Kentucky, 2015

Flash Flooding and Flooding in Kentucky, April 3 to 4, 2015

April 3 to 4, 2015 · NWS JKL · 42 events in 18 counties and zones

Clusters of showers and thunderstorms began affecting central and eastern Kentucky during the pre-dawn hours of Friday April 3rd. The initial complex of thunderstorms targeted areas from Louisville across the Bluegrass Region in parts of east-central Kentucky, including the Natural Bridge State Park area.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
2
Injuries
1
Property damage
$40,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
42

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.

Clusters of showers and thunderstorms began affecting central and eastern Kentucky during the pre-dawn hours of Friday April 3rd. The initial complex of thunderstorms targeted areas from Louisville across the Bluegrass Region in parts of east-central Kentucky, including the Natural Bridge State Park area. While these storms were not severe, they did produce gusty winds which downed a dead tree onto a camping site in the Middle Fork Campground killing a female camper and severely injuring another person.

Torrential rainfall occurred with the storms, with many locations in a stripe from Estill, Powell, Lee, Wolfe and Breathitt Counties seeing from three to four inches of rain during the morning storms. This caused widespread flash flooding and a Lee County woman was killed as she tried to drive through flood waters.

After a brief break, additional showers and thunderstorms targeted locations from Lexington eastward along I-64 into the Gateway Region Friday evening. This again caused widespread flash flooding in a stripe from Montgomery, Bath, Rowan and Elliott Counties.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 3, 2:03 AM EST, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 3, 2:03 AM EST, 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
303 AM EDT FRI APR 3 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 303 AM EDT FRI APR 3 2015

MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO FORECAST GRIDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS
BASED ON RECENT RADAR TRENDS AS CONVECTIVE LINE MOVES SOUTHEAST
AND STALLS. THE BOWING SEGMENT WAS PRODUCING WINDS UP TO ABOUT
40 MPH. THE STALLED SEGMENT OF THE LINE WAS PRODUCING FLOODING IN
THE LMK FORECAST AREA...AND THERE ARE CONCERNS FOR A SIMILAR
OUTCOME HERE. WILL MONITOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 1057 PM EDT THU APR 2 2015

WSR-88D RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATE SEVERAL BANDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST ACROSS PORTION OF EASTERN KENTUCKY
TONIGHT. OVERNIGHT EXPECT MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION GENERALLY FROM WEST TO
EAST. THE MESOSCALE MODELS HAVE CONTINUED TO GIVE THE BETTER
CHANCES OF POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA...HOWEVER
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOWER ON EXACT TIMING AND MOVEMENT OVERNIGHT.
REISSUED FLASH FLOOD WATCH EARLIER THIS EVENING...WITH LITTLE
CHANGE NEEDED AT THIS TIME. CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ON EXACTLY
WHERE THE HIGHER AREA OF QPF SETS UP AND WILL HAVE TO BE FURTHER
ASSESSED IN SUBSEQUENT SHIFTS. OTHERWISE DID UPDATE GRIDS TO
BETTER MATCH THE OBS AND TRENDS INCLUDING RADAR TRENDS.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 820 PM EDT THU APR 2 2015

WSR-88D RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW A BAND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS PROGRESSING ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS
EVENING. THE STRONGER STORMS THIS HOUR HAVE BEEN OCCURRING ACROSS
THE SW PORTIONS OF THE CWA FROM ROCKCASTLE SOUTH TO MCCREARY
COUNTIES. UPDATED GRIDS TO BETTER MATCH THE RADAR AND ALSO CURRENT
OBS/TRENDS.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 631 PM EDT THU APR 2 2015

WSR-88D RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW STRONG STORMS MOVING EAST INTO
PORTIONS OF THE BLUEGRASS THIS EVENING. DID UPDATE POP GRIDS TO
DEVELOP BETTER TIMING WITH THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
OTHERWISE NO OTHER CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 354 PM EDT THU APR 2 2015

MULTIPLE CONCERNS THIS FORECAST PERIOD WITH A FLASH FLOOD AND
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT EXISTING ACROSS THE AREA. A SLOW MOVING
COLD FRONT TO OUR NORTHWEST WILL NOT PASS SOUTHEAST OF OUR AREA
UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT AFTER A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP THE OH
RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. AS NOTED EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON
HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL BUT THE VA BORDER COUNTIES
FOR TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY EVENING. THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH
EXPIRES AT 11 PM EDT FRIDAY.

