California, 2015Wildfire in California, July 27 to 31, 2015
July 27 to 31, 2015 · NWS STO · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
Dry northwest winds enhanced wildfires, including the Rocky Fire in Lake County and a property damaging grass fire in Elverta, in northern Sacramento County.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $500,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Dry northwest winds enhanced wildfires, including the Rocky Fire in Lake County and a property damaging grass fire in Elverta, in northern Sacramento County.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 27, 7:38 AM PST, 5 hours 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 7:38 AM PST, 5 hours 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
838 AM PDT MON JUL 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS. INCREASING
MONSOON MOISTURE MAY LEAD TO A CHANCE OF MOUNTAIN THUNDERSTORMS
BY THE WEEKEND.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST ON TRACK FOR TODAY WITH NO BIG UPDATES NEEDED.
TEMPERATURES RUNNING SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER THIS MORNING THAN
YESTERDAY WHICH WILL TRANSLATE TO HIGHS AROUND 3-9 DEGREES WARMER
TODAY. PRESSURE GRADIENT STRENGTHENS TODAY BEHIND DEPARTING TROUGH
AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION. THIS SHOULD
RESULT IN MORE NORTHERLY FLOW WITH LOCALLY BREEZY WINDS ACROSS
NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SAC VALLEY AND COASTAL
RANGE. SOME LOCALLY GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY IN THE FOOTHILLS AND SIERRA. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
FOLLOWS. CEO
. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
CLEAR SKIES COVER THE INTERIOR OF NORCAL EARLY THIS MORNING. THE
STRONG SHORT-WAVE AND FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT BRUSHED ACROSS THE FAR
NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE SUNDAY EVENING BROUGHT A FEW SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO PORTIONS OF SHASTA COUNTY, BUT THAT SYSTEM IS
NOW WELL TO THE EAST OVER EASTERN NEVADA. SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENTS HAVE TRENDED MORE NORTHERLY BEHIND THE SYSTEM, AND
LOCALLY BREEZY NORTH WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED THROUGH PARTS OF THE
SACRAMENTO VALLEY RESULTING IN MILDER TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING.
HOTTER WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO RETURN TO THE REGION TODAY AS
ONSHORE FLOW SLACKENS AND THE AIRMASS WARMS IN RESPONSE TO THE
BUILDING RIDGE. LOCALLY BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS, ESPECIALLY OVER
THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY, WILL
CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. SOME LOCALLY GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT NEAR WEST FACING CANYONS IN THE FOOTHILLS AND
NORTHERN SIERRA AS EASTERLY PRESSURE GRADIENTS TIGHTEN.
EVEN HOTTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE STRENGTHENS AND THE SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH SHIFTS WEST TO
NEAR THE COAST. MUCH OF THE CENTRAL VALLEY WILL BE ABOVE THE
CENTURY MARK BOTH DAYS WITH MILD OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATES.
MOST OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN HOT THURSDAY, BUT AREAS NEAR THE
DELTA MAY BEGIN TO SEE SOME COASTAL INFLUENCE AS THE SURFACE
THERMAL TROUGH SHIFTS BACK INTO THE VALLEY MARKING THE INITIAL
RETURN OF THE DELTA BREEZE.
&&
.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF HOT WEATHER, GRADUAL COOLING TREND BEGINS
FRIDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL
COOL BY A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAX TEMPS ON
FRIDAY WILL RANGE 95 TO 110 IN THE VALLEY (WARMEST NEAR REDDING
AND COOLEST NEAR THE DELTA). BY MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK, VALLEY HIGHS
WILL RANGE 85 TO 102 DEGREES AND MOST SITES WILL BE WITHIN A
COUPLE DEGREES OF NORMAL.
THE OTHER FACTOR TO CONSIDER IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF MOUNTAIN THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY ALONG THE SIERRA, AS
MONSOONAL MOISTURE MOVES AROUND THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM INTO
NORCAL. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EVERY AFTERNOON/EVENING FOR MOUNTAIN REGIONS FRIDAY
INTO MONDAY. JBB
&&
.AVIATION...
