While there were a few spotty showers and thunderstorms associated with the seabreeze, little rain fell during the last week of July and drought conditions held steady across the Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas. Severe (D2) drought conditions remained firmly entrenched over much of Starr County and western Hidalgo County, while the remainder of the region was covered by a hodgepodge of…
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BRO wrote it up.
While there were a few spotty showers and thunderstorms associated with the seabreeze, little rain fell during the last week of July and drought conditions held steady across the Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas. Severe (D2) drought conditions remained firmly entrenched over much of Starr County and western Hidalgo County, while the remainder of the region was covered by a hodgepodge of moderate (D1) and abnormally dry (D0) drought conditions.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 31, 11:50 PM CST, 10 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 1250 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014 .DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW. && .AVIATION...MAINTAINED THE POSSIBILITY OF TEMPO MVFR AROUND DAWN...THOUGH LIGHT WINDS MAY PRECLUDE A FULL MARINE INVERSION FROM MOVING INLAND AND LOCKING IN EXTRA CLOUD COVER. THEREAFTER... ONLY LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH A FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE CWA. DEVELOPING LATE MORNING LOW CLOUDS MAY PRESENT BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS HOWEVER. A WEAK FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE COASTAL BEND AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS TODAY BUT MOST POTENTIAL CONVECTION FOR THE DAY SHOULD STAY NORTH OF THE LOWER VALLEY. PWAT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE AROUND 1.5 INCHES TODAY...NOT ESPECIALLY CONVINCING OF MUCH ACTIVITY...AND WHATEVER DOES MANAGE TO POP UP WILL HAVE TO CONTEND WITH A STILL DRY LAYER ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER. THUS...LOOKING FOR MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEAST WINDS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...WITH AN EYE ON A POSSIBLE WEAK SEA BREEZE. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 710 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/ DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW. AVIATION...FAIRLY SIMPLE FORECAST FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD THEN SOME POSSIBLE BUMPS IN THE ROAD AS WE MOVE LATER INTO FRIDAY. FOR TONIGHT...THE USUAL EVENING SOUTHEAST GUSTS WILL DIMINISH BETWEEN 02 AND 04Z AS SKIES REMAIN CLEAR WITH PERHAPS A FEW CUMULUS FORMING NEAR KBRO. BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...BOTH NAM/GFS AND CURRENT TRENDS ON SATELLITE AND FORECAST/OBSERVED SOUNDING SUGGEST A BETTER OPPORTUNITY FOR MVFR CEILINGS WITHIN 2 HOURS EITHER SIDE OF SUNRISE WHICH IS RIGHT AROUND 12Z. CONFIDENCE NOT A LOCK SO FOR NOW HAVE ROLLED A TEMPO GROUP WITH SCATTERED AS PREVAILING. AFTER SUNRISE...CLOUD LEVELS WILL LIFT TO VFR WITH LOWEST VALUES TOWARD THE COAST UNTIL 16/17Z OR SO. STILL FORECASTING SCATTERED...THOUGH CAN'T RULE OUT A FEW BRIEF BROKEN PERIODS THROUGH NOON. FOR THE FINAL SIX HOURS OF THE FORECAST...18Z TO 00Z/AUG 2...THINGS COULD GET A BIT MORE INTERESTING. UNLIKE THE PAST FEW DAYS WHEN THE TYPICAL LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON WIND SURGE ALONG HIGHWAY 77 REACHES KMFE AND SURROUNDING AREAS BY 21Z OR SO...THE APPROACH OF THE SYNOPTICALLY-DRIVEN SURFACE TROUGH KEEPS WINDS IN CHECK AND EXPECT VALUES TO HANG AT BARELY MODERATE LEVELS...10 KNOTS OR SO. AT THE SAME TIME...LAYERED MOISTURE ARRIVES/DEVELOPS FROM THE RANCHLANDS EAST TOWARD THE MID VALLEY WHICH COULD BE ENOUGH TO 'SEED' THE SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE ZONE AND BRING ISOLATED TO PERHAPS SCATTERED STORMS. BOTH NAM AND GFS CROSS-SECTIONS AND POINT SOUNDINGS BEAR THIS OUT...BUT COUNTERING ARE PRIOR MODELS THAT HELD BACK ON THE DEEPER MOISTURE. SO...DON'T BE SURPRISED IF A VICINTY THUNDERSTORM OR EVEN A PROB GROUP (OR MORE) IS NEEDED FOR KMFE AND PERHAPS KHRL ON FRIDAY...BUT FOR NOW HAVE LEFT OUT AND WILL LET LATER SHIFTS GET A BETTER READ WITH THE 00Z MODEL SUITE WHICH IS GENERALLY MORE STABLE AS THE LATEST ATMOSPHERIC SOUNDING AND OTHER OBSERVATIONS PROVIDE A BETTER BASELINE. 52/BSG PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 242 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/ SHORT TERM /NOW THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...THE UNUSUALLY EARLY COLD FRONT IS SLOWLY DROOPING THROUGH THE HILL COUNTRY AND WILL BE STALLING TO THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. SOUTHERLY BREEZES ARE TURNING MORE TO THE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SEABREEZE TRIES TO IMPEDE WESTWARD...BUT DRY AIR IN THE REGION KEEPING IT FROM SPARKING MORE THAN A FEW CLOUDS ATTM. FRONT STAYS NORTH OF THE REGION THIS EVENING...HELD IN CHECK BY THE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND THE CONTINUED PUSH OF DRIER AIR FROM THE SOUTH. MAIN FORECAST ISSUE FOR TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT IS THE RAIN CHANCES. LIGHTER WINDS TOMORROW WILL HELP THE SEABREEZE BECOME MORE FOCUSED AS IT MOVES INLAND EARLY AFTERNOON. MODELS ARE VARIED IN THE AMOUNT OF SEABREEZE PRECIPITATION BEING PRODUCED...GENERALLY DUE TO DIFFERENCES IN MOISTURE AVAILABLE FROM THE FRONT TO THE NORTH. HAVE FOCUSED PRECIPITATION ON THOSE AREAS TOMORROW AFTERNOON...WITH THE SLIGHTLY ACTIVE SEABREEZE AND ANY SHOWERS THAT DRIFT SOUTHWARD FROM THE FRONT ITSELF INTO NORTHERN JIM HOGG AND BROOKS COUNTY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A COUPLE DEGREES LOWER TOMORROW DUE TO INCREASED AMOUNTS OF CLOUD COVER...BUT LITTLE DIFFERENCE WILL BE FELT BETWEEN TODAY AND TOMORROW. RAIN CHANCES WANE AFTER SUNSET TOMORROW WITH THE SEABREEZE DISSIPATING DUE TO LOSS OF HEATING. A FEW SHOWERS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FOR THE NORTHERN COUNTIES AFTER SUNSET...GENERALLY