S. Drought Monitor shows degradation along and north of Interstate 20.
Every event with a place to put it; 10 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
The U.S. Drought Monitor shows degradation along and north of Interstate 20. Extreme drought conditions were shown across Shackelford, Haskell, Throckmorton, Jones and Fisher counties. Impacts of extreme drought include major crop and pasture losses and widespread water shortages or restrictions. Severe drought conditions exist across the remainder of the Big Country. Impacts from severe drought include, crop or pasture losses likely, water shortages and water restrictions.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 31, 10:30 PM CST, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 1130 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014 .AVIATION... /06Z TAFS/ Ceilings around 4000ft are lingering from KABI to KBWD with scattered high clouds elsewhere across West Central TX. High clouds will increase overnight as convective debris from NM convection moves southeast, however, no precipitation is expected at the forecast terminals through the TAF period. Any storms that develop are expected to be south and west of KSOA and KSJT. Expect light northeast winds, generally remaining 10 kts or less, through Friday evening. Johnson && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 930 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/ UPDATE... Removed chance of precipitation from southern counties through the remainder of the night. DISCUSSION... The cold front has moved well south of the I10 corridor into south Texas. Shower activity associated with the front is now well south of the CWA, have removed chance of precipitation through the remainder of the night. Have updated temperatures, dew points, winds and associated parameters for the rest of the night. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 626 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/ AVIATION... /00Z TAFS/ The low ceilings from earlier today have improved to 3500 ft or greater. This cloud deck will continue to thin and shift east overnight, with VFR conditions anticipated through the TAF period. Convection along the cold front should remain south of I-10, posing minimal threat to the KSOA and KJCT terminals. Winds will be from a general north to northeast direction at 10 kts or less once the sun sets, remaining light through Friday afternoon. Johnson PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 300 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/ SHORT TERM... (Tonight and Friday) The surface front will remain well south of the forecast area tonight, however the 850mb front will be situated along our southern border. Models showing precip over our southern counties tonight and this seems reasonable given the position of the front and overrunning just north of it. Maintained a slight chance of precipitation across the Interstate 10 corridor and south tonight and Friday. Light northerly winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies will prevail tonight. Overnight lows tonight will be slightly below normal with temperatures mainly in the 60s. On Friday, below normal temperatures will continue. Expect partly cloudy skies to persist with upper 80s to near 90. LONG TERM... (Friday night through Thursday) A slow warm up will ensue this weekend into early next week. Below normal temperatures are forecast to continue this weekend, with highs on Saturday in the upper 80s to lower 90s, and in lower 90s for most locations on Sunday. Overnight lows will be slightly below seasonal normals, in the mid to upper 60s. The remnant cold front will be located from south Texas, into the mountains of West Texas late Friday into Saturday. Showers and thunderstorms are forecast to develop along and behind this boundary, mainly to our south and west. I went ahead and continued the slight chance PoPs for mainly the northern Edwards Plateau, Friday night and Saturday. A steady warm up is forecast next week, although temperatures will remain near seasonal normals. High temperatures by mid week will be in the mid 90s across much of the area, with lows generally in the lower 70s. High pressure will dominate, with rain chances remaining minimal through at least the middle of next week. Models continue to indicate an upper level trough moving from the Northern Plains into the Great Lakes region late next week. This results in a cold front moving south through the Plains Thursday into Friday. The ECMWF continues to be most aggressive, bringing the front into West Central Texas on Friday. This would result in slightly cooler temperatures and the possibility of precipitation. For now, I have added in slight chance PoPs across the northern Big Country on day 7, and these may need to be expanded if models come into better agreement on a wetter solution. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 64 87 66 89 67 / 10 5 5 5 5 San Angelo 66 90 67 91 68 / 10 10 10 10 5 Junction 70 91 68 91 67 / 10 10 10 10 5 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 25/99/99
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 935 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014 TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139- 140-154-155-168>170-011100- FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO- CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD- TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE- MASON- 935 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR FROM OZONA TO SONORA. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. JOHNSON
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
858 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0530 PM WILDFIRE 9 N PONTOTOC 31.04N 98.96W
07/29/2014 E2079 ACRE SAN SABA TX FOREST SERVICE
THE HAVELAH COMPLEX FIRE WAS FORMED BY TWO BRUSH FIRES
IN HILLY TERRAIN NEAR COUNTY ROAD 310 APPROXIMATELY 18
MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAN SABA. THE BURN AREA WAS ESTIMATED
AT 2079 ACRES AND THE FIRE WAS CONTAINED THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS FIRE COMPLEX WAS STARTED BY LIGHTNING.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SJT1400323
JOHNSONThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
10 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Callahan County during August.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated extreme drought conditions across Fisher County during August.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated extreme drought conditions across Haskell County during August.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated extreme drought conditions across Jones County during August.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Mason County during August.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Nolan County during August.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated extreme drought conditions across Shackelford County during August.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Sutton County during August.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Taylor County during August.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated extreme drought conditions across Throckmorton County during August.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 540821, 540822, 540823, 540824, 540825, 540826, 540827, 540828, 540829, 540830.