The year started off on a fairly snowy note for the Oklahoma Panhandle, with decent snowfall events near the beginning and end of January. Most areas measured one half to 1 inch of liquid equivalent precipitation throughout the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AMA wrote it up.
The year started off on a fairly snowy note for the Oklahoma Panhandle, with decent snowfall events near the beginning and end of January. Most areas measured one half to 1 inch of liquid equivalent precipitation throughout the month. Severe (D2) to Extreme (D3) Drought conditions remained across the Oklahoma Panhandle, with generally worse conditions in the central portion of the Panhandle. Guymon recorded 1.21 inches of precipitation (0.81 inches above normal) throughout January.
Soil moisture was rated from short to adequate during January. The moisture received during the month helped to sustain the season's winter wheat crop and improve rangeland conditions in a few areas. Cattle herd sizes remained limited due to prolonged drought and high cattle prices. Upper soil zones were mostly in the 10 to 30 percent full range (moderate agriculturally dry), with locations in the eastern Panhandle generally drier. Deeper soil moisture was still below 70 percent of normal in much of the Oklahoma Panhandle, especially the eastern half. The Palmer Drought Severity Index indicated a rating of Near Normal conditions for the Oklahoma Panhandle. No countywide or statewide burn bans were in effect.
Streamflows and reservoir levels across the Oklahoma Panhandle were below normal to much below normal during January.
Economic losses due to the drought through January were predominantly the result of early losses in some late-planted winter wheat and supplemental feed for cattle on drought-thinned rangeland and pastures.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 11:24 PM CST, 36 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1124 PM CST WED DEC 31 2014
.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
A CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL EJECT NORTHEAST OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
STATES TONIGHT AND ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION NEW YEARS DAY...AND
THEN INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THURSDAY NIGHT. MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS
CAN BE EXPECTED AT ALL THREE TAF SITES THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW POSSIBLE AT THE AMARILLO TAF SITE BETWEEN 08Z AND 19Z THURSDAY.
LIGHT MAINLY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS OR LESS.
SCHNEIDER
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 552 PM CST WED DEC 31 2014/
AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL LIFT NORTHEAST OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES
TONIGHT AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES BY THURSDAY NIGHT. IFR
TO MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE AMARILLO TAF SITE THROUGH 00Z
FRIDAY WITH SNOW POSSIBLE BETWEEN 10Z AND 19Z THURSDAY. THE DALHART
AND GUYMON TAF SITES WILL BE VFR BUT THEN BECOME MVFR AFTER 14Z TO
15Z THURSDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST 5
TO 10 KNOTS OR LESS.
SCHNEIDER
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 303 PM CST WED DEC 31 2014/
DISCUSSION...
OF IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL TONIGHT INCLUDING
THE POSSIBILITY OF TRAVEL IMPACTS...ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
OUR AREA. OTHERWISE...CONFIDENCE IS SLOWLY INCREASING ON
SPATIAL/TEMPORAL DETAILS OF POTENTIAL IMPACTFUL WINTER WEATHER EVENT
ON FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...ALTHOUGH OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS
STILL CONSIDERABLY BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME RANGE.
WATER VAPOR/RAP ANALYSIS LOOP SHOWS A DEEPENING CLOSED LOW NEAR THE
CALIFORNIA/ARIZONA BORDER EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A PERIOD OF WEAK
ASCENT FROM INCREASINGLY DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND DEEPENING MOISTURE
IS INDICATED BY SHORT RANGE GUIDANCE FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
TOMORROW. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW GRADUAL SATURATION THROUGH A
DEEPER LAYER THAN HAS BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS AS
WELL AS WARMING OF THE COLUMN...FOLLOWED BY DRYING ALOFT TOMORROW
MORNING. THIS LEADS TO A COMPLICATED PRECIPITATION TYPE FORECAST.
TOP DOWN METHOD FAVORS MOSTLY SNOW BUT WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLEET
OR FREEZING RAIN MIXING IN...ESPECIALLY TOMORROW MORNING WHEN
MOISTURE ALOFT SHIFTS EASTWARD AND ICE CRYSTAL IS LESS EXTENSIVE.
