Illinois, 2015Tornado and Hail in Illinois, September 10, 2015
September 10, 2015 · NWS ILX · 4 events in 4 counties and zones
An approaching cold front triggered scattered thunderstorms across portions of central Illinois during the late afternoon of September 10th. The storms mainly impacted locations north of a Jacksonville to Rantoul line, producing isolated wind damage and hail as large as golf balls.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $50,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 4
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
An approaching cold front triggered scattered thunderstorms across portions of central Illinois during the late afternoon of September 10th. The storms mainly impacted locations north of a Jacksonville to Rantoul line, producing isolated wind damage and hail as large as golf balls. One of the storms produced a brief tornado in Mason County that damaged a home and downed power lines southwest of Kilbourne.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 10, 11:40 AM CST, 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 10, 11:40 AM CST, 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1240 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2015
.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1004 AM CDT THU SEP 10 2015
Outflow boundary from convection in northern Illinois showing up
nicely on regional radar mosaics, located just north of I-80 at 10
am. This may slip into the far northern CWA over the next couple
hours, although latest HRRR does not show much further south
progress. However, the actual cold front will be advancing into
southeast Iowa through midday, and the combination of this and the
remnants of the outflow will start to trigger additional shower
and thunderstorm development. PoP's have been adjusted a bit to
time the higher chances of rain, largely keeping the rest of the
morning dry.
Little change needed to overall high temperatures, but have made
some adjustments to the hourly trends. Arrival of convection will
likely result in some falling temperatures over the far northwest
later this afternoon.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CDT THU SEP 10 2015
Narrow ridge over the area is keeping clear skies across the central
and southeast parts of the CWA early this morning. Where high clouds
were last to clear last night, dense fog has developed; which is
mainly in southeast IL. Considering a dense fog advisory for about 5-
6 hours this morning. Will make last minute decision on this.
Believe this fog will likely last for a couple of hours this
morning. As the ridge moves east a frontal system will move in from
the northwest and bring the chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms to areas northwest of a Jacksonville to Pontiac line,
mainly during the afternoon.
Cooler temps are expected today as cooler air advects into the area,
so below normal temps will occur across the whole CWA. Light winds
will become more westerly this afternoon, with wind speeds less than
10kts.
.LONG TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CDT THU SEP 10 2015
Cold front exits southeast IL tonight with much cooler air ushering
into the region on increasing NW breezes especially by Friday
morning. A strong upper level trof digs into the area by 12Z/Fri and
will spread a good chance of showers from NW to SE across area
tonight, with southeast IL likely staying dry through this evening.
Instability parameters look weak for thunder and only carried
isolated thunder to central IL this evening and into southeast IL
overnight. Lows overnight in the upper 50s/lower 60s except near 55F
by Galesburg. Cooler highs Friday range from upper 60s NW of IL
river to mid 70s southeast of I-70 as mostly cloudy skies prevail
Friday. Chances of rain showers Friday will be mainly east of the IL
river with highest pops of 40-50% in eastern/SE IL.
Forecast models have trended stronger with upper level trof and
embedded cutoff upper level low over eastern/SE IL by Saturday
afternoon and gives isolated light rain showers in eastern IL from I-
57 east where more clouds expected. Cool highs in the mid to upper
60s on Saturday. Lows Friday night in the upper 40s/lower 50s and
then mid to upper 40s for lows Sat night.
Stronger upper level trof begins to pull east of IL across the ohio
river valley on Sunday with more sunshine expected and temps
moderating a bit with highs around 70F. Lows Sunday night mostly in
the lower 50s with eastern IL around 50F.
00Z medium and extended forecast models continue to show upper level
trof pulling away from IL during Mon-Wed time frame as upper level
ridge builds into the area and provides a stretch of dry weather.
