Monsoon moisture over the Gila was able to bring the western areas out of Severe(D2) drought and into Moderate(D1) conditions.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Monsoon moisture over the Gila was able to bring the western areas out of Severe(D2) drought and into Moderate(D1) conditions.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 31, 2:32 PM MST, 9 hours 28 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 332 PM MDT FRI JUL 31 2015 .SYNOPSIS... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL FAVOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS...GILA REGION...AND THE LOWLANDS OF SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO THIS EVENING...WITH A STRAY STORM STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS TO THE EAST. DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS THIS WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING UP INTO THE UPPER-90S ACROSS THE LOWLANDS. THE DRIER TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK...WITH MOISTURE RETURNING LATER IN THE WEEK. && .DISCUSSION... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SUBTROPICAL RIDGE HAS A SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED CENTER SOMEWHERE OVER CENTRAL TEXAS...WITH LIGHT SE FLOW ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS. THE DISTURBANCE WHICH HELPED FORM/MAINTAIN THE LATE NIGHT MCS HAS ROTATED UP INTO NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. LEFTOVER CLOUD DEBRIS ACROSS OUR CWA HAS DISSIPATED...BUT STRONG LOW-LEVEL CIN CONTINUES TO SUPPRESS CU DEVELOPMENT OVER SW AND S/C NEW MEXICO. MEANWHILE... DRIER AIR ALOFT OVER MUCH OF TEXAS IS BEGINNING TO SEEP INTO THE EASTERN LOWLANDS...LIMITING CU DEVELOPMENT OVER AREAS EAST OF EL PASO SO FAR. WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY OVER THE GILA REGION...EXPECT CONVECTION TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. GFS AND NAM INDICATE ANOTHER WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE...MOST NOTABLY IDENTIFIED AS A HEIGHT ANOMALY IN PV CHARTS...WILL MOVE INTO THE BOOTHEEL THIS AFTERNOON AND THE GILA THIS EVENING...WHICH SHOULD HELP ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE OUT WEST. WEAK DPVA THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS MOST AREAS SUGGESTS IT WOULD BE WISE TO KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IN FOR MOST AREAS THROUGH MIDNIGHT... INCLUDING THE EL PASO AND LAS CRUCES AREAS. OVERALL THOUGH... WE SHOULD SEE A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TONIGHT VS THE PAST FEW NIGHTS. THE DRIER/SUBSIDENT AIR OVER TEXAS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...STILL WITH AN ILL-DEFINED CENTER...CONTINUES TO WOBBLE AROUND THE AREA. LOWER DEWPOINTS WILL MIX DOWN THE SURFACE...AND THE WARMER/DRIER CONDITIONS WILL LIMIT INSTABILITY IN THE LOWLANDS...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO BE MORE TERRAIN-BASED THAN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. WEAK STEERING FLOW WILL STILL KEEP THE RISK OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IN THE PICTURE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. TRENDS SUGGEST WARMER/DRIER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK AS THE RIDGE BUILDS OVERHEAD...THEN SLOWLY SHIFTS EASTWARD TOWARDS THE WEEKEND. WE SHOULD SEE AN UPSWING IN CONVECTION TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK GIVEN THE TRENDS. && .AVIATION...VALID 01/00Z-02/00Z. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILD ACROSS THE REGION WHILE MOIST UNSTABLE AIR CONTINUES TO FLOW INTO NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS AT LOW LEVELS. THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FEW AREAS OF MVFR OR BRIEF IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY FROM LOW CLOUDS AND HEAVY RAINFALLS. MOST STORMS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 20Z AND 06Z...ESPECIALLY AROUND MOUNTAIN AREAS AND EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE. SEVERAL STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH OR SMALL HAIL. && .FIRE WEATHER... MOIST UNSTABLE AIR WILL FLOW INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS AT LOW LEVELS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALOFT. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH MOST ACTIVITY OVER OR AROUND THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS AND WEST AND NORTH OF LAS CRUCES. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE AROUND AN INCH OF RAINFALL...HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. OTHERWISE WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY LESS THAN 20 MPH THROUGH THE PERIOD. SUNDAY NIGHT AND NEXT WEEK THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME A LITTLE MORE MORE NUMEROUS AS MORE UNSTABLE AIR ENTERS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... EL PASO 74 97 75 98 / 10 0 0 0 SIERRA BLANCA 71 95 69 96 / 10 10 0 0 LAS CRUCES 68 96 69 96 / 20 0 0 0 ALAMOGORDO 68 96 68 97 / 10 20 0 20 CLOUDCROFT 51 73 52 74 / 20 60 0 40 TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 69 94 69 94 / 30 20 10 20 SILVER CITY 63 87 63 88 / 50 30 20 30 DEMING 70 95 69 96 / 30 0 0 10 LORDSBURG 67 95 68 95 / 30 20 20 20 WEST EL PASO METRO 73 97 72 98 / 10 0 0 0 DELL CITY 68 96 71 98 / 10 0 0 0 FORT HANCOCK 71 97 73 99 / 10 20 0 0 LOMA LINDA 68 94 68 95 / 10 0 0 0 FABENS 70 97 71 99 / 10 0 0 0 SANTA TERESA 72 96 70 97 / 10 0 0 0 WHITE SANDS HQ 70 96 70 97 / 10 0 0 0 JORNADA RANGE 67 96 67 96 / 10 0 0 0 HATCH 67 96 67 97 / 20 0 0 0 COLUMBUS 69 96 69 96 / 20 0 0 10 OROGRANDE 70 96 70 97 / 10 0 0 0 MAYHILL 56 82 59 83 / 20 50 10 30 MESCALERO 56 83 56 84 / 20 50 10 30 TIMBERON 57 82 58 83 / 20 40 0 30 WINSTON 59 85 59 84 / 50 40 20 40 HILLSBORO 64 94 65 94 / 40 30 10 30 SPACEPORT 67 95 67 95 / 10 10 0 10 LAKE ROBERTS 58 86 58 87 / 50 50 30 40 HURLEY 64 90 64 91 / 40 20 20 30 CLIFF 64 92 65 93 / 50 30 30 30 MULE CREEK 60 92 60 93 / 50 30 30 30 FAYWOOD 64 92 64 92 / 40 30 10 40 ANIMAS 67 95 67 94 / 40 20 20 20 HACHITA 67 96 67 94 / 30 10 10 20 ANTELOPE WELLS 66 93 66 92 / 40 30 10 20 CLOVERDALE 65 91 64 90 / 40 40 20 20 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 25-HARDIMAN / 05-ROGASH
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 1132 AM MDT FRI JUL 31 2015 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-011745- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE- SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY- SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL- UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES- NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY- CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN- WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET- SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET- EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA- WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY- NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN- SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY- 1132 AM MDT FRI JUL 31 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IN THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER DESERT MOUNTAINS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS WILL WORK THEIR WAY INTO THE LOWLANDS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE GILA REGION...BUT DEVELOPMENT WILL BE DELAYED BY SEVERAL HOURS DUE TO LEFTOVER CLOUD COVER IN THE AREA. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM LONGEVITY THIS EVENING IN SW NEW MEXICO. A FEW STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL...AND A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EXPECT A DOWN-TICK IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH EARLY AFTERNOON STORMS FAVORING THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS AND GILA REGION. A FEW ISOLATED STORMS WILL FIND THEIR WAY INTO THE LOWLANDS. LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT. HARDIMAN
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The far western areas of Grant County were dropped from Severe(D2) to Moderate(D1) drought conditions in the middle of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, August 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 598437.