IN GENERAL THE LATEST MODEL QPF GUIDANCE DOES NOT SEEM TO BE
HANDLING THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL VERY WELL...WITH MOST MODEL
QPF GIVING STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY.
HOWEVER MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT WITH INCREASING PRECIPITABLE
WATER...WITH AMOUNTS INCREASING TO 1.25 INCHES OR GREATER ON
FRIDAY. THIS WILL BE ABOUT 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN
FOR EARLY APRIL. LOW LEVEL JET AT 85H OR BELOW WILL IMPINGE ON THE
AREA TONIGHT...WITH SPEEDS OF 40 TO 50 KNOTS. THE LOW LEVEL JET
MAY RELAX SOMEWHAT FRIDAY MORNING...BUT LOOKS TO INCREASE AGAIN
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST.
THE UPPER LEVEL JET STRUCTURE WILL BRING THE BEST UPPER LEVEL
DYNAMICS TO AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF OUR AREA. HOWEVER...WITH THE LOW
LEVEL JET AND INCREASING MOISTURE...AND A SURFACE LOW LIFTING NE
TOWARDS THE AREA ON FRIDAY ENOUGH INGREDIENTS ARE IN PLACE FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINS. WPC HAS EXPANDED THE MODERATE RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINS INTO THE NORTHERN PART OF OUR AREA AND THE SLIGHT RISK
COVERS THE ENTIRE STATE. HAVE FOLLOWED WPC QPF CLOSELY IN OUR
FORECAST...WITH HIGHEST QPF NORTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY FROM
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

AS FOR THE SEVERE THREAT...THERE HAVE ALREADY BEEN SOME SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS IN CENTRAL KY THIS AFTERNOON...AND A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT JUST TO OUR WEST. SOME CLEARING
IN CENTRAL KY HAS LED TO INCREASED DESTABILIZATION. EXPECT THAT
WITH SUNSET THE SEVERE THREAT WILL DIMINISH AND DO NOT EXPECT THE
AFTERNOON SEVERE THREAT IN CENTRAL KY TO TRANSLATE INTO EASTERN KY
TONIGHT. FRIDAY WILL BE A DIFFERENT STORY HOWEVER.
CONVECTION...THOUGH NOT SEVERE...WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS THE
AREA AT DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. CURRENTLY EXPECT A BREAK IN MOST
ACTIVITY FROM LATE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR
DESTABILIZATION. AS THE FRONTAL WAVE PASSES TO OUR NORTH NEAR THE
OH RIVER ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN OFF TO THE NORTHEAST...THE
COLD FRONT WILL FINALLY PUSH INTO THE AREA AND MOVE SE OF THE AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT LOOKS TO BE
FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 354 PM EDT THU APR 2 2015

AFTER ALL THE RAIN TO END THE WEEK...DRY WEATHER LOOKS TO RETURN FOR
THE WEEKEND. IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT...HIGHS SATURDAY WILL BE
BACK INTO THE 50S...WITH LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT FALLING BELOW FREEZING
IN MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS AS THE HIGH SETTLES IN OVERHEAD AND SKIES
REMAIN CLEAR. WILL GO WITH SOME FROST FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. A PLEASANT RECOVERY IS ANTICIPATED FOR EASTER AS HIGHS
RETURN TO THE 60S...APPROACHING 70 WITH ANOTHER DAY OF RH UNDER 25
PERCENT.