Below normal temperatures early next week with highs Monday 75-
80F will climb to a bit above normal by Wed with highs in the 80s.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z Friday Afternoon)
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2015
Outflow boundary from convection in northern Illinois is
approaching KPIA/KBMI from the north. While the ongoing convection
is expected to remain north of these TAF sites, high-res models
develop scattered convection along this boundary as it drops into
central Illinois. Already starting to see some development along
the IL/IA border west of KGBG ahead of the boundary. Have made
some adjustments to the timing of the VCTS, speeding it up by a
couple hours in most cases. The main cold front remains further
northwest and will likely start affecting central Illinois toward
06Z. After tailing off for a time, some increase in showers is
possible late tonight, but currently think the overnight thunder
potential will remain further south. Northerly winds may become
gusty toward the end of the forecast period, with cold air
advection taking place.
&&
.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
UPDATE...Geelhart
SHORT TERM...Auten
LONG TERM...07
AVIATION...Geelhart
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 10, 10:50 AM CST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1150 AM CDT THU SEP 10 2015
ILZ027>031-036>038-040-041-111100-
FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-STARK-TAZEWELL-
WOODFORD-
1150 AM CDT THU SEP 10 2015
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
THIS EVENING...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED... A
FEW OF THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL OR GUSTY
WINDS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.
ILZ042>057-061-111100-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-COLES-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-LOGAN-MACON-
MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SANGAMON-SCOTT-SHELBY-VERMILION-
1150 AM CDT THU SEP 10 2015
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST.
WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...A FEW OF THE
STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL OR GUSTY WINDS. THIS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY
WEST OF I-57.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.
ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-111100-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
1150 AM CDT THU SEP 10 2015
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT...AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. AT THIS
TIME...ANY THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.
GEELHART
Event by event
2 hail, 1 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
Thunderstorm Wind, Marshall
- When
- September 10, 12:05 PM CST to 12:10 PM CST
- Where
- Marshall County, Henry
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $30,000
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 41.120, -89.370
Several 6-inch diameter branches were blown down in Henry, including one that fell onto a house. Tin was blown off a roof.
Tornado, Mason
- When
- September 10, 3:45 PM CST to 3:46 PM CST
- Where
- Mason County, 3.52 mi SW of Kilbourne to 3.44 mi SW of Kilbourne
- Rating
- EF0
- Path length
- 0.21 mi
- Path width
- 75 yd
- Property damage
- $20,000
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 40.120, -90.073
A tornado touched down 3.5 miles southwest of Kilbourne at 4:45 PM CDT. It then tracked southeastward across East County Road 400N and quickly dissipated 3.4 miles southwest of Kilbourne at 4:46 PM CDT. One home sustained shingle and siding damage and had tree branches blown through a few windows. In addition, numerous power lines were knocked down in the area.
Hail, Menard
- When
- September 10, 4:22 PM CST to 4:27 PM CST
- Where
- Menard County, 1 mi E of Tallula
- Measured
- 1.75 in hail
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 39.930, -89.911
Hail, Sangamon
- When
- September 10, 4:38 PM CST to 4:43 PM CST
- Where
- Sangamon County, Pleasant Plains
- Measured
- 1.75 in hail
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 39.870, -89.920
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Tornado
- A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Damaging Wind and Heavy Rain in Texas, September 10, 20152 deaths · 52 kt wind · 3 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Nebraska, September 10, 2015$13 million · 3 in hail · 21 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Kansas, September 10, 2015$4.5 million · 2.75 in hail · 20 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Kansas, September 10, 2015EF1 · 73 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Kansas, September 10, 2015$181,000 · 1.75 in hail · 20 events
- Flash Flood and Lightning Strike in Louisiana, September 10, 2015$101,000 · 2 events
- Damaging Winds in South Carolina, September 10, 2015$55,000 · 68 kt wind · 8 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in North Carolina, September 10, 20152 injured · $26,000 · 1 in hail · 7 events
- Flooding and Hail in Kansas, September 10, 20151.75 in hail · 29 events
- Hail in Iowa, September 10, 2015$27,000 · 1.75 in hail · 4 events
- Flooding in Massachusetts, September 10, 2015$25,000 · 2 events
- Flash Flood and Heavy Rain in Hawaii, September 10 to 15, 201518 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 601333, 601330, 601331, 601332.