During a four-hour period centered from 630-1030 pm CDT on this Sunday evening, a complex of severe thunderstorms tracked from northwest-to-southeast through primarily the southwestern two-thirds of South Central Nebraska, resulting in numerous reports of damaging winds ranging from 60 to around 80 MPH. Hail was not a significant issue, with nickel size stones being the largest reported. Although high winds also affected some counties farther west, the primary swath of damaging winds was roughly 20-40 miles wide, extending from the Valley/Sherman counties area in the northwest, southeastward through the Hall/Adams/Nuckolls counties areas. Along this main corridor, a sampling of the most wind significant reports in chronological order included: estimated 70 MPH winds in the Elyria and Litchfield areas with crop and tree damage, a measured 71 MPH gust near Wood River, a measured peak gust of 83 MPH at Hastings airport along with 10-20 minutes of persistent 60-80 MPH wind behind the initial surge, and up to 30 minutes of estimated 60-70 MPH gusts in Superior. Off to the west of this main zone of wind issues, there were a few reports of gusts around 60 MPH in the Lexington and Arapahoe areas. Rainfall-wise, the progressive nature of convection kept totals in most places no higher than 0.50-1.50 inches, with a few of the wetter exceptions per NeRAIN observes featuring 2.30 nine miles northwest of Ord and 2.13 six miles southeast of Davenport.
In a basic sense, this event consisted of an initially semi-discrete supercell cluster that first developed in north central Nebraska during the mid-afternoon hours and then gradually grew upscale into a larger-scale, forward-propagating linear mesoscale convective system (MCS) as it crossed the local South Central Nebraska area. This intense storm complex first infiltrated the local area into Valley/Sherman/Dawson counties between 630-730 pm CDT, blew through the Grand Island/Hastings areas during the 815-930 pm CDT time frame and finally departed southeastward into northern Kansas between 10-11 pm CDT. Although showers/weak storms lingered over mainly eastern counties a bit longer, the vast majority of South Central Nebraska was void of precipitation by 1 am CDT on the 18th.
By late-summer standards, this synoptic and mesoscale setup was fairly ripe for an organized severe weather event. In the mid-upper levels, a low-amplitude shortwave trough brushed into Nebraska from the northwest, along the southern periphery of a larger scale disturbance centered over southern Saskatchewan/Manitoba. As a result, mid-upper level flow increased enough to promote generally 30-40 knots of 0-6 kilometer deep layer wind shear over South Central Nebraska. In addition, instability was quite potent as the combination of afternoon surface temperatures in the upper-80s/near 90 F and dewpoints in the mid-60s/low-70s promoted mixed-layer CAPE values of 2000-4000 J/kg ahead of the incoming convective complex.