FIRST OF MANY RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY AS A SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE DEEP SOUTH. MOISTURE MAY BE
PULLED NORTHWARD INTO OUR AREA...BUT OVERALL RAINFALL TOTALS SHOULD
BE FAIRLY LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM. RAIN FREE WEATHER WILL RETURN
MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT...BUT THE WEATHER THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WILL BE VERY UNSETTLED WITH SEVERAL WAVES
TAKING AIM ON THE REGION. THIS WILL KEEP AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
HIGHER POPS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WHILE IT MAY NOT RAIN MOST
OF THE TIME THROUGH THIS PERIOD...THERE IS A GOOD LIKELIHOOD WE WILL
SEE SEVERAL WET PERIODS FROM TUESDAY ONWARD. THE COMMON THEME FOR
NEXT WEEK WILL BE VERY MILD WITH UNSETTLED WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 303 AM EDT FRI APR 3 2015

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS PUSHING SOUTHEAST TOWARD I-64 AT THE
START OF THE PERIOD. OTHER ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE
OCCURRING ELSEWHERE IN THE REGION. THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LIKELY
PRODUCING LOCALIZED IFR CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS WERE
MAINLY VFR OUTSIDE OF PRECIPITATION. THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE FURTHER SOUTHEAST BEFORE STALLING...PROBABLY SOMEWHERE
NEAR OR A LITTLE NORTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. MORE LOCALIZED
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO THE SOUTH OF THE LINE DURING
THE NIGHT. THIS AREA OF PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY EXIT TO THE EAST
AND DISSIPATE ON FRIDAY MORNING. A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
PERSIST NEAR THE OHIO RIVER...AND A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRAVEL ALONG THE FRONT ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL
BRING ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME
OF WHICH MAY BE SEVERE. POOR CONDITIONS WILL EXIST AT TIMES...BUT
THE THERE IS NOT ENOUGH CERTAINTY IN TIMING TO WARRANT MORE THAN
MVFR AND SHRA/VCTS IN TAFS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AT
THIS POINT. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEPARTS...IT WILL SEND THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION BETWEEN ABOUT 01Z
AND 04Z...PUTTING AN END TO DEEP CONVECTION. AN AREA OF LOW CLOUDS
AND DRIZZLE WITH MVFR OR IFR SHOULD FOLLOW BEHIND THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. WINDS WILL PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST ON FRIDAY...WITH
GUSTS OF 15-20 KTS. GUSTS OF AT LEAST 20-30 KTS CAN BE EXPECTED AS
WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST OF NORTHWEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR KYZ044-050>052-
058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-104-106>117-119.

&&

UPDATE...HAL
SHORT TERM...SBH
LONG TERM...KAS
AVIATION...HAL
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 2, 2:56 PM EST, 11 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
356 PM EDT THU APR 2 2015

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-104-106>117-119-
031200-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-
CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BRODHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...
HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ
356 PM EDT THU APR 2 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS TONIGHT MAY
CONTAIN STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. TORRENTIAL RAINS ARE ALSO
ANTICIPATED WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THE MOST
INTENSE STORMS MAY CONTAIN DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. THE THREAT OF
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL ALSO CONTINUE WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLASH
FLOODING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR FROST AND A FREEZE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN ANY TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OR
FLOODING REPORTS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. SPOTTERS
MAY ALSO BE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF DAMAGING WINDS OR
HAIL ON FRIDAY.

KYZ087-088-118-120-031200-
BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...
HARLAN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...
PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
356 PM EDT THU APR 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS TONIGHT MAY
CONTAIN STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THE MOST
INTENSE STORMS MAY CONTAIN DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR FROST AND A FREEZE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN ANY TORRENTIAL RAINFALL REPORTS
FROM TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. SPOTTERS MAY ALSO BE
REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF DAMAGING WINDS OR HAIL ON
FRIDAY.

SBH/KAS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 2, 8:12 PM EST, 5 hours 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
912 PM EDT THU APR 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 NW RAMEY              38.20N 83.59W
04/02/2015  M61 MPH          ROWAN              KY   AWOS

            61 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT MOOREHEAD AIRPORT

&&

DMJ
Special weather statement, Apr 3, 1:05 AM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
205 AM EDT FRI APR 3 2015

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106-030630-
ESTILL-BATH-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROWAN-MORGAN-ELLIOTT-MONTGOMERY-FLEMING-
205 AM EDT FRI APR 3 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ESTILL...BATH...
POWELL...MENIFEE...ROWAN...MORGAN...ELLIOTT...MONTGOMERY...FLEMING...

