Oregon, 2015

Flood in Oregon, December 21 to 26, 2015

December 21 to 26, 2015 · NWS MFR · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Heavy rains caused the Coquille River at Coquille to flood on these dates.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFR wrote it up.

Heavy rains caused the Coquille River at Coquille to flood on these dates.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 21, 4:51 PM PST, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 21, 4:51 PM PST, 1 hour 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
451 PM PST MON DEC 21 2015

.UPDATED AVIATION AND MARINE DISCUSSIONS.

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A SERIES OF
DISTURBANCES WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN AND SNOW THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW LEVELS WILL VARY WITH
EACH SYSTEM. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE HIGHEST ON THE WEST FACING
SLOPES OF THE CASCADES.

SOUTHWEST WINDS REMAIN STRONG OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND EAST
SIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 55
MPH...ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT EARLIER
IN THE DAY. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT BUT THEN
REMAIN MODERATELY STRONG WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE WARMING OF THE DAY AND WEAK RIDGING WITH
WARMING ALOFT NUDGED SNOW LEVELS UP TO AROUND 4000 TO 5000 FEET
THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP TO AROUND 3500 TO 4000 FEET
OVERNIGHT THEN A WARM FRONT WILL BRING THE NEXT BATCH OF LIGHT TO
MODERATE PRECIPITATION ON TUESDAY AND SEND SNOW LEVELS BACK UP TO
4000 TO 5000 FEET. A COLD FRONT WILL FOLLOW RATHER QUICKLY BEHIND
IT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH SNOW LEVELS FALLING TO AROUND 3500
FEET TUESDAY EVENING AND DOWN TO 2000 TO 2500 FEET BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. A POST-FRONTAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE
PRECIPITATION ON WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION RATES THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WILL BE RATHER REMARKABLY CONSISTENT WITH LITTLE BREAK BETWEEN
SYSTEMS AND WIDESPREAD LIGHT PRECIPITATION...MAINLY ON THE WEST
SIDE THAT WILL MORE OFTEN BE MODERATE IN INTENSITY OVER THE
CASCADES AND SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS. PLEASE SEE THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY STATEMENT /PDXWSWMFR/ FOR DETAILS.

CONFIDENCE IS NOT AS HIGH IN THE FORECAST BEYOND WEDNESDAY BUT
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A COLDER SYSTEM TO BRING WEST SIDE
VALLEY SNOW LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE GFS
SOLUTION IS ABOUT 6 HOURS FASTER THAN THE NAM OR ECMWF BUT THERE
IS GENERAL AGREEMENT ON STORM TOTALS IN THE RANGE OF 1 TO 4 INCHES
WITH SNOW LEVELS FALLING TO AROUND 1000 FEET. POST-FRONTAL SHOWERS
LATER THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT LOOK TO BE ISOLATED AND
MAINLY NEAR THE COAST THOUGH SNOW LEVELS WILL STILL BE VERY LOW.
SOME OF THE THURSDAY MORNING SNOW MAY MELT WITH AFTERNOON HEATING.
THUS...THERE IS A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF SNOW REMAINING ON THE
GROUND IN WEST SIDE VALLEYS ON CHRISTMAS MORNING THAN OF RECEIVING
ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. CHRISTMAS MORNING STARTS WITH
SNOW LEVELS DOWN THE FLOORS OF MANY WEST SIDE VALLEYS AS LIGHT
SHOWERS OR FLURRIES TAPER OFF WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BEGINNING TO NUDGE INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE
20S IN THE WEST SIDE VALLEYS WILL HELP TO PRESERVE ANY SNOW THAT
HAS STUCK WITH THE PREVIOUS DAY AND A HALF OF SNOW SHOWERS. WEAK
OFFSHORE FLOW SETS UP OVER THE WEST SIDE BY SATURDAY MORNING...AND
WITH ALL OF THE BOUNTIFUL MOISTURE FROM THE PAST WEEK...
FOG...POSSIBLY DENSE FREEZING FOG...WILL BE PRESENT IN THE WEST
SIDE VALLEYS. EAST OF THE CASCADES TEMPERATURE WILL DROP INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND BELOW ZERO IN PLACES. THE UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY
TRANSITIONS EAST WITH ANOTHER MORNING OF FREEZING FOG POSSIBLE
SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE THE NEXT FRONT BRINGS PRECIP TO THE COAST
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. -SVEN

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 22/00Z TAF CYCLE...SHOWERS REMAIN BEHIND A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH...WITH MVFR CEILINGS...ISOLATED IFR
CONDITIONS...AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF
TOMORROW MORNING. GUSTY TO STRONG WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT
THE MOUNTAINS AND AREAS EAST OF THE CASCADES THROUGH THIS
EVENING...DIMINISHING SOME OVERNIGHT...AND INCREASING AGAIN
TOMORROW. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE COAST TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
SK

&&

.MARINE... UPDATED 400 PM PST MONDAY 21 DEC 2015...SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
LINGERS OVER THE WATERS. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR
WESTERLY GALES...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY EVENING.
ANOTHER LOW MOVING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BRING GUSTY NORTH WINDSON
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL WILL MOVE THROUGH
BETWEEN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THESE LARGE SWELLS...IN
COMBINATION WITH THE VERY HIGH TIDES THAT WILL OCCUR THROUGH SUNDAY
DEC 27...PEAKING THU DEC 24....WILL LIKELY CREATE DANGEROUS BAR
CONDITIONS AND PERIODS OF HIGH SURF ALONG THE COAST. SK

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST WEDNESDAY FOR
     ORZ025-027>030.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ030-031.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY FOR ORZ021-022.

CA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST WEDNESDAY FOR
     CAZ080-081-083.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ085.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM
     10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM PST TUESDAY FOR PZZ356-376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
     PZZ350-356.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM PST WEDNESDAY
     FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
     TO 1 PM PST TUESDAY FOR PZZ350-370.
     GALE WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
     PZZ370-376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY FOR PZZ370-376.

DW/SBN/NSK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 21, 12:10 PM PST, 5 hours 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1210 PM PST MON DEC 21 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1209 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NNW HARBOR            42.05N 124.26W
12/21/2015  M2.48 INCH       CURRY              OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OBSERVER LOCATION 4 MI N OF CA BORDER ON
            EASTSIDE HWY 101.

&&

MND
Local storm report, Dec 21, 1:45 PM PST, 4 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
145 PM PST MON DEC 21 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     SNOW             SILVER LAKE             43.13N 121.05W
12/21/2015  M3.0 INCH        LAKE               OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OBSERVER LOCATION 40 MILES SE OF BEND OR 110
            MILES NNW LAKEVIEW.

&&

SBN
Local storm report, Dec 21, 3:43 PM PST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
343 PM PST MON DEC 21 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0342 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WSW OBRIEN            42.06N 123.73W
12/21/2015  M2.45 INCH       JOSEPHINE          OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OBSERVER LOCATION 1.6 MILES FROM HWY 199 IN
            O BRIEN.

&&

MND

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Coos

When
December 21, 6:05 PM PST to December 26, 7:42 PM PST
Where
Coos County, Bandon to 1.51 mi NW of Bullards
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
43.120, -124.420

The Coquille River at Coquille exceeded the flood stage of 21.0 feet at 21/1805 PST, crested above moderate flood stage at 23.17 feet at 23/2000 PST, then fell below flood stage at 26/1942 PST.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Oregon in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, December 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 609964.