A line of severe storms moved east through the forecast area. Some of the storms produced damaging winds.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LSX wrote it up.
A line of severe storms moved east through the forecast area. Some of the storms produced damaging winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 10, 3:33 PM CST, 17 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 433 PM CDT Sun May 10 2015 .SHORT TERM: (Through Late Tonight) Issued at 431 PM CDT Sun May 10 2015 Have heavily leaned towards the afternoon runs of the HRRR for convective trends heading into the early evening hours. N-S band of convection is plowing east at 40-45 kts, and will likely be exiting eastern sections of our CWA shortly after 00z. After an early evening lull in activity convection should then return to the CWA...with threat likely a combination of the activity now increasing along cold front over eastern KS as well as convection redeveloping just north of Red River. Believe that this SE OK activity will be the dominate convection for our area overnight, as current activity will be intensifying the low level boundary draped across the ARKLATEX, with this dome of rain-cooled air providing lift to increasing low level jet that will be transporting very moist air into the region from the southern Plains. This area will also be in a favorable area of upper level divergence tied to RRQ of upper level jet. Once current line of convection exits area, uncertain about additional severe weather potential overnight. Current activity as well as latest upstream convection will be putting a big bite in the instability that will be available, although large scale shear of 30-50kts still certainly suggests some severe weather potential. In addition...while some decent rainfalls are likely over southern sections of the CWA, believe the aforementioned outflow boundary will keep the heaviest rain threat anchored over AR...and south of our CWA. Truett .LONG TERM: (Monday through Next Sunday) Issued at 431 PM CDT Sun May 10 2015 Convection should press east and exit the region during the day on Monday as cold front pushes across the CWA. I've held onto much higher PoPs than guidance for the early part of the morning on the western edge of the expected precip shield (generally from near Cuba thru STL to near Carlinville), but then quickly wind them down to the SE of STL during the late morning and early afternoon hours. Any severe weather potential will be strongly tied to morning convection trends, but SWODY2 still looks reasonable that greatest threat will be in our far southeast counties, where the AMS will stand at least some chance of destabililzing before fropa occurs. As unseasonably strong upper level low spins its way across the Great Lakes Monday night and Tuesday, it will drag much cooler air into the area. This should result in a dry Tuesday with temps a bit below average, as highs will primarily be in the 60s. Ridging in the wake of the departing low will mean more tranquil weather by midweek, with temperatures moderating into the 70s. Another upper level system will mean a return of unsettled weather heading into the latter half of the week. There is a large discrepency in the medium range solutions regarding the location and movement of this feature especially heading into next weekend, but with all solutions suggesting a frontal boundary remaining over the area forecast will mention a chance of thunderstorms in most areas during the Thursday-Sunday time frame. Truett && .AVIATION: (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Monday Afternoon) Issued at 1222 PM CDT Sun May 10 2015 Line of thunderstorms will reach KCOU by around 20Z, then KSTL by 22Z. Expect thunder threat to last about 2 hours, but limited instability will preclude widespread threat of any severe weather. Latest model runs continue to show an area of rain, with little to no thunder expected, will form overnight and move through the TAF sites until around 12Z. Ceilings may drop to 2000 feet as rain ends early Monday morning. Ceilings will then improve as drier air moves in and winds back to westerly by late Monday morning. Specifics for KSTL: VFR conditions until around 22Z when an line of thunderstorms will move through KSTL. Thunder threat will last about 2 hours, then an area of rain will move in overnight. No appreciable instability with this area of rain, so thunder threat is small. Rain will likely end by around 12Z Monday. Ceilings may drop to around 2000 feet as the rain ends, however winds will continue to back, bringing in a drier airmass which will help ceilings lift and scatter out by 18Z Monday. Browning && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS: Saint Louis 66 74 52 69 / 80 80 5 0 Quincy 61 68 46 65 / 70 30 5 0 Columbia 57 69 47 68 / 70 20 5 0 Jefferson City 58 71 47 69 / 70 20 5 0 Salem 68 76 53 68 / 90 80 10 0 Farmington 63 75 50 69 / 80 80 10 0 && .LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES: MO...NONE. IL...NONE. && WFO LSX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 441 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-111200- GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL- MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL- CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO- LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO- AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO- LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO- ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO- WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO- MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO- 441 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...AND A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE EARLY THIS EVENING...ALTHOUGH A LESSER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FROM SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS ON MONDAY...WITH SEVERE STORMS AGAIN POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY HIGH WINDS OR HAIL THEY OBSERVE TONIGHT. TRUETT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
425 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0423 PM TSTM WND GST 1 SSW DUTZOW 38.59N 91.00W
05/10/2015 M44 MPH WARREN MO AWOS
&&
GOSSELINSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 426 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 MOZ060>063-102215- FRANKLIN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-ST. LOUIS MO-WARREN MO- 426 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WARREN... SOUTHWESTERN ST. LOUIS...WESTERN ST. CHARLES AND NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT... AT 423 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DUTZOW...OR 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF WASHINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE... PACIFIC... EUREKA... WILDWOOD... WENTZVILLE... LAKE ST. LOUIS... DARDENNE PRAIRIE... ELLISVILLE... CLARKSON VALLEY... BALLWIN... O'FALLON... THIS STORM WILL AFFECT BABLER MEMORIAL STATE PARK...CASTLEWOOD STATE PARK...ROBERTSVILLE STATE PARK AND ROUTE 66 STATE PARK. THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT... INTERSTATE 70 IN MISSOURI FROM EXIT 208 TO EXIT 225. INTERSTATE 44 FROM EXIT 247 TO EXIT 265. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. TILLY
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 46 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:47 UTC.
5 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Thunderstorm winds snapped one tree and numerous large tree limbs were blown down around Barnhart.
Thunderstorm winds blew a large tree down and took the roof off of a mobile home. No injuries were reported.
Several large tree limbs were blown down in Mehlville.
Thunderstorm winds snapped a pecan tree.
Numerous large tree limbs were blown down around Orchard Farm.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, May 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 588969, 588970, 588973, 588972, 588974.