AT 203 AM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR CAMP DIX TO SIDEVIEW TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF
VERSAILLES...AND MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOUNT STERLING...MOREHEAD...STANTON...OWINGSVILLE...FRENCHBURG...
MARSHALL...JEFFERSONVILLE...CAMARGO...CLAY CITY...SHARPSBURG...SALT
LICK...GRANGE CITY...VAUGHNS MILL...LOWER SPENCER...BETHEL...FLAT
CREEK...PRESTON...ODESSA...EWINGTON AND BRUIN.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 BERT T. COMBS MOUNTAIN PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 13 AND 24.
 INTERSTATE 64 IN EASTERN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 105 AND 148.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3838 8345 3840 8341 3819 8327 3819 8324
      3827 8317 3818 8305 3820 8304 3819 8299
      3799 8338 3776 8406 3778 8411 3781 8408
      3781 8412 3784 8411 3783 8400 3787 8403
      3787 8402 3793 8397 3812 8408 3843 8358
TIME...MOT...LOC 0603Z 283DEG 53KT 3852 8337 3814 8404 3794 8471

JMW
Special weather statement, Apr 3, 1:41 AM EST, 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
241 AM EDT FRI APR 3 2015

KYZ050>052-058>060-104-106-108-111-030715-
ESTILL-BATH-WOLFE-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROWAN-MORGAN-ELLIOTT-MONTGOMERY-LEE-
241 AM EDT FRI APR 3 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ESTILL...BATH...
WOLFE...POWELL...MENIFEE...ROWAN...MORGAN...ELLIOTT...MONTGOMERY...
LEE...

AT 241 AM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR OLIVE HILL TO BIG WOODS TO ROGERS...AND MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOUNT STERLING...MOREHEAD...WEST LIBERTY...STANTON...OWINGSVILLE...
BEATTYVILLE...SANDY HOOK...FRENCHBURG...CAMPTON...MARSHALL...HENRY...
LEWIS...JEFFERSONVILLE...CAMARGO...CLAY CITY...WELLINGTON...SALT
LICK...GORDON FORD...LANE AND LOWER SPENCER.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 BERT T. COMBS MOUNTAIN PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 12 AND 62.
 INTERSTATE 64 IN EASTERN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 117 AND 148.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3819 8327 3827 8317 3816 8291 3811 8289
      3800 8302 3789 8296 3786 8301 3790 8313
      3777 8327 3767 8325 3769 8342 3764 8352
      3751 8358 3781 8412 3784 8400 3799 8400
      3820 8368 3817 8364 3821 8357 3840 8342
TIME...MOT...LOC 0641Z 311DEG 42KT 3827 8318 3799 8345 3775 8365

JMW

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 38 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:08 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

30 flash flood, 10 flood, 2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Powell

When
April 3, 2:10 AM EST
Where
Powell County, 0.69 mi S of Natural Bridge
Measured
35 kt (40 mph) estimated gust
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Injuries
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
37.770, -83.680

A dead tree fell onto a tent at a campsite at the Middlefork campground, killing one person inside the tent and critically injuring a second person. No other tree damage was noted by first responders except for the dead tree.

Flood, Montgomery

When
April 3, 4:00 AM EST to 6:00 AM EST
Where
Montgomery County, Bean to 3.16 mi E of Lucky Stop
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.950, -83.820

Water was over the road on Hwy 460 near the Menifee/Montgomery county line. the road was not closed at the time of the report. There was also flooding reported in low spots on Sawmill Rd and Davis Rd in Jeffersonville.

Flash Flood, Powell

When
April 3, 4:30 AM EST to 6:45 AM EST
Where
Powell County, 0.69 mi S of Waltersville to 0.97 mi S of Waltersville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.860, -83.930

A vehicle became stranded due to flash flooding on Adams Ridge Road. The drive had to be rescued.

Flood, Montgomery

When
April 3, 4:30 AM EST to 5:30 AM EST
Where
Montgomery County, 2.14 mi NW of Stepstone to 2.25 mi WNW of Stepstone
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
38.100, -83.860

A creek was out of its banks and water was also ponding on area roadways.

