There were several weak upper level disturbances that moved over the region and a southward moving cold front that came into West Texas. Warm temperatures along with high amounts of moisture allowed for moderate instability across the Permian Basin which resulted in scattered thunderstorms with strong winds.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
There were several weak upper level disturbances that moved over the region and a southward moving cold front that came into West Texas. Warm temperatures along with high amounts of moisture allowed for moderate instability across the Permian Basin which resulted in scattered thunderstorms with strong winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 6, 4:46 PM CST, 19 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 546 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015 .DISCUSSION... See 00Z Aviation Discussion below. && .AVIATION... Areas radars show widespread convection invof eastern terminals, but this activity is on the wane w/loss of diurnal heating. However, a cold front moving thru the Texas Panhandle is expected to fire things up again overnight, and TAFs will be further updated for convection as warranted. Forecast soundings develop stratus over the east overnight, w/IFR cigs expected at KMAF/KHOB, and MVFR at KCNM as the front arrives there. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 201 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/ DISCUSSION... Upper ridge centered over S TX this morning will shift westward across Mexico. A broad upper ridge will remain across the southern tier of states Tuesday as an upper low moves ashore the West Coast. This low will slowly wobble eastward before lifting northward. However in the mean time conditions are coming together with the potential for a heavy rain event. A weak cold front should move down into the area tonight and slowly sag southward. The front looks to hang up over the area early Tuesday but may bridge southward as surface ridge pushes southward. This means much of the area may not see a strong passage but the wind may slowly come around to the east. There is a heavy rain potential... there is good low level moisture with dewpts in the 60s and even into low 70s south and east. MAF 12z sounding had a PW of 1.57 inches and model soundings show high PW will continue through Tuesday. By noon storms had developed over the Davis Mountains and these have spread east across the Trans Pecos. This is the location with the stronger theta-e axis. Based on model qpf this precip may expand north ward through the late afternoon. Additional rain should begin tonight mainly out west and then spread eastward across the area as the front moves south. Spent a long time considering a flash flood watch for tonight or Tuesday but decided at least for tonight the heaviest rain should be north of the area so will not issue. Lea County and the Northern Permian Basin will be closest to the area of concern for flash flooding tonight... but should only get brushed with the heavier rain. However for tomorrow the potential still exists for heavy rain over the eastern Permian Basin as a decent shortwave arrives and provides upper support for heavy rain. Do have mention of heavy rain in forecast for northern CWA tonight and eastern CWA Tuesday and will continue to highlight flash flood potential in the HWO. A Flash Flood Watch could still be needed Tuesday for the Eastern Permian Basin but need to see how rain develops tonight. Some rain may linger into Wednesday but then after that pops should be on the decrease and mainly confined to the higher elevations. Temperatures are being affected by the increased moisture/cloud cover as overnight lows are remaining much higher. Tuesday should be cooler with the weak front... but it could turn out much cooler if it stays rainy/cloudy all day. Will go below guidance Tuesday and may still not be low enough. Temperatures will slowly climb Wednesday through the end of the week. && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 44
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 218 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-071930- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 218 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015 /118 PM MDT MON JUL 6 2015/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT, ESPECIALLY OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND THE EXTREME NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS AS WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES COMBINE WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING INTO THE REGION. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA, ESPECIALY THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN TUESDAY. IN ADDITION SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 446 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015 TXZ050-051-062230- ANDREWS TX-MARTIN TX- 446 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MARTIN AND EASTERN ANDREWS COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT... AT 445 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES NORTH OF GARDENDALE...OR 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ANDREWS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. PEA SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... THREE LEAGUES AND FLOWER GROVE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. && LAT...LON 3210 10227 3219 10246 3252 10234 3251 10180 TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 220DEG 19KT 3220 10232 84
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 69 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:05 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Law enforcement reported that 10 power poles had been snapped near Lees by winds produced from thunderstorms in Glasscock County. The wind speed and cost of damage are a rough estimate.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 581202.