Scattered thunderstorms developed early this evening in the low Rolling Plains. One of these storms produced severe winds that damaged an old building in Old Glory.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed early this evening in the low Rolling Plains. One of these storms produced severe winds that damaged an old building in Old Glory.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 21, 5:29 PM CST, 28 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 629 PM CDT TUE JUL 21 2015 .AVIATION... THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERN IS THE POSSIBILITY OF TSRA IN THE VICINITY OF ALL TERMINALS THROUGH ABOUT 07 OR 08 UTC. AT THIS TIME...CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO PINPOINT A PARTICULAR TIME OR AREA SO WE KEPT THE MENTION OUT OF THE TAF. LIGHT AND VARIABLE SURFACE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY COME AROUND TO THE S-SW AND INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE A CONCERN AT SOME TERMINALS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 PM CDT TUE JUL 21 2015/ SHORT TERM... MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED AGAIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR WEST TEXAS...THIS TIME WITH A BIT MORE COVERAGE THAN LAST NIGHT IF THE FORECAST PANS OUT AS EXPECTED. MODELS PRE-12Z WERE VERY SKEPTICAL AND DIFFERED GREATLY ON WHERE AND WHEN CONVECTION WOULD OCCUR LATER TODAY. WHILE SOME QUESTIONS STILL REMAIN...MOST MODELS MINUS THE HRRR HAVE COME INTO AGREEMENT THAT CONVECTION SHOULD SPREAD FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST THAN YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. THE 12Z NAM SEEMED TO HAVE AT FIRST GLANCE THE BEST HANDLE ON THE FORECAST AS IT PICKED UP ON AN AREA OF LIFT OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL NM WHICH STARTED TO SHOW UP ON WV JUST AFTER 13Z. THE AREA OF LIFT HAS SINCE ENHANCED FURTHER AND HAS AIDED IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF EASTWARD PROPAGATING THUNDERSTORMS JUST EAST OF RUIDOSO NM. THESE STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY MAKE THEIR WAY TOWARDS THE TX/NM STATE LINE BY THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. ANOTHER AREA OF INTEREST FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS A WESTWARD PROPAGATING SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE FA. HIGHER RES MODELS...EVEN THE HRRR TO AN EXTENT...HAVE HINTED AT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THIS BOUNDARY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS MLCAPE INCREASES TO AROUND 1500 J/KG. THE AMOUNT OF CAPE THAT WILL BECOME AVAILABLE WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH ADDITIONS SURFACE HEATING CAN BE ACHIEVED AS TEMPS ARE COOLER THAN EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO CLOUD COVER THAT LINGERED INTO MID DAY. THE MAIN THREAT...AS IS USUALLY OUT HERE IN THESE PARTS...FROM CONVECTION WOULD BE STRONG TO POSSIBLY MARGINALLY SEVERE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DOWNBURSTS. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE A VALID THREAT AS WAS SEEN YESTERDAY EVENING. RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS THE ATMOSPHERE COOLS AND STABILIZES. THE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY PUSH BACK INTO THE REGION MAKING WAY FOR HEIGHT RISES TOMORROW WHICH WILL GREATLY DECREASE STORM CHANCES ACROSS THE FA TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN OUR WESTERN ZONES WHICH WILL BE LOCATED NEAR THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE. HIGH TEMPS TOMORROW WILL BE DEPENDENT UPON CONVECTIVE COVERAGE TONIGHT WHICH COULD COOL TEMPS BY SEVERAL DEGREES. FOR NOW MID 90S ON THE CAPROCK/UPPER 90S ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS WILL BE MAINTAINED. ALDRICH LONG TERM... CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE FLEETING BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVING OVERHEAD. HEIGHT RISES WILL LIKELY SQUASH ANY CONVECTION LOCALLY. AFTERNOON/EVENING STORMS ARE STILL LIKELY ACROSS NEW MEXICO WITHIN SURFACE TROUGHING WELL WEST OF THE REGION. THERE IS SOME CHANCE BUT VERY LITTLE OF ANY STORMS BEING ABLE TO CROSS STATE LINES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LATEST MOS GUIDANCE HAS CONTINUED ITS WARM BIAS ON MAX TEMPERATURES AND WILL CONTINUE TO FORECAST BELOW MOS...CLOSER TO BIAS CORRECTED GUIDANCE. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FRIONA 64 90 67 94 / 40 20 20 20 TULIA 66 92 69 95 / 40 10 20 10 PLAINVIEW 68 91 70 94 / 40 10 20 0 LEVELLAND 68 93 71 95 / 30 20 20 10 LUBBOCK 72 94 72 97 / 30 20 10 0 DENVER CITY 69 94 70 95 / 30 20 20 20 BROWNFIELD 69 94 71 96 / 30 20 20 0 CHILDRESS 73 98 75 101 / 40 10 10 0 SPUR 70 94 73 96 / 30 10 10 0 ASPERMONT 73 98 76 101 / 20 0 0 0 && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 33
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 557 AM CDT TUE JUL 21 2015 TXZ021>044-221100- PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING- YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 557 AM CDT TUE JUL 21 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS UNLIKELY.
The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 100 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:58 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A roof was blown off an old, unused gymnasium building. Time estimated by radar.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 580261.