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT 24 HOURS, EXCEPT
MVFR/IFR IN SMOKE NEAR THE LOWELL FIRE. ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES
THROUGH THE DELTA THIS MORNING, HOWEVER, WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO
TRANSITION TO NORTHERLY IN THE VALLEY AS THE NORTH-SOUTH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASES TODAY. TAF SITES WILL GENERALLY HAVE NORTH
WINDS 5-15 KTS TODAY WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 KTS. STRONGEST WINDS WILL
BE IN THE KRDD-KRBL VICINITY AND ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE
SACRAMENTO VALLEY. EXPECT LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW ALONG THE SIERRA. JBB
&&
.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 12:33 PM PST, 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
133 PM PDT MON JUL 27 2015
CAZ013>019-063-064-066>069-282045-
SHASTA LAKE AREA / NORTHERN SHASTA COUNTY-
BURNEY BASIN / EASTERN SHASTA COUNTY-NORTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY-
CENTRAL SACRAMENTO VALLEY-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY-
CARQUINEZ STRAIT AND DELTA-NORTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
MOUNTAINS SOUTHWESTERN SHASTA COUNTY TO NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
CLEAR LAKE/SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHEAST FOOTHILLS/SACRAMENTO VALLEY-MOTHERLODE-
WESTERN PLUMAS COUNTY/LASSEN PARK-
WEST SLOPE NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SHASTA DAM ...BURNEY...REDDING...
RED BLUFF...CHICO...OROVILLE...MARYSVILLE/YUBA CITY ...
SACRAMENTO ...FAIRFIELD/SUISUN ...STOCKTON...MODESTO...
ALDER SPRINGS...LAKEPORT...PARADISE...GRASS VALLEY...JACKSON...
CHESTER...QUINCY...BLUE CANYON
133 PM PDT MON JUL 27 2015
...BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS FOLLOWED BY VERY HOT TEMPERATURES AND
MOUNTAIN THUNDERSTORMS...
.IMPACTS...
* BREEZY DRYING NORTH WINDS AND HOT WEATHER WILL PRIME FUELS FOR
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER
* HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES AND IMPACTS POSSIBLE IF ACTION NOT TAKEN
* ADDITIONAL FIRE STARTS POSSIBLE DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS BY END OF THE WEEK
.FORECAST CONFIDENCE...
* HIGH FOR NORTHERLY WINDS
* HIGH FOR HEAT
* MEDIUM FOR HIGHER ELEVATION THUNDERSTORMS
.TIMING AND STRENGTH...
* BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS TODAY INTO TUESDAY FOR COASTAL RANGE AND
WESTERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY. DRYING CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO LOW
HUMIDITY AND POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.
* VALLEY HIGHS 100-111 FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH MILD
OVERNIGHT LOWS. TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN
SACRAMENTO VALLEY INTO THE WEEKEND.
* SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
.WEATHER SUMMARY...
LOCALLY BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY LEADING TO
DRYING FUELS. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE TRIPLE DIGITS IN THE
VALLEY THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGHS IN THE 100S LIKELY TO CONTINUE FOR
NORTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY INTO THE WEEKEND. HEAT-RELATED
ILLNESSES AND IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE IF ACTION IS NOT TAKEN. IN
ADDITION...MONSOON MOISTURE WILL MAKE A NORTHWARD SURGE FRIDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SCATTERED MOUNTAIN AND FOOTHILLS
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHICH MAY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FIRE
STARTS.
CEO
Wildfire, Southern Sacramento Valley
- When
- July 27, 1:00 PM PST to 4:00 PM PST
- Where
- Southern Sacramento Valley forecast zone
- Property damage
- $500,000
- Reported by
- Fire Department/Rescue
The fire started Monday afternoon along Browning Street, about two miles north of Elverta Road, off Highway 99 and Baseline Road in Elverta, Sacramento County. The fire spread into Placer County. One home, six cars and a tractor were destroyed by the fire.
Wildfire, Clear Lake/Southern Lake County
- When
- July 29, 2:29 PM PST to July 31, 11:59 PM PST
- Where
- Clear Lake/Southern Lake County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Newspaper
The Rocky Fire burned 18,000 acres by the end of July, and caused the evacuation of 650 people. The fire ultimately burned 68,000 acres by August 14, with 43 residences, 53 outbuildings destroyed; 8 structures damaged.
- Wildfire
- A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Excessive Heat in Missouri, July 27 to 29, 201531 injured · 7 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Montana, July 27, 2015$2.5 million · 1.75 in hail · 26 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Iowa, July 27, 2015$223,000 · 53 kt wind · 18 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Virginia, July 27, 2015$101,000 · 1 in hail · 6 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Massachusetts, July 27, 2015$71,000 · 1 in hail · 6 events
- Damaging Wind in Kentucky, July 27, 2015$70,000 · 83 kt wind · 1 event
- Damaging Winds in Montana, July 27, 2015$32,000 · 61 kt wind · 6 events
- Damaging Winds in North Dakota, July 27, 2015$25,000 · 61 kt wind · 9 events
- Excessive Heat in Kentucky, July 27 to 29, 201522 events
- Excessive Heat in Illinois, July 27 to 29, 201519 events
- Damaging Winds and Heavy Rain in Missouri, July 27, 2015$18,000 · 61 kt wind · 3 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in South Dakota, July 27, 20151.75 in hail · 14 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 596809, 597440.