An upper ridge was centered over West Texas with a surface trough across extreme West Texas/eastern New Mexico. There was intense heating along this trough with a weak upper level disturbance over the region which increased lift.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
An upper ridge was centered over West Texas with a surface trough across extreme West Texas/eastern New Mexico. There was intense heating along this trough with a weak upper level disturbance over the region which increased lift. Upper level winds were weak and there was abundant moisture which aided in the development of heavy rain. These conditions also contributed to large hail in southeast New Mexico.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 19, 1:21 PM CST, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 221 PM CDT Sat Jul 19 2014 .DISCUSSION... WV imagery shows the upper ridge centered over West Texas, courtesy of a west coast trough trying to muscle in thru Baja. Yesterday, a MCS developed in N central NM and moved SSE, but died out before making it into SE NM. Current models attempt to replicate this scenario tonight, but suggest the MCS might make it a little further SE. Otherwise, at the sfc, a trough extended from SW NM ESE down into the Big Bend, and will serve as the focus of isolated convection for the next couple of days as abundant diurnal heating combines w/minor disturbances moving down thru the ridge. Sfc trough is forecast to orient more N-S Sunday and Monday, and remain over the western half of the CWA. Forecast soundings look too warm for much hail development, but inverted-V profiles suggest strong winds will remain a threat. In addition, KMAF 12Z raob came in w/a PWAT of 1.31"...about 130% of normal. Given nil steering flow under the ridge, heavy rain will be possible as well. Models dissolve the sfc trough by Tuesday and begin moving the upper ridge NNW over the next week to the Four Corners vicinity. While this will spare West Texas/SE NM the worst of the heat, the thermal ridge will still push H85 temps towards 30C, for widespread triple-digits by Tuesday or so, and continuing into the weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ANDREWS TX 74 97 72 97 / 10 10 10 10 BIG SPRING TX 73 99 71 98 / 10 10 10 10 CARLSBAD NM 73 98 71 98 / 10 10 10 10 DRYDEN TX 75 98 73 96 / 10 10 10 10 FORT STOCKTON TX 74 99 73 98 / 10 10 10 10 GUADALUPE PASS TX 73 88 73 89 / 10 10 10 10 HOBBS NM 70 92 68 96 / 10 10 10 10 MARFA TX 62 89 64 89 / 10 10 10 10 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 74 98 72 98 / 10 10 10 10 ODESSA TX 74 97 73 98 / 10 10 10 10 WINK TX 75 98 73 101 / 10 10 10 10 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 05/44
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 106 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2014 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-201815- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 106 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2014 /1206 PM MDT SAT JUL 19 2014/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND 05
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain fell near Alpine with three quarters to almost an inch falling in fifteen minutes.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 530917.