The dry pattern that occurred in the fall continued to break down. This resulted in a period of minor river flooding early in December.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
The dry pattern that occurred in the fall continued to break down. This resulted in a period of minor river flooding early in December. However, the pattern would become much wetter later in the month. This early December flooding was just a precursor of record flooding that would follow very late in December and especially January.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 1, 5:31 PM CST, 1 hour 29 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED National Weather Service Paducah KY 531 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2015 .UPDATE... Issued at 531 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2015 Updated the aviation discussion for the 00Z TAF issuance. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night) Issued at 220 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2015 Fropa is ultimately ushering clouds to east albeit slowly. Cool low 30s TD's filtering in wake will pervade FA by morning, and Lows will follow. That sets stage for coolish remainder of forecast with largely mid-upper 40s highs and low-mid 30s lows continuing for remainder of short term forecast. As parent cyclone makes way across Great Lakes, its effects will be felt as far south as our FA. Wrap around moisture syncs tmrw pm-tmrw evening, when chance of a sprinkle (or flurry) is possible. 1000-850 mb boundary layer thicknesses and 850 mb temps after 00Z supporting flurry as surface temps drop into 30s shortly after sunset. Otherwise dry remainder of short term forecast with High pressure incoming for Thursday. .LONG TERM...(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 220 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2015 Medium confidence in the extended. The models continue to hint at a weak system moving through next Monday. Until then high pressure will dominate the weather pattern keeping the area dry with near normal temperatures. This system next week shows an open low moving across the Plains, much like the last system did but the available moisture is in question. With the last system moisture was abundant but the Gulf is almost completely shut off until the low closes off over the Mid Mississippi and Lower Ohio valley. This will give us at least a slight chance of rain Monday but will wait before final conclusion until we see what the extended init yields. Also the models differ on the lows exact path with the GFS favoring a more southerly path suggesting little to no rainfall vs the ECMWF takes a more northerly path with less of a Gulf connection. && .AVIATION... Issued at 531 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2015 As high pressure overspreads the region, VFR conditions should prevail at all sites through at least the first half of the period. Beyond 15Z MVFR cigs are possible at KEVV/KOWB as wrap around moisture drops southeast across part of the region. Winds overnight should be variable AOB 5 knots, then around 15Z pick up out of the west around 10 knots with gusts up to 18 knots possible at KEVV/KOWB. && .PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories... IL...NONE. MO...NONE. IN...NONE. KY...NONE. && SHORT TERM...DH LONG TERM...DB AVIATION...JP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 355 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2015 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-021100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 355 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding occurred early in the month on the Mississippi River near Cape Girardeau. Low-lying fields and some riverfront recreation facilities were underwater.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, December 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 608873.