Texas, 2015

Drought in Texas, August 11 to 31, 2015

August 11 to 31, 2015 · NWS FWD · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Drought conditions returned to the southwest counties of the region after a few months of below normal rainfall.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
$5,000
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.

Drought conditions returned to the southwest counties of the region after a few months of below normal rainfall.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 10, 10:11 PM CST, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 10, 10:11 PM CST, 1 hour 49 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1111 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2015

.AVIATION...
OUTSIDE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
12Z WEDNESDAY AT ALL OF THE TAF SITES. A WEAK COLD FRONT THAT
EXTENDED SOUTH OF A KPRX /PARIS/ TO KLUD /DECATUR/ LINE AT 04Z
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE DFW METROPLEX 06-07Z WITH A WIND SHIFT TO
THE NORTHEAST AT AROUND 5 KNOTS. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHEAST
AROUND 10 KNOTS BY 17Z TUESDAY. AT WACO...LIGHT SOUTH WINDS
TONIGHT WILL BECOME NORTH AROUND 5 KNOTS BY 13Z TUESDAY.

58

&&

.UPDATE...
SUMMERTIME COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE RED RIVER AT THIS TIME
AND WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS SOUTH THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE FRONT IS
BEING TRACKED BY LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS AND ALSO INCREASING
DEWPOINTS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE CHANCES FOR RAIN OVERNIGHT ARE LOW
BUT CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR AREA OF LIGHT RAIN NEAR
THE RED RIVER COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT. THE 00Z KFWD SOUNDING SHOWS A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE...BUT FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE MID
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE ALONG THE FRONT. THIS IS
EVIDENT ON THE 00Z KOUN SOUNDING. THE OVERALL LIFT ALONG THE FRONT
IS VERY MINIMAL AND THUS IT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DEVELOP
PRECIPITATION. INSTEAD...ONLY AN INCREASE IN MID LEVEL CLOUD
COVER MAY OCCUR THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH THE FRONT.

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE NEEDED FOR THE EVENING UPDATE AND ONLY
UPDATED HOURLY TRENDS BASED ON LATEST OBSERVATIONS. THE HEAT
ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING FOR LOCATIONS ALONG
AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ATHENS TO WACO TO GOLDTHWAITE.
TEMPERATURES AND HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL SOAR TO AROUND 105 IN THE
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT.

JLDUNN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2015/
ANOTHER VERY HOT DAY IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WITH
TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM 100 TO 104 DEGREES IN MOST LOCATIONS.
ANOTHER COUPLE OF DEGREES OF WARMING IS EXPECTED THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON...SO HIGHS SHOULD TOP OUT IN THE 105 TO 107 RANGE ACROSS
THE REGION. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...MIXING OF THE SHALLOW MOISTURE
OUT HAS RESULTED IN VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...GENERALLY
BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT. THIS DRY AIR RESULTS IN HEAT INDEX
VALUES NEAR OR EVEN BELOW THE ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURE. WITH SOME
RELIEF ON THE WAY IN THE FORM OF A WEAK COLD FRONT TOMORROW...THE
HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE THIS EVENING FOR MOST OF
THE AREA. WE WILL EXTEND IT THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING FOR OUR SOUTH
AND SOUTHEAST COUNTIES.

THE COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WHERE
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE LOWER 80S UNDER CLOUD COVER. AS AN UPPER
TROUGH DEEPENS ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. THIS FRONT WILL SLIDE INTO
OUR AREA DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. THERE WONT BE A SUBSTANTIAL
TEMPERATURE CHANGE BEHIND THE FRONT BUT IT WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
WITH A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...MIXING WILL
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO NEAR 105 DEGREES AGAIN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA...WITH HEAT INDICES A NOTCH HIGHER THAN
TODAY. AS FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES...THEY GENERALLY LOOK LOW
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. THE LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL
FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL LIKELY MEAN THAT ALL OF TOMORROWS ACTIVITY
WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG OR JUST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...AND WILL BE
SPOTTY IN NATURE. ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP WILL
LIKELY BE HIGH BASED AND MAY BE A WIND THREAT.

THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONT SHOULD BE LOCATED ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS
ON WEDNESDAY AND THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BE LOCATED TO
THE WEST OF THE AREA. THIS SHOULD ALLOW HIGHS TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 90S ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THERE REALLY APPEARS TO BE
VERY LITTLE CHANCE FOR RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 7 TO 10 DAYS BUT THE
CENTER OF THE RIDGE WILL LIKELY REMAIN TO OUR WEST WITH DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER NORTH/NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT. FORECAST HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 90S OR NEAR NORMAL OF THIS TIME OF YEAR THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

DUNN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  81  99  78  97  77 /   5  20  10   5   5
WACO, TX              76 104  77  98  76 /   0  20  10  10   5
PARIS, TX             78  97  72  94  71 /  10  10   5   5   5
DENTON, TX            79  98  75  96  73 /  10  20   5   5   5
MCKINNEY, TX          77  98  75  96  72 /  10  20   5   5   5
DALLAS, TX            81 100  80  98  78 /   5  20  10   5   5
TERRELL, TX           76  99  75  97  73 /   5  20  10   5   5
CORSICANA, TX         77 102  77  98  75 /   5  20  10   5   5
TEMPLE, TX            74 104  75  98  75 /   0  10  10  10   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     73  98  73  97  73 /   5  20  10  10   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR TXZ135-142-143-146>148-
156>162-174-175.

&&

58/82
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 10, 2:35 PM CST, 9 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
335 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2015

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-111200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
335 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF AN
ATHENS TO GOLDTHWAITE LINE THROUGH 7 PM ON TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
GUSTY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH
ANY STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

BAIN

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Anderson

When
August 11, 12:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Anderson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.813, -95.653 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe/D2 drought conditions returned across the county after a few months of below normal rainfall.

Drought, Leon

When
August 11, 12:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Leon forecast zone
Crop damage
$5,000
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.297, -95.996 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe/D2 drought conditions returned across the county after a few months of below normal rainfall. Conditions worsened into the Extreme/D3 Category by the end of the month.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 599055, 599056.