Florida, 2015

Flood in Florida, September 23, 2015

September 23, 2015 · NWS MFL · 3 events in 2 counties and zones

Deep and moist south-southeasterly flow and a lingering upper level trough in the Gulf of Mexico brought scattered, slow moving afternoon showers and storms across South Florida. Several funnel clouds and street flooding were reported along the east coast metro.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.

Deep and moist south-southeasterly flow and a lingering upper level trough in the Gulf of Mexico brought scattered, slow moving afternoon showers and storms across South Florida. Several funnel clouds and street flooding were reported along the east coast metro.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 23, 12:24 PM EST, 1 hour 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 23, 12:24 PM EST, 1 hour 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
124 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2015

.AVIATION...
ATLC SEA BREEZE/OUTFLOW FROM MARINE CONVECTION HAS PUSHED INLAND
ALONG EAST COAST...THUS VCTS AND E 10 KT NIGHT SHOULD PREVAIL
THROUGH 0Z. WITH DEBRIS CI OVERSPREAD MUCH OF SOUTHEAST
FLOW...CONFIDENCE IN TEMPO TSRA GROUPS IS NOT HIGH...BUT KEPT IN
FROM 18Z-22Z WITH THIS ISSUANCE. TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...SHOWERS
AND PSBLY A FEW TSTMS WILL CONTINUE...SO VCSH IN PLACE. LIGHT
WINDS OVERNIGHT COULD HAVE SLIGHT OFFSHORE COMPONENT...BECOME NE
BY THU MID-MRNG. FOR KAPF...DELAYED VCTS TODAY UNTIL 19Z..WHEN
GULF SEA- BREEZE SHOULD KICK IN...WNW WINDS THEN THROUGH 0Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1003 AM EDT WED SEP 23 2015/

UPDATE...
12Z RAOB ANALYSIS REVEALED HIGHLY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE...AS EXPECTED. BESIDE CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER
THUNDERSTORM. SEA BREEZE SHOULD DEVELOP BY NOON...WITH
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG IT. STORM MOTION SHOULD PUSH
ACTIVITY BACK TOWARD COAST. ADJUSTED HOURLY GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR
CURRENT TRENDS...OTHERWISE NO CHANGES TO OVERALL FORECAST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 430 AM EDT WED SEP 23 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...HIGH LEVELS OF MOISTURE WILL
BE THE DOMINANT FACTOR AS COMPOSITE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER DATA
SHOWS A STEADY STREAM OF MOISTURE FROM THE EAST AT LOW LEVELS AND
FROM THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST AT MID TO UPPER LEVELS UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF THE TROUGH IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS WILL RESULT IN PRECIPITABLE
WATER REACHING AND EXCEEDING 2 INCHES, EVEN AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE
WHERE DRIER AIR HAS RESIDED THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS TYPE OF
PATTERN ALWAYS RAISES THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS,
AND ONLY INGREDIENT THAT SEEMS TO BE MISSING IS A WELL DEFINED
LARGE-SCALE LOW LEVEL FOCUS. NEVERTHELESS, THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
DESTABILIZATION OF THE ATMOSPHERE, ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY, FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO FOCUS ALONG  BOUNDARIES SUCH AS SEA
BREEZE/OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND COASTAL CONVERGENCE. AVERAGE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AREA-WIDE ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 1-2 INCH
RANGE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH THE USUAL LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WHICH
WOULD BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR OVER THE INTERIOR AND EAST COAST.
DAILY DETAILS TO FOLLOW.

TODAY AND TONIGHT: FOCUS OF GREATEST COVERAGE SHOULD BE OVER SE
FLORIDA ALONG SEABREEZE DEVELOPING AROUND MIDDAY, SPREADING
ACROSS THE PENINSULA AS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES PREDOMINATE LATER IN
THE AFTERNOON UNDER LIGHT STEERING FLOW. SIMILAR TO TUESDAY,
CONVECTION COULD SHIFT BACK TO THE EAST LATE IN THE DAY AND AFFECT
THE EAST COAST. COOLER AIR ALOFT REFLECTED BY 500 MB TEMPS AROUND
-8C WILL MEAN THAT THE STRONGER CELLS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY STAY FAIRLY ACTIVE WELL
INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A DISTURBANCE ROUNDS THE
GULF OF MEXICO TROUGH AND MOVES TOWARDS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA,
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE EAST COAST IN FAVORABLE COASTAL CONVERGENCE
OF EAST/SOUTHEAST FLOW.

THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT: THE MID/UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES
THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA AND WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE UNIFORM
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN DEEPENING SOUTHERLY LOW
TO MID LEVEL FLOW. EXPECT PERIODS OF SHOWERS/TSTMS ALMOST ANY
TIME WITH THE MOST WIDESPREAD AREAL COVERAGE IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. EVEN WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER, ANY BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS DURING THE DAY WILL ACT TO DESTABILIZE THE AIR MASS WITH
THE COLD AIR ALOFT PERSISTING OVER THE REGION, LEADING TO A FEW
STRONGER STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS.

FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT: THE MID/UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO PULL AWAY
FROM THE AREA, BUT NOT SUFFICIENTLY ENOUGH TO CUT DOWN ON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ACTIVE THROUGH THE
DAY AND EVENING.

HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE IN THE MID/UPPER 80S
WITH LOWS IN THE 70S.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY): LESS COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND AS MID/UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK
OVER AREA FROM THE SOUTH. RAIN CHANCES BACK TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES
FOR THE LATTER PART OF RAINY SEASON AND MORE DIURNALLY DRIVEN.
UNFORTUNATELY THIS DRIER PATTERN DOES NOT APPEAR TO LAST LONG AS
ANOTHER TROUGH IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND EASTERN U.S. EARLY NEXT
WEEK BEGINS TO DRAW DEEPER MOISTURE BACK INTO THE AREA ALONG WITH
A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE FORECAST BY THE MODELS TO MOVE INTO THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF EXACTLY WHERE THIS LOW
TRACKS AND HOW DEFINED IT IS, RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO INCREASE ONCE
AGAIN ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...
LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS IN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
TSTMS THROUGH FRIDAY WITH LESS COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION THIS
WEEKEND. WINDS OTHERWISE WILL BE GENERALLY 10 KNOTS OR LESS. A
NORTH SWELL OFF THE PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTY COASTS WILL
BUILD GULF STREAM SEAS TO 4 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  76  86  75  86 /  40  60  60  60
FORT LAUDERDALE  75  87  76  85 /  50  60  60  60
MIAMI            76  86  76  87 /  50  60  60  60
NAPLES           75  86  74  88 /  50  60  50  50

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...21/KM
LONG TERM....59/RM
AVIATION...23/SK
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 23, 11:24 AM EST, 2 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1224 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2015

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
240430-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1224 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2015

...SLOW MOVING STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...
...A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STORMS WILL
MOVE ONSHORE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS
POTENTIALLY LATER TODAY. THE MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS TODAY WILL
BE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES, LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
AND GUSTY WINDS.

FLOODING: SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY WILL PRODUCE VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS WILL LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND
MINOR URBAN FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN VULNERABLE LOCATIONS.

WIND: THE STRONGEST STORMS TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND
GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH.

WATERSPOUTS: ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF, ATLANTIC
WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

RIP CURRENTS: AN INCREASING NORTHEAST SWELL OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL
LEAD TO A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AT PALM
BEACH...BROWARD...AND MIAMI-DADE BEACHES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN US AND DEEP MOISTURE WILL
BRING NUMEROUS AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS ACROSS THE REGION INTO
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR URBAN
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS.

THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH FRIDAY ALONG
THE ATLANTIC BEACHES DUE TO A NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY SWELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER INDIVIDUAL
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 23, 9:16 AM EST, 4 hours 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1016 AM EDT WED SEP 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     FLOOD            2 NW WESTON             26.13N  80.41W
09/22/2015                   BROWARD            FL   PUBLIC

            PHOTO RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
            STREET FLOODING NEAR GLADES PARKWAY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER MFL1500337

KONARIK

The radar

The Miami radar (KAMX), 128 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:00 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 funnel cloud, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Funnel Cloud, Palm Beach

When
September 23, 2:00 PM EST
Where
Palm Beach County, 6.05 mi NNE of Loxahatchee
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
26.760, -80.310

Palm Beach County Emergency Management relayed report from public of a funnel cloud near North 60th street and Cheetham Hill Blvd. Location estimated via radar.

Flood, Broward

When
September 23, 3:45 PM EST
Where
Broward County, 9.69 mi N of Miramar to 9.55 mi N of Miramar
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
26.139, -80.422

Photo received via social media shows significant street flooding near Glades Parkway.

Funnel Cloud, Palm Beach

When
September 23, 4:39 PM EST
Where
Palm Beach County, 2.83 mi NNE of (Pbi)palm Beach Arpt
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
26.720, -80.140

Photo received from public via social media of funnel cloud. Location estimated.

What these are

Funnel Cloud
A rotating column of cloud extending from a thunderstorm that did not reach the ground.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, September 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 596821, 596823, 596824.