Flood, Estill

When
April 3, 5:00 AM EST to 6:00 AM EST
Where
Estill County, 0.69 mi N of Irvine to 1.24 mi S of Irvine
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.710, -83.970

Standing water affecting Hwy 89 and Winchester Rd at Estill Springs was likely due to a stopped up culvert. Mudslides were reported in Spout Springs near the Powell county line and at the bottom of Barnes Mountain.

Flash Flood, Wolfe

When
April 3, 5:25 AM EST to 6:25 AM EST
Where
Wolfe County, 0.55 mi E of Bethany to 0.18 mi ENE of Bethany
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
37.650, -83.470

Highway 1261 was flooded and impassable at the intersection of Spring Branch Rd.

Flash Flood, Estill

When
April 3, 5:45 AM EST to 8:30 AM EST
Where
Estill County, 1.76 mi NE of Pryse to 1.84 mi NE of Pryse
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.689, -83.859

The intersection of Fitchburg and Cobb Hill Roads was flooded.

Flash Flood, Estill

When
April 3, 5:45 AM EST to 8:30 AM EST
Where
Estill County, 0.69 mi S of Crystal to 0.37 mi SSE of Crystal
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.660, -83.830

Highway 52 was impassable near Cathedrals Camp.

Flash Flood, Estill

When
April 3, 5:45 AM EST to 8:30 AM EST
Where
Estill County, 1.53 mi NE of North Irvine
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.737, -83.963

The intersection of White Oak Rd and Sun Valley was flooded.

Flash Flood, Powell

When
April 3, 5:45 AM EST to 6:45 AM EST
Where
Powell County, 0.69 mi S of Natural Bridge to 0.86 mi S of Natural Bridge
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.770, -83.680

The Middlefork Campground had to be evacuated due to flash flooding.

Flash Flood, Lee

When
April 3, 6:05 AM EST to 8:30 AM EST
Where
Lee County, 0.55 mi E of Primrose to 1.57 mi SSE of Primrose
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.600, -83.610

Blankey Branch Rd was flooded.

Flash Flood, Magoffin

When
April 3, 6:30 AM EST to 11:19 AM EST
Where
Magoffin County, 1.29 mi WSW of Foraker to 2.94 mi SSW of Foraker
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
37.660, -83.150

About a foot of water was flowing across Hwy 30, making the road impassable.

Flash Flood, Breathitt

When
April 3, 6:45 AM EST to 9:22 AM EST
Where
Breathitt County, 0.55 mi E of Lawson to 0.24 mi NE of Lawson
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
37.600, -83.460

Three to four feet of water was flowing across Hwy 541 near the Kentucky Mountain Bible College.

Flash Flood, Breathitt

When
April 3, 6:55 AM EST to 9:23 AM EST
Where
Breathitt County, 1.49 mi NNE of Oakdale to 0.94 mi NW of Oakdale
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
37.570, -83.510

Two feet of water was flowing across Hwy 541, possibly washing out part of the road.

Flash Flood, Floyd

When
April 3, 7:15 AM EST to 11:19 AM EST
Where
Floyd County, 0.88 mi SE of Bonanza to 0.69 mi E of Bonanza
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.690, -82.860

Highway 1427 was under at least a foot and a half of swiftly moving water and the water was still rising.

Flash Flood, Floyd

When
April 3, 7:30 AM EST to 11:19 AM EST
Where
Floyd County, 1.29 mi ESE of Risner to 0.45 mi E of Risner
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.570, -82.830

Highway 1210 was flooded and impassable.

Flash Flood, Wolfe

When
April 3, 7:30 AM EST to 9:22 AM EST
Where
Wolfe County, 0.69 mi N of Lee City to 0.94 mi NNW of Lee City
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
37.740, -83.330

Highway 205 was flooded and impassable near Lee City.

