, at this surface, has just not yielded as we'd thought it would. Huber LONG TERM... (Tomorrow night through Monday) .A return of colder temperatures and wintry precipitation are possible Wednesday and Thursday... An Arctic cold front is forecast to move into the Big Country Wednesday morning then clear the Interstate 10 corridor by early afternoon. Ahead of this feature, showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Temperatures will drop quickly as the cold front moves through, with steadily dropping temperatures through the day. This is indicated in the current forecast with much of the Big Country at or below freezing by noon, and much of the rest of West Central Texas at or below freezing by early evening. An upper level disturbance will approach from the west, resulting in increasing precipitation chances for all of West Central Texas. The precipitation type forecast continues to be a challenge. Forecast model soundings indicate rain across most of the area Wednesday morning, except across the Big Country where freezing rain/sleet will be possible. As temperatures across the region continue to drop, a transition to rain or sleet will be possible as far south as a San Angelo, to Eden, to Brownwood line Wednesday afternoon, with sleet across the Big Country. Wednesday night into Thursday morning, a transition to snow/sleet is then expected, as temperatures aloft cool enough to get rid of any warm layer. Precipitation chances will end from northwest to southeast Thursday morning. A lot of uncertainty remains with regard to ice, sleet and snow accumulations across the region. Accumulating winter precipitation looks likely, but exactly how much still remains uncertain. Residents are urged to continue to monitor future forecasts as hazardous driving/walking conditions will be possible late Wednesday into Thursday. Another cold day is forecast on Thursday, with forecast highs in the mid to upper 30s. Given the Arctic nature of this airmass, these temperatures may eventually need to be trended down. A slow warm up is then forecast through next weekend. Daniels && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 36 69 39 40 23 / 20 10 40 50 30 San Angelo 37 70 46 47 25 / 20 10 30 50 50 Junction 39 71 51 52 27 / 20 10 30 50 60 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 04
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 349 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015 TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139- 140-154-155-168>170-032200- FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO- CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD- TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE- MASON- 349 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A WINTER MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE SLICK WALKWAYS AND ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. HUBER
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
13 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated the northeast part of Taylor County was in severe drought.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated most of Callahan County was in severe drought.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated the eastern part of Jones County was in severe drought.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated the northeast corner of Shackelford County was in extreme drought, while the rest of the county was in severe drought.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated the drought ranged from severe across the west to extreme across the west.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated Throckmorton County was in extreme drought.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated San Saba County was in severe drought.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated the eastern half of Brown County was in severe drought.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated the southeast corner of McCulloch County was in severe drought.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated the southeast corner of Menard County was in severe drought.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated the southeast corner of Sutton County was in severe drought.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated the drought ranged from severe across the north to extreme across the south and southeast.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated the drought ranged from severe to extreme across the south and southeast section of the county.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, March 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 569129, 569130, 569132, 569133, 569134, 569135, 569136, 569137, 569138, 569139, 569140, 569141, 569143.