A broad upper trough was across the western United States with a weak upper ridge over West Texas. A dryline was present across the eastern Permian Basin and the Lower Trans Pecos.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
A broad upper trough was across the western United States with a weak upper ridge over West Texas. A dryline was present across the eastern Permian Basin and the Lower Trans Pecos. Intense heating was occurring across the area, and there was an abundant supply of moisture. These conditions allowed for the atmosphere to become unstable and for thunderstorms to develop.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 15, 5:30 PM CST, 25 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 630 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2014 .DISCUSSION... See aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION... A few tstms around the area, but look to be far enough removed from TAF sites to preclude including in TAFs. Overnight there will be an increase in surface winds with the LLJ and they expected to increase around 04Z at MAF/FST/HOB. Otherwise have opted to include a late period PROB30 at CNM/HOB. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 242 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2014/ DISCUSSION... Thunderstorms are developing over southwest Texas...from the Davis Mountains southward into the northern half of Brewster County and then back into the Presidio Valley. These thunderstorms will persist into the evening. Thunderstorm development is also possible along the dryline from the Lower Trans Pecos region into the eastern portions of the Permian Basin. However the best rain chances later today should be over portions of Brewster and Pecos Counties. Some storms may approach severe levels with the main threats being high wind and large hail. With an upper level low pressure system moving into the northwest U.S. and a general area of upper level ridging over the southeast...we can expect a persistent southwest upper level flow pattern over our region into next weekend. The northern stream upper low will result in associated surface low pressure deepening over the Central Plains on Monday. A persistent surface trough will extend back into southwest Texas through the week. What this means for our area is a persistent south to southeast surface flow and staying in the moist air. The dryline will remain well to the west...coincident with the surface trough. When you put everything together...the southwest upper flow pattern should be conducive for pulling deeper moisture associated with T.S. Cristina into Presidio and Brewster Counties the next several days. With this added moisture...a series of weak disturbances in the southwest flow...favored low level convergence along the surface trough...and upslope low level flow...primary indications point to best rain chances for southwest Texas...the Big Bend Region...and along the persistent surface trough. With daytime heating isolated to scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms should be the norm each day through most of the week for these areas. If I were to make a distinction in the forecast...it might be for Wednesday evening. Values 0-6 km bulk shear look more significant from the Big Bend into the eastern half of the CWA. This enhanced shear is coincident with 2500-3000 j/kg CAPE values. This day looks to have the greatest potential for severe weather. I expect only minor adjustments to the current forecast. The biggest change will likely be for expanding thunderstorm chances on Wednesday. Outside of Wednesday...we are still not quite into the weak wind field regimes that we typically see during the summertime. Steering winds should be from the west to northwest and be sufficient to allow for isolated showers and thunderstorms to move farther east into the Permian Basin. However with this type of persistent pattern...redevelopment of storms over the same areas could lead to increased flood potential in the next couple of days. && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 231 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2014 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-161145- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 231 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2014 /131 PM MDT SUN JUN 15 2014/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT BRISK WINDS ALONG WITH DRIER AIR WILL RESULT IN CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT FROM THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS AND PERMIAN BASIN, SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND BIG BEND REGION, INCLUDING THE LOWER TRANS PECOS. A COUPLE OF STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE THIS EVENING WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE. BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING WILL BE IN THE LOWER TRANS PECOS AND ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 63 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:56 UTC.
3 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A thunderstorm moved across Glasscock County and produced golfball sized hail near Garden City. This hail caused significant car damage. The cost of damage is a rough estimate.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 521955, 521962, 521967.