Flash Flood, Estill

When
April 3, 7:50 AM EST to 9:23 AM EST
Where
Estill County, 0.69 mi N of Irvine to 0.65 mi N of Irvine
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.710, -83.970

Flood water entered the gym of the Estill Springs Elementary School. The following roads were also affected by flooding elsewhere around the county: Cow Creek Rd, Millers Creek Rd, Kirkland Ave, White Oak Rd at Sunrise, McKee Rd at the 9 mile marker, Winchester Rd at Patrick's Grocery, Winchester Rd at Dry Ridge, Walling Rd, and Red Lick Rd.

Flash Flood, Jackson

When
April 3, 7:57 AM EST to 9:23 AM EST
Where
Jackson County, 1.78 mi ESE of Clover Bottom to 1.49 mi N of Eglon
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.490, -84.120

Flood water covered the intersection of Hwy 421 and Durham School road causing cars to stall out as they were driven into the water.

Flash Flood, Jackson

When
April 3, 8:07 AM EST to 9:23 AM EST
Where
Jackson County, 1.76 mi SE of Clover Bottom to 2.01 mi SE of Clover Bottom
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.480, -84.130

Highway 421 was closed near the intersection of Durham School Rd due to flooding.

Flash Flood, Floyd

When
April 3, 8:30 AM EST to 9:23 AM EST
Where
Floyd County, 0.88 mi SE of Bonanza to 0.63 mi SE of Bonanza
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.690, -82.860

An adult with four children were temporarily stranded in a car after the vehicle was drive into flood waters from Abbott Creek. They were able to escape without being rescued.

Flash Flood, Estill

When
April 3, 8:30 AM EST to 9:22 AM EST
Where
Estill County, 1 mi SE of Crystal to 3.2 mi SE of Shade
Cause
Heavy Rain
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
37.660, -83.817

A vehicle attempted to drive through flash flood waters from a creek along KY Hwy 52 near the Estill and Lee county line. The vehicle was eventually swept downstream with the driver trapped inside. The person was alone in the car and ended up drowning inside the vehicle.

Flash Flood, Owsley

When
April 3, 8:45 AM EST to 9:23 AM EST
Where
Owsley County, 1.64 mi E of Booneville to 1.5 mi E of Booneville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.480, -83.650

Highway 3346 at Sugar Camp was impassable due to flash flooding.

Flash Flood, Pike

When
April 3, 9:00 AM EST to 11:19 AM EST
Where
Pike County, 1.3 mi ESE of Pikeville to 1.61 mi NNE of Shelbiana
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.470, -82.500

Chloe Road was impassable due to flash flooding near Pikeville Elementary School.

Flash Flood, Pike

When
April 3, 9:00 AM EST to 11:19 AM EST
Where
Pike County, 0.88 mi SW of Kimper to 1.16 mi SSW of Kimper
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.490, -82.360

Hurricane Creek was impassable due to flooding.

Flood, Fleming

When
April 3, 9:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Fleming County, Nepton to 1.72 mi E of Ewing
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
38.430, -83.830

Highway 367, Newman Rd, and Hwy 1200 were affected by high water but not closed. These are low spots that are flood prone.

Flash Flood, Floyd

When
April 3, 9:00 AM EST to 9:30 AM EST
Where
Floyd County, Prestonsburg to 0.56 mi NW of Cliff
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
37.670, -82.780

Highway 321 was closed due a major rock and mudslide that had blocked both lanes of the road.

Flash Flood, Knott

When
April 3, 11:00 AM EST to 11:45 AM EST
Where
Knott County, 2 mi NNE of Mousie to 0.98 mi NW of Mousie
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.447, -82.866

A foot of water was observed flowing across Hwy 550 near Mousie.

Flash Flood, Pike

When
April 3, 11:00 AM EST to 11:15 AM EST
Where
Pike County, 5 mi NW of Pikeville to 0.54 mi SSE of Mossy Bottom
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.531, -82.585

A mudslide knocked a double wide home off of its foundation on Gap Branch of Hurricane Creek.

Flood, Wolfe

When
April 3, 11:35 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Wolfe County, 0.69 mi N of Lee City to 1.11 mi S of Helechawa
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.740, -83.330

Highway 205 was closed due to flooding at the intersection of Hwy 1094 in Lee City.

