Slow moving storms developed along the Red River where strong isentropic lift was present during the early morning hours. A cold front had passed through the area the day before, and a stronger cold front was expected later that day.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Slow moving storms developed along the Red River where strong isentropic lift was present during the early morning hours. A cold front had passed through the area the day before, and a stronger cold front was expected later that day.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 12, 5:44 AM CST, 46 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 644 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2014 .AVIATION... THE PRIMARY AVIATION WEATHER CONCERN TODAY WILL BE THE TIMING OF RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS AND THE ASSOCIATED IFR TO OCCASIONAL LIFR CEILINGS. THE MAJORITY OF ISENTROPIC LIFT OVERNIGHT HAS BEEN NORTH OF THE METROPLEX TERMINALS. WE EXPECT A SLOW SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION OF THE SHOWERS/STORMS THROUGH THE MORNING BUT AN OVERALL WEAKENING IN ACTIVITY AS THE LOW LEVEL JET WANES. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT SOME SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE METROPLEX TERMINALS BETWEEN ABOUT 14 AND 17Z BUT THE ACTIVITY WILL BE LIGHT AND TEMPORARY. WE EXPECT NEW DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON ON A STRONG COLD FRONT. THE METROPLEX TAF SITES WILL MOST LIKELY BE NORTH OF THE AFTERNOON ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...WACO MAY SEE SOME IMPACTS BETWEEN ABOUT 20Z AND 00Z. AFTER 00Z THE BEST FORCING WILL BECOME CONCENTRATED CLOSER TO THE FRONT AND AFFECT MAINLY THE HILL COUNTRY. OVERALL...MVFR CEILINGS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN PRECIPITATION THIS MORNING. A NORTH WIND WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING AT SPEEDS BETWEEN 12 AND 18 KNOTS. THE HIGHER SPEEDS AND OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS WILL ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT AND REMAIN IN PLACE FOR SEVERAL HOURS AFTER FROPA. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD FALL CLOSER TO 12 KNOTS LATER THIS EVENING. 79 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2014/ 3AM SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE INITIAL COLD FRONT THAT CAME THROUGH YESTERDAY IS POSITIONED ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA FROM THE TEMPLE-KILLEEN AREA NORTHEAST TO NEAR TYLER. TEMPERATURES ARE STILL RELATIVELY WARM NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY BUT NORTH WINDS ARE WELL ESTABLISHED. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT FRONT APPEARS TO BE LOCATED ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING AND IS QUICKLY ON ITS WAY SOUTHWARD AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST. TEMPERATURES BEHIND THIS FRONT ARE IN THE UPPER 50S ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA WITH 30S AND 40S ACROSS NEBRASKA AND KANSAS. THIS IS QUITE COLD FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR AND WHILE IT WONT BE THAT COLD HERE...THE AIRMASS ITSELF WILL HAVE NO TROUBLE MAKING IT THROUGH. MAIN CHANGES TO THIS FORECAST WILL BE TO LOWER TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN THE IMMEDIATE SHORT TERM...RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN ACTIVITY OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS AND THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS LOW LEVEL FRONTOGENTIC FORCING INCREASES MARKEDLY THROUGH 12Z. ISENTROPIC ASCENT APPEARS TO BE STRONGEST BETWEEN 10-15Z THIS MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF AS THE MAIN SURGE OF COOLER AIR MOVES THROUGH. THE ACTUAL POP FORECAST IS A LITTLE TRICKY AS HAS BEEN THE CASE THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT IT APPEARS THAT BEST RAIN CHANCES THROUGH EARLY MORNING WILL BE ALONG THE RED RIVER SOUTH TO AROUND I-20 WHEN LOW LEVEL FORCING IS STRONGEST. AS THE SURGE OF COOLER AIR MOVES THROUGH...ISENTROPIC ASCENT WEAKENS AND WE MAY SEE A DECREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH MIDDAY...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE METROPLEX. HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE MAIN FRONT WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S...ACROSS OUR EXTREME SOUTHERN COUNTIES. THIS WILL HELP SHARPEN THE TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE FRONT AND WILL LIKELY ALLOW A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON ALONG THE WELL DEFINED BOUNDARY. THIS IS MOST LIKELY TO HAPPEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA. SO...THERE MAY BE AN AREA FROM NEAR THE METROPLEX SOUTHWARD TO AROUND WACO THAT ACTUALLY MISSES OUT ON BETTER RAIN CHANCES TODAY. AS FOR TEMPERATURES...AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-20 ARE NEAR DAYTIME HIGHS NOW AND THE CURRENT FORECAST WILL ACTUALLY SHOW SLOWLY FALLING TEMPS THROUGH THE DAY. FARTHER SOUTH...AHEAD OF THE MAIN FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. FAR SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA MAY EVEN APPROACH 90 DEGREES BEFORE THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. RAIN CHANCES WILL TAPER OFF FROM NORTH TO SOUTH LATER TONIGHT...BUT WILL LEAVE SOME 20/30 POPS IN TO ACCOUNT FOR ANY LINGERING ACTIVITY WITH BEST CHANCES STILL ACROSS THE SOUTH TONIGHT. I HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES FOR TONIGHT BASED ON THE EXTENSIVE COLDER AIR UPSTREAM...BUT EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND NORTH WINDS WILL HELP KEEP THEM FROM FALLING MORE SUBSTANTIALLY. TEMPERATURES AREAWIDE SHOULD BE IN THE 50S TONIGHT WITH LOWER 60S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY STILL LOOK LIKE THEY WILL BE CLOUDY WITH TEMPERATURES SLOWLY WARMING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EXTENSIVE MOISTURE WILL LINGER INTO NEXT WEEK ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WITH AT LEAST A COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. SOME LOW RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY BUT THE MORE SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. HAVE RAISED POPS UP A BIT FOR TUESDAY AS ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. DUNN && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 73 57 74 66 82 / 70 20 10 10 10 WACO, TX 83 60 75 63 84 / 60 30 10 10 10 PARIS, TX 71 54 73 59 77 / 90 20 10 10 10 DENTON, TX 70 55 73 62 82 / 80 20 10 10 10 MCKINNEY, TX 72 55 73 60 82 / 70 20 10 10 10 DALLAS, TX 73 58 74 65 83 / 70 20 10 10 10 TERRELL, TX 77 57 74 63 82 / 60 20 10 10 10 CORSICANA, TX 83 61 76 64 84 / 60 30 10 10 10 TEMPLE, TX 86 60 74 62 84 / 60 30 20 10 10 MINERAL WELLS, TX 70 54 73 62 82 / 70 20 10 10 10 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 79/91
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 349 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2014 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-130900- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 349 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY WITH THE BEST STORM CHANCES NEAR AND NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR THIS MORNING AND SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING... BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF A HAMILTON TO ATHENS LINE ON SATURDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE REGION WIDE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 162 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 12:29 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The local radio station reported water covering the roadways near Mullberry (FM roads, as well as Hwys 78 and 56).
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 540972.