GIVEN ANTECEDENT VERY COLD CONDITIONS AND COLD ROAD SURFACES AM
CONCERNED ABOUT IMPACTS AND SO WILL BE ISSUING A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY TO COVER THIS. ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS WILL BE BELOW LOCAL
CRITERIA WITH A TRACE TO HALF INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION AT THE MOST.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY LATE MORNING LEAVING
OVERCAST CONDITIONS. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LINGER AND THERE IS
SOME CONCERN FOR THE POTENTIAL OF FREEZING FOG TOMORROW
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOISTURE DEPTH AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT SHOULD REMAIN
INSUFFICIENT FOR PRECIPITATION UNTIL DURING THE DAY FRIDAY WITH
GREATEST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS NOT OCCURRING UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT. AS
MENTIONED ABOVE THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SYSTEM. THERE IS
CONSIDERABLE SPREAD IN GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AND EVEN DETERMINISTIC
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO LACK RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. GIVEN THE
UNCERTAINTIES ON THE SYNOPTIC SCALE...FINER SCALE DETAILS SUCH AS
PRECIPITATION TYPE ARE ALSO A CHALLENGE. SNOW SHOULD BE THE DOMINATE
TYPE ALTHOUGH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW ENOUGH WARM ADVECTION ABOVE
THE PERSISTENT SHALLOW COLD LAYER THAT SOME SLEET OR POSSIBLY
FREEZING RAIN COULD MIX IN FOR AT LEAST A SHORT TIME. THIS WOULD BE
MOST LIKELY FROM THE ONSET THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF FRIDAY NIGHT
BEFORE COLDER AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING CLOSED UPPER LOW
ARRIVES. SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD LINGER INTO EARLY SATURDAY ACROSS THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA.
BY SUNDAY A SECOND SHORTWAVE CLOSELY FOLLOWING THE FIRST ONE WILL
MOVE THROUGH WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED GIVEN LIMITED MOISTURE.
THIS WILL FORCE ANOTHER COLD SURGE INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS
WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES LIKELY BEING JUST EAST OF OUR AREA.
EARLY NEXT WEEK NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO BRING A MUCH
LESS ACTIVE PATTERN WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND TEMPERATURES MODERATING
TO NEAR NORMAL AS WEST COAST UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY BUILDS EAST.
BRB
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1152 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014/
AVIATION...
18Z TAFS...MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT KAMA THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. SOME FLURRIES AND BR WILL ALSO REDUCE VSBYS TO MVFR AND
POSSIBLY IFR LEVELS THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON. SOME LIGHT WINTRY
PRECIPITATION WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE AT KAMA STARTING AROUND 10Z
THURSDAY. -SN LOOKS TO BE THE PREDOMINANT PRECIP TYPE...BUT THERE IS
SOME POTENTIAL FOR -FZDZ OR SLEET THURSDAY MORNING.
AT KDHT AND KGUY...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD BE THE RULE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. CAN/T RULE OUT SOME MVFR CIGS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THINK
CLOUDS AT THIS LEVEL WILL GENERALLY REMAIN SCT. MVFR CIGS MAY RETURN
AFTER 12Z THURSDAY...BUT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF
THESE SITES.
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AT ALL THREE TERMINALS THROUGH THE
PERIOD /AOB 10 KTS/.
KB
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...COLLINGSWORTH...DEAF
SMITH...DONLEY...GRAY...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...WHEELER.
OK...NONE.
&&
11/11HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 330 PM CST WED DEC 31 2014 OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-010930- CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB- HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON- GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH- 330 PM CST WED DEC 31 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. A LIGHT WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. ANY SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY LIGHT...BUT ROADS MAY STILL BECOME ICY AND SLICK...MAKING TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A LIGHT WINTRY MIX WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE NEW YEARS DAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. LIGHT ICE OR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL LEAD TO SLICK ROADWAYS. ANOTHER PERIOD OF SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe Drought (D2) as depicted on the U.S. Drought Monitor.
Extreme Drought (D3) as depicted on the U.S. Drought Monitor.
Severe Drought (D2) as depicted on the U.S. Drought Monitor.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oklahoma in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, January 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 557947, 557948, 557949.