Flood, Powell

When
April 3, 11:40 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Powell County, 0.57 mi W of Bowen to 0.72 mi SW of Bowen
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.849, -83.780

Three feet of water was covering Hwy 613 near Bowen.

Flood, Floyd

When
April 3, 12:15 PM EST to April 4, 11:15 AM EST
Where
Floyd County, 1.1 mi E of Minnie to 0.78 mi N of Mc Dowell
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
37.470, -82.750

Water from the left fork of Beaver Creek was over the Minnie Bridge off Hwy 122.

Flood, Breathitt

When
April 3, 12:40 PM EST to 9:15 PM EST
Where
Breathitt County, 0.69 mi N of Stevenson to 1.01 mi NE of Stevenson
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.590, -83.270

Meatscaffold Rd was underwater and impassable. There was also a mudslide blocking one lane of Hwy 30E.

Flood, Powell

When
April 3, 1:06 PM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Powell County, 0.69 mi S of Bowen to 1.27 mi SW of Bowen
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.840, -83.770

Highway 15 had a foot of standing water over it and Hwy 613 had 5 feet of water over it.

Flash Flood, Bath

When
April 3, 4:30 PM EST to 11:30 PM EST
Where
Bath County, 0.88 mi SW of Salt Lick to 1.28 mi SSW of Salt Lick
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
38.110, -83.630

McGulley Branch Rd was impassable due to flash flooding. The water was also rising rapidly on Hwy 211.

Flash Flood, Bath

When
April 3, 4:58 PM EST to 11:30 PM EST
Where
Bath County, 0.88 mi SE of Owingsville to 1.57 mi NNE of Kendall Spgs
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.140, -83.760

Multiple roads were flooded and impassable in Owingsville and throughout the county.

Flash Flood, Montgomery

When
April 3, 5:01 PM EST to 11:30 PM EST
Where
Montgomery County, 0.69 mi N of Mt Sterling to 1.26 mi S of Mt Sterling
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.060, -83.950

Multiple city and county roads were being impacted by flash flooding and impassable.

Flash Flood, Rowan

When
April 3, 5:05 PM EST to 11:30 PM EST
Where
Rowan County, 0.88 mi NW of Morehead to 0.72 mi W of Brady
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.190, -83.440

Multiple roads around the county were impassable including Open Fork, Dry Creek, and Big Perry.

Flash Flood, Elliott

When
April 3, 5:08 PM EST to 11:30 PM EST
Where
Elliott County, 0.69 mi N of Bruin to 0.81 mi NNW of Bruin
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.190, -83.020

Highway 7 was impassable due to flash flooding.

Flash Flood, Montgomery

When
April 3, 5:08 PM EST to 11:30 PM EST
Where
Montgomery County, 1.49 mi SSE of Ewington to 1.27 mi ESE of Mt Sterling
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
38.060, -83.890

One hundred yards of six inch deep water was flowing over Spencer Rd on Rt 713. A lot of drive ways in the area were washed out.

Thunderstorm Wind, Martin

When
April 3, 5:50 PM EST
Where
Martin County, 1.29 mi ESE of Milo
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.910, -82.560

Trees were damaged, causing a utility line to fall onto North Milo Rd.

Flood, Morgan

When
April 3, 6:30 PM EST to 8:30 PM EST
Where
Morgan County, 0.69 mi S of Moon to 1.74 mi S of Moon
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.970, -83.050

Paint Creek rose considerably in 20 minutes. The creek was flowing swiftly across a property and was blocking access to a home.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Thunderstorm Wind, Powell2015-04-0345FemaleCampingDirect
Flash Flood, Estill2015-04-0363FemaleVehicle/Towed TrailerDirect

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Kentucky in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, April 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 566722, 566723, 566660, 566744, 566724, 566661, 566663, 566664, 566666, 566669, 566673, 566675, 566683, 566685, 566698, 566699, 566700, 566701, 566703, 566704, 566706, 566747, 566707, 566716, 566717, 566732, 569334, 569325, 569329, 566734, 566736, 566740, 566738, 566742, 566719, 566720, 566721, 566725, 566726, 566727, and more.