CLOSER TO THE DEEPER MOISTURE. LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...UPPER LEVEL PATTERN SHOWS SOME SLIGHT CHANGES IN THE LONG TERM AS THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US BECOMES ELONGATED AND SLOWLY FILLS. UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN STATES LOOSENS ITS CONTROL OVER THE REGION AS THE UPPER TROUGH SLIDES FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO PUSH THE RIDGE WEST. THE WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MEANDER ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS/STALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN RANCHLANDS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. AHEAD OF AND ALONG THE FRONT...DEEP LAYER MOISTURE INCREASES AS MOISTURE POOLS AND PWATS INCREASE TO AROUND 2 INCHES. THE COMBINATION OF WEAK FORCING AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE A SLIGHT CHANCE TO A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT. BELIEVE THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR PRECIP REMAINS NORTH OF THE RGV AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. ADDITIONALLY WITH MOISTURE IN PLACE AND LIGHTER EAST SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS...A DECENT SEABEEZE SHOULD DEVELOP AND ALLOW FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SEABREEZE EACH DAY THROUGH TUESDAY. WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE HOT THIS WEEKEND...THEY WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL AS THEY WILL BE MODERATED BY THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL REACH THE MID TO UPPER 90S ACROSS MUCH OF THE INLAND AREAS WITH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES NOT QUITE TOUCHING THE CENTURY MARK. TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO INCREASE ONCE AGAIN BY MIDWEEK AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN. MARINE... NOW THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE GULF AND WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE NORTH WILL ALLOW WINDS TO RELAX FOR THE MARINE ZONES THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE WILL EXPIRE AT 6PM AND LIKELY WILL NOT NEED ANY EXTENDING. WINDS TONIGHT WILL FALL TO AROUND 10 KNOTS AREAWIDE. SEAS CURRENTLY AROUND 3 FEET WILL SLOWLY RELAX TO 1 TO 2 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS TOMORROW WILL REMAIN AROUND 10 KNOTS. THE WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY PRODUCE SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE NORTHERN MARINE ZONES LATER TOMORROW...BRINGING SOME HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO KEEP TRACK OF THE LATEST UPDATES CONCERNING ANY GUSTY THUNDERSTORM WINDS. SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE PERIOD AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS WEAK OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL WITH SEAS REMANING LOW WITH WAVE HEIGHTS GENERALLY LESS THAN 3 FEET. THE POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST OVER THE MARINE AREAS THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS AND SEAS MAY BRIEFLY BE HIGHER IN AND AROUND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...NONE. && THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT: HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV 54/68
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 426 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014 TXZ248>257-011030- ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY- INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON- 426 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FRIDAY: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY SATURDAY: A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT THE RANCHLANDS OF NORTHERN ZAPATA...JIM HOGG...AND BROOKS COUNTY MAINLY FRIDAY EVENING. POTENTIAL HAZARDS INCLUDE OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...A BRIEF DOWNPOUR...AND WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH. SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY: A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...FAVORING THE RANCHLANDS NORTH OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...EVERYWHERE ON SUNDAY...AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY ON MONDAY. POTENTIAL HAZARDS INCLUDE OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...A FEW DOWNPOURS WHICH COULD PRODUCE LOCAL NUISANCE FLOODING IF THEY OCCUR IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. TUESDAY: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-011030- LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO- LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TX- LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 426 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY SATURDAY: A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT THE WATERS NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. POTENTIAL HAZARDS INCLUDE OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING...A BRIEF DOWNPOUR THAT COULD REDUCE VISIBILITY BELOW 3 NAUTICAL MILES...AND WIND GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY: A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...FAVORING THE GULF WATERS MAINLY NORTH OR PORT MANSFIELD SATURDAY...EVERYWHERE ON SUNDAY...AND THE WATERS SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD MONDAY. POTENTIAL HAZARDS INCLUDE OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING...A FEW DOWNPOURS WHICH COULD REDUCE VISIBILITY TO 1 NAUTICAL MILE...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. 52/BSG
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe (D2) drought conditions remained entrenched over most of Starr County, with the exception of a stripe of moderate (D1) drought conditions on the western and northern county borders.
Severe (D2) drought conditions remained over most of the western third of the county. The middle third of the county experienced moderate (D1) drought conditions and the eastern third remained abnormally dry (D0).
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 540977, 540978.